Although the head & shoulders pattern which is bears' hope of sharp downturn is still valid at this point, another push of 15 points is not that hard and can overthrow the original picture. On the other hand, the uptrend strength is definitely dying down. We need a big up today just to close the week flat, which will be the first since start of this rally. If you itch to go short, make sure to set up tight stop.
OK. I am pretty sure that the head & shoulders pattern is dead now. Why would MMs give up the last final push for a few points after doing so much leg work?
So most likely we will have some higher high either today or early next week. If so, your 950-1000 could be true by mid-May.
Will buy some shorts if Market crosses 900-910 area and cover with 30 points gain. In any case if it ever goes to 940-950 area, that would be a nice entry for my midterm short accumulation.
6# lilyflower
I said "why would MM give up the final push?" 875 seems to me it's a done deal.
maserati 发表于 2009-4-24 14:40