黄金也许是个典型的Bump and Run Pattern

deep

Cobra 发表于 2020-8-27 03:27 PM
$GLD is testing the previous low now, breakout on the downside would mean a measured move down (tint ...

如果是从今天的高点往下量的话，到了位置我就跟一票

胡同0110

Cobra 发表于 2020-8-27 03:27 PM
$GLD is testing the previous low now, breakout on the downside would mean a measured move down (tint ...

我用的是6月平均线，这个解释了我前面的话。

Cobra

deep 发表于 2020-8-27 04:21 PM
如果是从今天的高点往下量的话，到了位置我就跟一票

要是能跌到$165那片盘整区就爽死了。

Cobra

胡同0110 发表于 2020-8-27 04:29 PM
我用的是6月平均线，这个解释了我前面的话。

就是这根均线，嗯，看着有道理啊，谢谢。下面就是金子还要再跌点，然后均线还会继续上升些，两边meet。

Cobra

deep 发表于 2020-8-27 04:21 PM
如果是从今天的高点往下量的话，到了位置我就跟一票

这个measured move理论上（我知道你只是说目标，不考虑理论）应该这么量。第一腿下跌是粉色区域，然后现在的第二腿下跌是两小腿的，紫色区域，今天也许是第二腿的第二小腿开跌。总之，下降动能已经不及第一腿了。如果第二腿最后的下跌超过粉色区域，那就表示还有第三腿。Anyway，我昨天先上了船，形式一下，表示我有持有金子了，非常少的仓位，可能才是我总资金的百分之0.5都不到。对了，你说要是买金子为了保值，那怎么也得在投资中占30%以上的比例吧，理论上最好不要有现金了，除了股票，剩下就应该全是金子，理论上，对吧？

deep

Cobra 发表于 2020-8-27 05:06 PM
这个measured move理论上（我知道你只是说目标，不考虑理论）应该这么量。第一腿下跌是粉色区域，然后现在 ...

理论上看来是的,黄金或相关商品的配比差不多要对标之前的BOND或相关类吧, 但实际上,老实说我也不知道该怎么配.

Cobra

deep 发表于 2020-8-27 06:24 PM
理论上看来是的,黄金或相关商品的配比差不多要对标之前的BOND或相关类吧, 但实际上,老实说我也不知道该怎 ...

你的意思是把黄金看成是fixed income一类的？

deep

Cobra 发表于 2020-8-27 08:29 PM
你的意思是把黄金看成是fixed income一类的？

只能这样看，才敢放得足够多

Maylin

Cobra 发表于 2020-8-27 05:06 PM
这个measured move理论上（我知道你只是说目标，不考虑理论）应该这么量。第一腿下跌是粉色区域，然后现 ...

昨天也在盘前买了179.03. 再跌再买。。没办法要跟紧美联储的政策变化

Cobra

deep 发表于 2020-8-27 10:27 PM
只能这样看，才敢放得足够多

我靠，我不敢啊。

Cobra

$GLD, maybe a descending triangle in the making? The descending triangle usually is a continuation pattern so the chances of breakout on the downside in this case might not be much higher than breakout on the upside, will need wait and see
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=286668#p286668

Cobra

$GLD, $GDX, could be a symmetrical triangle in the making so bias is a little bit up
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=286782#p286782

Cobra

$gld could be a descending triangle which in theory is a continuation pattern but I read it as bias is a little bit down
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=286884#p286884

Cobra

$GLD, rejected at the descending triangle upper boundary, so far looks more and more like a descending triangle. The horizontal blue line below might not hold another test
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=287006#p287006

Cobra

$GLD, still could be a descending triangle in the making which is a continuation pattern so in theory should breakout on the upside but personally the descending triangle is always bear biased to me
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=287224#p287224

Cobra

$GLD, so far the descending triangle still is valid
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=287316#p287316

Cobra

$GLD is clearly a descending triangle now. The line unlike would hold for long
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=287398#p287398

Cobra

$GLD broke down as expected. The target could be the weekly EMA20
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=287403#p287403

Cobra

$GLD is now confirmed descending triangle break down. I'll be waiting at the weekly EMA20 to buy. I like gold. Printing money will be a new normal for many many years
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=287527#p287527

Cobra

$GLD is officially touching the weekly EMA20 now which means after waiting for a long time finally people can buy at 20 weeks average therefore could attract some buyers. Let's see if those dip buyers are strong enough to lift the gold
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=287653#p287653