Michigan Confidence At Highest Level Since January 2008

xyin

http://bespokeinvest.typepad.com ... e-january-2008.html

Michigan Confidence At Highest Level Since January 2008

Michigan Confidence joins the growing number of indicators that are now at or better than Pre-Lehman levels.  Today's reading of 70.8 is actually the highest since January 2008.  This month's reading is also the fourth consecutive month-over-month increase in confidence.  A reading of 70.8 is still well below the monthly average of 86.8 since 1978, but it's also nicely above the level of 55 that we saw in late 2008.

cartier

THANKS!

ppteam

这个说的是CONSUMER吧？如果是，就有点怪，前几天WSJ说INDIVIDUAL TRADER现在非常悲观。

JL01

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Consumer_confidence

Consumer Confidence Index

Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) is a monthly release produced by the non-profit business group The Conference Board since 1967. The CCI is designed to assess the overall confidence, relative financial health and spending power of the US average consumer. The Conference Board releases three headline figures each month: Consumer Confidence Index, the Present Situation Index, and Expectations Index.

[edit] Methodology

The CCI is based on the data from a monthly survey of 5000 US households. The data is calculated for the United States as a whole and for each of the country’s nine census regions. The survey consists of five questions on the following topics: i) current business conditions, ii) business conditions for the next six months, iii) current employment conditions, iv) employment conditions for the next six months, v) total family income for the next six months. After all surveys are collected, each question’s positive responses are divided by the sum of its positive and negative responses. The resulting relative value is then used as an “index value” and compared against each respective monthly value for 1985. That year was chosen as a benchmark year because it was neither a peak nor trough in the businesss cycle. The index values for all five questions are averaged together to produce the CCI. The average of index values for questions i and iii form the Present Situation Index, and the average of index values for questions ii, iv and v form the Expectations Index.[1]

JL01

Any data could be manipulated for political reasons or national interests. On the opposite, investor/trader sentiments may support a minor correction 38-50% of 955 - 667.

xyin

每一个数据都要辩证的看， 这个是没错的。
但是不要带有先入为主的眼光去看。 操纵数据， 从古至今， 国内国外都是有的。 特别是这种信心指数， 那是最容易操纵的。
但是操纵不=颠倒黑白。 这个中间有一定的事实依据的。