07/31/2009 大盘回顾 （No Title）

Cobra

Summary:

The common believes are that the bigger picture is up.

Expect a short-term pullback.

	Trend	Momentum	Comments - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term	Down		Idea for trading intermediate-term under primary down trend.
Intermediate	Up	Overbought
Short-term	Up	Neutral

 

没啥新鲜东西。下面的图反映了俺看到的大多数分析的观点，just the price target and the time target are my best guess。

 

俺不知道这个common believes对不对，0.0.3 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals的NYADV and NYUPV的vaccum，总让俺不是很放心，当然这不是short的理由，只不过，不看到比较大一点的pullback，俺是不会long了。

 

Short-term，After Bell Quick Summary中提到了可能pullback。以下是几个比较reliable的signal。

 

T2103 Zweig Breadth Thrust from Telechart，overbought。

 

T2122 4 Week New High/Low Ratio，overbought。

 

另外，1.0.2 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min)和1.1.0 Nasdaq Composite (Daily)的gap太多，俺还是相信短期内至少会补一个。下面的Tech Bullish Percent Index看一下，几乎又是历史新高了，所以至少Nasdaq的gap补的几率应该比较高。

 

德国村支书

沙发

happylux

1# Cobra

thanks.

nasd

Thanks cobra for your hard work.

acoust

Basement, thanks!

live111

涨到1200？太厉害了！

javamood

老大work到这么晚啊！

catbaby

风清扬

stockgirl

vivian7899

开小差

thx,ding

lite1067

thanks, Cobra..

SPX 1200..... OMG..

逍遥山人

sds

顶。

intral

1st page.

amd2k

thanks

mikeqc

1st page ding

feng

Thanks for sharing!  But the majority are typically wrong...

balto