其实头肩并没有完全破

xiaoyaoxl

以马后炮的眼光来看，头肩并没完全走破，而人人都说头肩破鸟，而且，时间上基本是对称...

虽然看熊的因素并不多，但还真有股2月9日的味道

YMYD = you move you die

mary666

ding

summer123

pose is not right, either disabled left or right shoulder

q13117

Would you please explain what 2月9日的味道 is ???

whzdf

buctusa

Would you please explain what 2月9日的味道 is ???
q13117 发表于 2009-7-17 18:05

Diver

我觉得，其实头肩的图线破没破，并不象波浪图中四浪与一浪绝对不能重叠，那么关键。是吗？如果我说得不对，请指教。谢谢。

TA图是艺术，不是科学。上星期跌破了头肩顶的颈线，却不要紧，只当是假突破，照样又涨回来了。既然如此，这星期涨破了头肩顶的肩线，也不要紧，只当是假突破，照样也可以又跌回去。

依我看，右肩部分可能变形成了扩散三角形。出现这种情况的原因是现在市场参与者的看法分歧很大，抓住一个消息，就全部转牛了，再碰到另一个消息，又全部转熊了。大家都在左右摇摆，既怕错过牛车，又怕成为熊市的站岗者。MM趁机混水摸鱼，赚我们散户的钱。因为现在经济数据很矛盾，公说公有理，婆说婆有理。基本面没有说服力，但人们却充满了美好的憧憬。

你上面这条线画的很好，这里肯定有很大阻力。借用一下你的原图，我添加了三条斜线，发在下面，供讨论。

如果从五月至今，整个头肩顶都是一个大扩散三角形的一部分，上天下地，不得了，接下来几年，牛熊都得被整S。

1# xiaoyaoxl

turbotornado

我觉得，其实头肩的图线破没破，并不象波浪图中四浪与一浪绝对不能重叠，那么关键。是吗？如果我说得不对，请指教。谢谢。

TA图是艺术，不是科学。上星期跌破了头肩顶的颈线，却不要紧，只当是假突破，照样又涨回 ...
Diver 发表于 2009-7-17 19:53

Well said!

小亥

熊熊已经快死光了。下面就看牛牛怎马崩溃了。

我觉得，其实头肩的图线破没破，并不象波浪图中四浪与一浪绝对不能重叠，那么关键。是吗？如果我说得不对，请指教。谢谢。

TA图是艺术，不是科学。上星期跌破了头肩顶的颈线，却不要紧，只当是假突破，照样又涨回 ...
Diver 发表于 2009-7-17 19:53

CoolMax

来个重量级的说法：

STOCK RALLY RULES OUT HEAD AND SHOULDERS TOP - John Murphy。

STOCKS TURN HIGHER ... It looks like you can throw out most of what I wrote last Friday. I was expecting a deeper market correction after most market indexes broke short-term head and shoulder "necklines" (and daily EMA lines turned negative). I also wrote about the possible threat from a rally in the CBOE Volatility (VIX) Index. It turns out I was wrong on both counts. Stocks rallied strongly and the VIX touched a new low. The 13- and 34-day EMA lines flipped back into positive territory. So did most of our daily indicators like the MACD lines in Chart 1. One thing I did get right was my Monday evening chart showing the S&P 500 closing back over its neckline (inspired by a big rally in financial stocks), and the observation that another day or two above that resistance line would negate the head and shoulders top. [In a valid head and shoulders top, prices should not close back above a broken neckline]. The circle in Chart 1 shows that upside breakout on Monday which has been followed by an upside penetration of the late June high at 930. Although some readers have asked if the current rally could be just another "right shoulder", I'm somewhat doubtful. A retest of the June high at 956 looks more likely. The fact that the technology-dominated Nasdaq market has already exceeded that high is also influencing a rising market. That doesn't rule out the possibility for a market correction later in the summer or the autumn. This week's upturn, however, has postponed that possibility for the time being.

coexist

我觉得，其实头肩的图线破没破，并不象波浪图中四浪与一浪绝对不能重叠，那么关键。是吗？如果我说得不对，请指教。谢谢。

TA图是艺术，不是科学。上星期跌破了头肩顶的颈线，却不要紧，只当是假突破，照样又涨回 ...
Diver 发表于 2009-7-17 18:53

ding

xiaoyaoxl

10# CoolMax


我用的是没有“完全”破，走成这样，的确是牛牛胜了，看熊的因素不多了

CoolMax

10# CoolMax


我用的是没有“完全”破，走成这样，的确是牛牛胜了，看熊的因素不多了
xiaoyaoxl 发表于 2009-7-17 08:55 PM

Murphy的意思就是说，头肩顶已经过去了，已经不成立了。
以后怎么走，再说。双头? 新高? Who knows.

xiaoyaoxl

7# Diver

对，本来就不能靠一个头肩定论跌，也就不能靠一个破头肩定论涨

TA真是艺术，尤其是蒙了人还让人信以为真这一点上

xiaoyaoxl

13# CoolMax

我明白，谢酷码

Bencat

13# CoolMax


Great notes.  This tell us the difference between pro and frongs.  So we know a little bit about how a pro and frog to evaluate the same chart pattern.  no wonder so many frogs make mistakes!

acura

thanks

ROOKIE2

well done

大牛Steve

尽管亚洲股市纷纷攀出新高，DIJA & S&P500 还是面临200天EMA的考验，目前被紧紧压着翻不了身。
耐心等待哈。

4qw

以马后炮的眼光来看，头肩并没完全走破，而人人都说头肩破鸟，而且，时间上基本是对称...

虽然看熊的因素并不多，但还真有股2月9日的味道

YMYD = you move you die

21921
xiaoyaoxl 发表于 2009-7-17 16:58

其实也没其实.