07/07/2009 大盘回顾 （Watch Support Below）

Cobra

Summary:

Market not oversold yet, could be more downside ahead.

Could be a rebound at least tomorrow morning.

	Trend	Momentum	Comments - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term	Down		Idea for trading intermediate-term under primary down trend.
Intermediate	Down	Neutral
Short-term	Down	Neutral

 

今天熊熊最大的收获：

0.0.2 SPY Short-term Trading Signals，Head and Shoulders Top confirm了，理论target是$81.04。

 

1.1.3 QQQQ Short-term Trading Signals，Double Top confirmed，理论target 32.7。

 

不过俺更看重1.0.1 Institutional Index (Daily)。下面的support非常重要，只有破了，才officially intermediate-term down trend confirmed。

 

那么，这根support会不会破呢？1.2.0 INDU Leads Market，INDU已经给出答案了，这就是说sooner or later SPX也会breakdown the support。

 

0.0.0 Signal Watch and Daily Highlights，信号的总体情况看一下，特别是short-term signal，由于NYADV and NYMO还没有oversold，因此the market not oversold yet。关于这一点，今天的Russell 3000 Dominant Price-Volume Relationship，1443 stocks price down volume down也说明了the market not oversold  yet。

 

3.0.3 20 Year Treasury Bond Fund iShares (TLT Daily)，看着像是Head and Shoulders Bottom确认的样子，因此bond会涨，这可能导致股市下跌。

 

综上所述，intermediate-term，俺认为也许可能大概more downside ahead。

 

Very short-term，明天至少早盘会反弹。

 

Short-term model from www.sentimentrader.com，oversold。

 

1.0.3 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 30 min)，oversold plus lots of positive divergences。

 

2.0.0 Volatility Index (Daily)，著名的VIX ENV10 overbought了。

 

3.4.2 United States Oil Fund, LP (USO 30 min)，oversold plus lots of positive divergences。

 

joeblack

First Time 沙发!

Thanks Cobra!

xiaoyaoxl

居然抢到了板凳

lite1067

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soulvirus

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brcm

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ice_tea

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yuliang

2nd

妞妞

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lakeway

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Lionking

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farshine

johndai

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windflower

first page

colderdown

1st page

dara

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harley

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春江花月夜

Thanks

nixiangsiwei