谁能跑赢大盘？

盈透阿狗 · 发表于 2017-10-1 11:11 AM

本帖最后由盈透阿狗于 2017-10-1 11:23 AM 编辑

谢谢“蛋炒饭”老大的理解、参与和支持。我们几个人共同开发的这个小模型，好像一只麻雀，虽然小，但也具备有AI的许多特征，比如machine learning特征。
暂且把“学习前”的结果看成是九月份的HI-MODEL预测（列出在296楼第一行第四列，连接列在299楼），
那么，通过对九月份大盘实际涨落的学习，重新回测，就是“学习后”结果。
把（1）“学习前”，（2）“学习后”对比，并且参照“源济”推崇的（3）“持续押涨”，作三条曲线，其结果，(见附图)一目了然。

连这样一个小模型，一个傻瓜机器，都可以“学习”，更何况具有高等思维，具有丰富炒股经验的许许多多的老股民呢。

其实，参与《每周888彩票》和《每日竞猜》活动，并且定期总结各自的结果，是为了建立一个类似于machine learning一样的反馈机制。
有了这个“反馈机制”，每位参与人对各自所采用的预测方法，就可以重新认识。
“重新认识”的过程是对自己所依赖的方法的重新确认。
“你所依赖的方法”可能是K线法、切线法、蝉论、MACD， RSI指标，等，或者是它们的某些组合。
不管“你所依赖的方法”是什么，“重新认识”是去伪存真，自我学习的过程。这就是我为什么推荐鼓励更多人参与《每周888彩票》和《每日竞猜》活动。
参与《10/06/2017 - 胡同888彩票》： http://hutong9.net/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=372015
参与《10/2/2017 周一 SPY 免费有奖竞猜》：http://hutong9.net/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=369193

源济 · 发表于 2017-10-1 07:01 PM

并且参照“源济”推崇的（3）“持续押涨”

声明一下：“持续押涨”不是我所“推崇”的，这只是一个简单有效的大盘的指标，超过“持续押涨”表示超过大盘表现，反之亦然。

源济 · 发表于 2017-10-1 07:09 PM

另外，既然HI-Model是程序自动产生，能不能再做一个试验，只从每晚8点EST之前投票的人中产生判断，看一看结果有没有不同。这个结果可能更有意义。

源济 · 发表于 2017-10-1 07:13 PM

更进一步，HI-Model能否在每天收盘之前给出第二天的预测？如果可以的话，更有实际指导意义。

源济 · 发表于 2017-10-1 07:23 PM

最后，胡同里还有一个现成的系统模型，也就是跟随胡同每天投票的“大多数”（投票人数相同时，不操作）。下面是统计结果，9月份总收益为：3.05%！

源济 · 发表于 2017-10-1 07:26 PM

本帖最后由源济于 2017-10-1 07:30 PM 编辑

“多数派”模型九月份的战绩是：11胜，5负，4平，收益为：3.05%。按收益看，这个系统是不是可以排第一？

盈透阿狗 · 发表于 2017-10-1 07:59 PM

源济发表于 2017-10-1 07:26 PM
“多数派”模型九月份的战绩是：11胜，5负，4平，收益为：3.05%。按收益看，这个系统是不是可以排第一？{:8 ...

老统计：HI-MODEL支持多数: 131次，支持少数：54次，另有14对开

盈透阿狗 · 发表于 2017-10-1 08:04 PM

本帖最后由盈透阿狗于 2017-10-1 08:07 PM 编辑

源济发表于 2017-10-1 07:09 PM
另外，既然HI-Model是程序自动产生，能不能再做一个试验，只从每晚8点EST之前投票的人中产生判断，看一看结 ...

基于当前（投票没有结束，并且也看不到888彩票的投票情况下）：

"源济" voted 涨 at Fri Sep 29 15:58:49 2017
"风行过" voted 跌 at Fri Sep 29 15:58:49 2017
"ranchgirl" voted 涨 at Fri Sep 29 16:03:50 2017
"rightonmoney" voted 涨 at Fri Sep 29 16:05:50 2017
"ysc" voted 涨 at Fri Sep 29 17:00:50 2017
"coexist" voted 跌 at Fri Sep 29 17:09:50 2017
"pll" voted 涨 at Fri Sep 29 18:24:50 2017
"bokchoy888" voted 涨 at Fri Sep 29 21:02:49 2017
"littletiger" voted 跌 at Sun Oct 1 12:20:42 2017
"RespectRisk" voted 跌 at Sun Oct 1 17:48:42 2017
"Elephant" voted 跌 at Sun Oct 1 17:55:42 2017
"bucks" voted 涨 at Sun Oct 1 18:26:42 2017
"tcm328pan" voted 涨 at Sun Oct 1 18:53:41 2017
"oldwolf" voted 涨 at Sun Oct 1 19:30:41 2017
"QQQ?" voted 涨 at Sun Oct 1 20:14:41 2017

============================
10涨: QQQ?, bokchoy888, bucks, oldwolf, pll, ranchgirl, rightonmoney, tcm328pan, ysc, 源济
5跌: Elephant, RespectRisk, coexist, littletiger, 风行过
0平:
HI-MODEL supports 涨 (majority)

盈透阿狗 · 发表于 2017-10-1 08:13 PM

本帖最后由盈透阿狗于 2017-10-1 08:14 PM 编辑

源济发表于 2017-10-1 07:13 PM
更进一步，HI-Model能否在每天收盘之前给出第二天的预测？如果可以的话，更有实际指导意义。

“源济”老大，胡同网站是您的，规则是您制定的，所以，您说了算。我只不过是一个参与者，怎么玩儿，以及让不让玩儿，都是您说了算。

源济 · 发表于 2017-10-1 08:16 PM

盈透阿狗可以得第一，这是因为这个月涨得远远大于跌的所致。

“多数人”既可以押跌，也可以押涨，所以和“这个月涨得远远大于跌的所致”无关。

“多数人”胜率高可以说明：
（1）胡同里多数人的水平高；
（2）越迟投票，晚间获得的信息越多，准确率越高。
或者兼而有之，或者（2）的成份更高些。

源济 · 发表于 2017-10-1 08:18 PM

盈透阿狗发表于 2017-10-1 08:13 PM
“源济”老大，胡同网站是您的，规则是您制定的，所以，您说了算。我只不过是一个参与者，怎么玩儿，以 ...

欢迎继续HI-Model的探索！

盈透阿狗 · 发表于 2017-10-1 08:27 PM

本帖最后由盈透阿狗于 2017-10-1 08:29 PM 编辑

源济发表于 2017-10-1 07:23 PM
最后，胡同里还有一个现成的系统模型，也就是跟随胡同每天投票的“大多数”（投票人数相同时，不操作）。下 ...

这个月“多数胜”的比例很大，但是对所有300多次的历史投票几率的统计是：
Majority won 194
Minority won 144
HI-MODEL Supports MinorityAndWinCount 59

源济 · 发表于 2017-10-1 08:32 PM

本帖最后由源济于 2017-10-1 08:36 PM 编辑

盈透阿狗发表于 2017-10-1 08:27 PM
这个月“多数胜”的比例很大，但是对所有300多次的历史投票几率的统计是：
Majority won 194
Minorit ...

从2016年5月2日开办每日投票活动以来，这是我的统计结果：在总数358次投票里，多数胜202次，少数胜136次，平局20次。同时期间，SPY上涨196次，下跌161次，平盘1次。“多数人”收益超过大盘：27.58% vs. 21.76%。

Screen Shot 2017-10-01 at 8.28.50 PM.png

盈透阿狗 · 发表于 2017-10-1 08:51 PM

源济发表于 2017-10-1 08:32 PM
从2016年5月2日开办每日投票活动以来，这是我的统计结果：在总数358次投票里，多数胜202次，少数胜136次 ...

因为SPY有分红，所以我采用的是“大盘”SPX，关心的是《谁能跑赢大盘？》而不是SPY。
持续押涨_持续押多数胜_胡同智能模型三者对比图

源济 · 发表于 2017-10-1 09:19 PM

盈透阿狗一般讲，（2）是对的，但不适合于 "xinxing", 因为他参加的《每周888彩票》，一次预测一周，得第六名，比许多当天投第二天，还要准。

“xinxing” 和 “盈透阿狗” 是同一个人，其他的马甲还包括“酒醉今朝”，“Heping”。
http://www.hutong9.net/forum.php ... 65&fromuid=6183

盈透阿狗 · 发表于 2017-10-2 02:50 AM

SN	Date	Up	Dn	SPY%	Winner	SpySum	PLSum	HISupport	HIPL%	HIPLS%	HiSupport MinorityWin
1	Mon May 2 2016	12	7	0.781	majority	0	0.781	1	0.781	0.781
2	Tue May 3 2016	0	8	-0.868	?	0.781	0.781	-1	0.868	1.65
3	Wed May 4 2016	12	11	-0.594	minority	-0.0867	0.187	1	-0.594	1.05
4	Thu May 5 2016	19	6	-0.0239	minority	-0.68	0.163	1	-0.0239	1.03
5	Fri May 6 2016	17	6	0.317	majority	-0.704	0.481	1	0.317	1.35
6	Mon May 9 2016	11	9	0.0753	majority	-0.387	0.556	1	0.0753	1.42
7	Tue May 10 2016	5	13	1.25	minority	-0.311	-0.692	-1	-1.25	0.176
8	Wed May 11 2016	8	18	-0.956	majority	0.937	0.264	-1	0.956	1.13
9	Thu May 12 2016	17	7	-0.0169	minority	-0.0192	0.247	1	-0.0169	1.11
10	Fri May 13 2016	16	9	-0.848	minority	-0.0362	-0.601	1	-0.848	0.267
11	Mon May 16 2016	14	6	0.98	majority	-0.884	0.379	1	0.98	1.25
12	Tue May 17 2016	13	12	-0.941	minority	0.0957	-0.562	1	-0.941	0.305
13	Wed May 18 2016	24	8	0.0205	majority	-0.845	-0.542	1	0.0205	0.326
14	Thu May 19 2016	8	12	-0.371	majority	-0.825	-0.171	-1	0.371	0.697
15	Fri May 20 2016	29	5	0.602	majority	-1.2	0.431	1	0.602	1.3
16	Mon May 23 2016	11	17	-0.209	majority	-0.594	0.639	1	-0.209	1.09
17	Tue May 24 2016	12	17	1.37	minority	-0.802	-0.729	1	1.37	2.46	1
18	Wed May 25 2016	18	20	0.697	minority	0.566	-1.43	1	0.697	3.16	1
19	Thu May 26 2016	10	26	-0.021	majority	1.26	-1.41	-1	0.021	3.18
20	Fri May 27 2016	10	21	0.429	minority	1.24	-1.83	1	0.429	3.61	1
21	Tue May 31 2016	7	14	-0.101	majority	1.67	-1.73	-1	0.101	3.71
22	Wed Jun 1 2016	20	16	0.114	majority	1.57	-1.62	1	0.114	3.82
23	Thu Jun 2 2016	8	25	0.282	minority	1.68	-1.9	1	0.282	4.1	1
24	Fri Jun 3 2016	14	19	-0.291	majority	1.97	-1.61	1	-0.291	3.81
25	Mon Jun 6 2016	13	19	0.49	minority	1.68	-2.1	1	0.49	4.3	1
26	Tue Jun 7 2016	11	18	0.129	minority	2.17	-2.23	1	0.129	4.43	1
27	Wed Jun 8 2016	8	26	0.331	minority	2.29	-2.56	-1	-0.331	4.1
28	Thu Jun 9 2016	15	27	-0.172	majority	2.62	-2.39	-1	0.172	4.27
29	Fri Jun 10 2016	12	23	-0.918	majority	2.45	-1.47	-1	0.918	5.19
30	Mon Jun 13 2016	14	18	-0.812	majority	1.54	-0.66	1	-0.812	4.38
31	Tue Jun 14 2016	24	13	-0.18	minority	0.724	-0.84	1	-0.18	4.2
32	Wed Jun 15 2016	38	8	-0.184	minority	0.544	-1.02	1	-0.184	4.01
33	Thu Jun 16 2016	22	19	0.313	majority	0.36	-0.711	-1	-0.313	3.7
34	Fri Jun 17 2016	21	17	-0.326	minority	0.673	-1.04	1	-0.326	3.37
35	Mon Jun 20 2016	18	9	0.581	majority	0.348	-0.456	1	0.581	3.95
36	Tue Jun 21 2016	22	10	0.271	majority	0.928	-0.184	1	0.271	4.23
37	Wed Jun 22 2016	15	15	-0.165	?	1.2	-0.184	1	-0.165	4.06
38	Thu Jun 23 2016	22	14	1.34	majority	1.03	1.15	1	1.34	5.4
39	Fri Jun 24 2016	12	19	-3.59	majority	2.37	4.74	-1	3.59	8.99
40	Mon Jun 27 2016	24	17	-1.81	minority	-1.22	2.93	-1	1.81	10.8	1
41	Tue Jun 28 2016	30	5	1.78	majority	-3.03	4.71	1	1.78	12.6
42	Wed Jun 29 2016	17	18	1.7	minority	-1.25	3.01	-1	-1.7	10.9
43	Thu Jun 30 2016	16	16	1.36	?	0.45	3.01	1	1.36	12.2
44	Fri Jul 1 2016	15	21	0.195	minority	1.81	2.81	1	0.195	12.4	1
45	Tue Jul 5 2016	11	18	-0.685	majority	2	3.5	1	-0.685	11.7
46	Wed Jul 6 2016	16	23	0.535	minority	1.32	2.96	1	0.535	12.3	1
47	Thu Jul 7 2016	12	18	-0.0872	majority	1.85	3.05	1	-0.0872	12.2
48	Fri Jul 8 2016	12	20	1.53	minority	1.76	1.52	1	1.53	13.7	1
49	Mon Jul 11 2016	14	12	0.341	majority	3.29	1.87	1	0.341	14.1
50	Tue Jul 12 2016	10	20	0.701	minority	3.63	1.16	1	0.701	14.8	1
51	Wed Jul 13 2016	7	27	0.0135	minority	4.33	1.15	-1	-0.0135	14.7
52	Thu Jul 14 2016	7	22	0.526	minority	4.34	0.625	1	0.526	15.3	1
53	Fri Jul 15 2016	7	24	-0.0929	majority	4.87	0.718	1	-0.0929	15.2
54	Mon Jul 18 2016	11	14	0.238	minority	4.78	0.48	1	0.238	15.4	1
55	Tue Jul 19 2016	13	28	-0.144	majority	5.02	0.623	-1	0.144	15.6
56	Wed Jul 20 2016	14	16	0.427	minority	4.87	0.196	1	0.427	16	1
57	Thu Jul 21 2016	7	25	-0.361	majority	5.3	0.558	-1	0.361	16.3
58	Fri Jul 22 2016	13	18	0.455	minority	4.94	0.102	1	0.455	16.8	1
59	Mon Jul 25 2016	11	17	-0.301	majority	5.39	0.403	-1	0.301	17.1
60	Tue Jul 26 2016	15	16	0.0323	minority	5.09	0.371	1	0.0323	17.1	1
61	Wed Jul 27 2016	10	17	-0.12	majority	5.12	0.491	1	-0.12	17
62	Thu Jul 28 2016	19	12	0.161	majority	5.01	0.651	1	0.161	17.2
63	Fri Jul 29 2016	7	22	0.163	minority	5.17	0.488	-1	-0.163	17
64	Tue Aug 2 2016	10	17	-0.636	majority	5.33	1.12	1	-0.636	16.4
65	Thu Aug 4 2016	11	17	0.0213	minority	4.69	1.1	1	0.0213	16.4	1
66	Fri Aug 5 2016	14	14	0.86	?	4.71	1.1	1	0.86	17.3
67	Mon Aug 8 2016	12	18	-0.0907	majority	5.57	1.19	-1	0.0907	17.3
68	Tue Aug 9 2016	14	18	0.039	minority	5.48	1.15	1	0.039	17.4	1
69	Wed Aug 10 2016	7	19	-0.286	majority	5.52	1.44	1	-0.286	17.1
70	Thu Aug 11 2016	16	13	0.473	majority	5.24	1.91	1	0.473	17.6
71	Fri Aug 12 2016	11	18	-0.0796	majority	5.71	1.99	1	-0.0796	17.5
72	Mon Aug 15 2016	17	5	0.279	majority	5.63	2.27	1	0.279	17.8
73	Wed Aug 17 2016	16	15	0.187	majority	5.91	2.46	1	0.187	18
74	Thu Aug 18 2016	12	25	0.22	minority	6.1	2.24	1	0.22	18.2	1
75	Fri Aug 19 2016	17	15	-0.144	minority	6.32	2.1	1	-0.144	18
76	Mon Aug 22 2016	13	17	-0.0563	majority	6.17	2.15	1	-0.0563	18
77	Tue Aug 23 2016	16	14	0.195	majority	6.12	2.35	1	0.195	18.2
78	Wed Aug 24 2016	8	27	-0.524	majority	6.31	2.87	-1	0.524	18.7
79	Thu Aug 25 2016	19	13	-0.137	minority	5.79	2.74	1	-0.137	18.6
80	Fri Aug 26 2016	19	8	-0.158	minority	5.65	2.58	1	-0.158	18.4
81	Mon Aug 29 2016	11	16	0.523	minority	5.49	2.06	1	0.523	18.9	1
82	Tue Aug 30 2016	8	20	-0.195	majority	6.02	2.25	1	-0.195	18.7
83	Wed Aug 31 2016	19	13	-0.238	minority	5.82	2.01	1	-0.238	18.5
84	Thu Sep 1 2016	17	12	-0.00414	minority	5.58	2.01	1	-0.00414	18.5
85	Fri Sep 2 2016	17	16	0.42	majority	5.58	2.43	1	0.42	18.9
86	Tue Sep 6 2016	14	18	0.298	minority	6	2.13	1	0.298	19.2	1
87	Wed Sep 7 2016	10	22	-0.0146	majority	6.3	2.15	-1	0.0146	19.2
88	Mon Sep 12 2016	18	14	1.47	majority	6.28	3.61	1	1.47	20.7
89	Tue Sep 13 2016	12	18	-1.48	majority	7.75	5.1	-1	1.48	22.2
90	Wed Sep 14 2016	25	9	-0.0588	minority	6.27	5.04	1	-0.0588	22.1
91	Thu Sep 15 2016	24	10	1.01	majority	6.21	6.05	1	1.01	23.1
92	Fri Sep 16 2016	9	22	-0.377	majority	7.22	6.43	-1	0.377	23.5
93	Mon Sep 19 2016	23	11	-0.00186	minority	6.84	6.42	1	-0.00186	23.5
94	Tue Sep 20 2016	19	11	0.0299	majority	6.84	6.45	1	0.0299	23.5
95	Wed Sep 21 2016	25	8	1.09	majority	6.87	7.55	1	1.09	24.6
96	Thu Sep 22 2016	16	12	0.65	majority	7.96	8.2	1	0.65	25.3
97	Fri Sep 23 2016	11	19	-0.574	majority	8.61	8.77	-1	0.574	25.8
98	Mon Sep 26 2016	18	14	-0.859	minority	8.04	7.91	1	-0.859	25
99	Tue Sep 27 2016	24	7	0.644	majority	7.18	8.55	1	0.644	25.6
100	Thu Sep 29 2016	19	19	-0.932	?	7.82	8.55	1	-0.932	24.7
101	Fri Sep 30 2016	14	17	0.797	minority	6.89	7.76	1	0.797	25.5	1
102	Mon Oct 3 2016	15	20	-0.326	majority	7.69	8.08	1	-0.326	25.2
103	Tue Oct 4 2016	21	7	-0.496	minority	7.36	7.59	1	-0.496	24.7
104	Wed Oct 5 2016	23	5	0.43	majority	6.87	8.02	1	0.43	25.1
105	Thu Oct 6 2016	11	17	0.0482	minority	7.3	7.97	-1	-0.0482	25.1
106	Fri Oct 7 2016	18	15	-0.325	minority	7.34	7.64	1	-0.325	24.7
107	Mon Oct 10 2016	29	14	0.461	majority	7.02	8.1	1	0.461	25.2
108	Tue Oct 11 2016	14	35	-1.24	majority	7.48	9.35	-1	1.24	26.4
109	Wed Oct 12 2016	36	16	0.115	majority	6.23	9.46	1	0.115	26.5
110	Thu Oct 13 2016	26	24	-0.31	minority	6.35	9.15	-1	0.31	26.9	1
111	Fri Oct 14 2016	28	20	0.0202	majority	6.04	9.17	1	0.0202	26.9
112	Mon Oct 17 2016	14	30	-0.304	majority	6.06	9.48	-1	0.304	27.2
113	Tue Oct 18 2016	30	12	0.616	majority	5.76	10.1	1	0.616	27.8
114	Wed Oct 19 2016	20	27	0.219	minority	6.37	9.88	1	0.219	28	1
115	Thu Oct 20 2016	20	24	-0.138	majority	6.59	10	-1	0.138	28.2
116	Fri Oct 21 2016	29	17	-0.00841	minority	6.45	10	1	-0.00841	28.1
117	Mon Oct 24 2016	13	13	0.475	?	6.44	10	1	0.475	28.6
118	Tue Oct 25 2016	17	25	-0.38	majority	6.92	10.4	1	-0.38	28.2
119	Wed Oct 26 2016	21	20	-0.174	minority	6.54	10.2	-1	0.174	28.4	1
120	Thu Oct 27 2016	25	14	-0.299	minority	6.37	9.91	1	-0.299	28.1
121	Fri Oct 28 2016	26	11	-0.311	minority	6.07	9.6	1	-0.311	27.8
122	Mon Oct 31 2016	29	13	-0.0122	minority	5.76	9.59	1	-0.0122	27.8
123	Tue Nov 1 2016	26	15	-0.679	minority	5.74	8.91	1	-0.679	27.1
124	Wed Nov 2 2016	31	10	-0.653	minority	5.07	8.26	1	-0.653	26.5
125	Thu Nov 3 2016	20	18	-0.442	minority	4.41	7.81	1	-0.442	26
126	Fri Nov 4 2016	33	9	-0.167	minority	3.97	7.65	1	-0.167	25.9
127	Mon Nov 7 2016	30	8	2.22	majority	3.8	9.87	1	2.22	28.1
128	Tue Nov 8 2016	26	13	0.377	majority	6.03	10.2	1	0.377	28.5
129	Wed Nov 9 2016	15	19	1.11	minority	6.4	9.14	1	1.11	29.6	1
130	Thu Nov 10 2016	13	21	0.195	minority	7.51	8.94	1	0.195	29.8	1
131	Fri Nov 11 2016	14	25	-0.14	majority	7.71	9.08	-1	0.14	29.9
132	Mon Nov 14 2016	22	10	-0.0116	minority	7.57	9.07	1	-0.0116	29.9
133	Tue Nov 15 2016	23	14	0.748	majority	7.56	9.82	1	0.748	30.6
134	Wed Nov 16 2016	18	23	-0.158	majority	8.3	9.98	-1	0.158	30.8
135	Thu Nov 17 2016	20	15	0.468	majority	8.14	10.4	1	0.468	31.3
136	Fri Nov 18 2016	11	22	-0.239	majority	8.61	10.7	-1	0.239	31.5
137	Mon Nov 21 2016	17	12	0.746	majority	8.37	11.4	1	0.746	32.2
138	Tue Nov 22 2016	13	17	0.217	minority	9.12	11.2	1	0.217	32.5	1
139	Wed Nov 23 2016	17	10	0.0808	majority	9.34	11.3	1	0.0808	32.5
140	Fri Nov 25 2016	17	9	0.391	majority	9.42	11.7	1	0.391	32.9
141	Mon Nov 28 2016	7	19	-0.525	majority	9.81	12.2	-1	0.525	33.5
142	Tue Nov 29 2016	8	23	0.134	minority	9.28	12.1	-1	-0.134	33.3
143	Wed Nov 30 2016	12	20	-0.265	majority	9.42	12.3	1	-0.265	33.1
144	Thu Dec 1 2016	9	20	-0.352	majority	9.15	12.7	1	-0.352	32.7
145	Fri Dec 2 2016	15	15	0.0397	?	8.8	12.7	1	0.0397	32.7
146	Mon Dec 5 2016	8	16	0.582	minority	8.84	12.1	1	0.582	33.3	1
147	Tue Dec 6 2016	13	14	0.341	minority	9.42	11.8	1	0.341	33.7	1
148	Wed Dec 7 2016	11	18	1.32	minority	9.76	10.5	1	1.32	35	1
149	Thu Dec 8 2016	12	14	0.216	minority	11.1	10.2	1	0.216	35.2	1
150	Fri Dec 9 2016	9	14	0.594	minority	11.3	9.65	-1	-0.594	34.6
151	Mon Dec 12 2016	18	11	-0.114	minority	11.9	9.53	1	-0.114	34.5
152	Tue Dec 13 2016	19	11	0.654	majority	11.8	10.2	1	0.654	35.1
153	Wed Dec 14 2016	11	16	-0.812	majority	12.4	11	1	-0.812	34.3
154	Thu Dec 15 2016	16	7	0.388	majority	11.6	11.4	1	0.388	34.7
155	Fri Dec 16 2016	14	14	-0.175	?	12	11.4	1	-0.175	34.6
156	Mon Dec 19 2016	15	10	0.198	majority	11.8	11.6	1	0.198	34.7
157	Tue Dec 20 2016	15	11	0.364	majority	12	11.9	1	0.364	35.1
158	Wed Dec 21 2016	14	8	-0.246	minority	12.4	11.7	1	-0.246	34.9
159	Thu Dec 22 2016	14	7	-0.186	minority	12.1	11.5	1	-0.186	34.7
160	Fri Dec 23 2016	18	5	0.125	majority	12	11.6	1	0.125	34.8
161	Tue Dec 27 2016	15	4	0.225	majority	12.1	11.9	1	0.225	35
162	Wed Dec 28 2016	14	6	-0.836	minority	12.3	11	1	-0.836	34.2
163	Thu Dec 29 2016	15	5	-0.0293	minority	11.5	11	1	-0.0293	34.2
164	Fri Dec 30 2016	17	4	-0.464	minority	11.4	10.5	1	-0.464	33.7
165	Tue Jan 3 2017	15	5	0.849	majority	11	11.4	1	0.849	34.6
166	Wed Jan 4 2017	14	9	0.572	majority	11.8	12	1	0.572	35.1
167	Thu Jan 5 2017	10	16	-0.0771	majority	12.4	12	1	-0.0771	35
168	Fri Jan 6 2017	12	10	0.352	majority	12.3	12.4	1	0.352	35.4
169	Mon Jan 9 2017	8	18	-0.355	majority	12.7	12.7	-1	0.355	35.8
170	Tue Jan 10 2017	12	15	0	?	12.3	12.7	1	0	35.8
171	Wed Jan 11 2017	11	17	0.283	minority	12.3	12.5	1	0.283	36	1
172	Thu Jan 12 2017	12	15	-0.214	majority	12.6	12.7	-1	0.214	36.2
173	Fri Jan 13 2017	16	10	0.185	majority	12.4	12.9	1	0.185	36.4
174	Tue Jan 17 2017	21	10	-0.297	minority	12.6	12.6	1	-0.297	36.1
175	Wed Jan 18 2017	19	11	0.176	majority	12.3	12.7	1	0.176	36.3
176	Thu Jan 19 2017	15	16	-0.361	majority	12.5	13.1	1	-0.361	36
177	Fri Jan 20 2017	18	13	0.337	majority	12.1	13.4	1	0.337	36.3
178	Mon Jan 23 2017	13	20	-0.269	majority	12.4	13.7	-1	0.269	36.6
179	Tue Jan 24 2017	22	9	0.656	majority	12.2	14.4	1	0.656	37.2
180	Wed Jan 25 2017	14	18	0.803	minority	12.8	13.6	1	0.803	38	1
181	Thu Jan 26 2017	13	15	-0.0735	majority	13.6	13.6	1	-0.0735	37.9
182	Fri Jan 27 2017	12	17	-0.0866	majority	13.5	13.7	1	-0.0866	37.9
183	Mon Jan 30 2017	17	9	-0.601	minority	13.5	13.1	1	-0.601	37.3
184	Tue Jan 31 2017	14	13	-0.089	minority	12.9	13	1	-0.089	37.2
185	Wed Feb 1 2017	23	5	0.0298	majority	12.8	13.1	1	0.0298	37.2
186	Thu Feb 2 2017	14	16	0.057	minority	12.8	13	1	0.057	37.3	1
187	Fri Feb 3 2017	13	16	0.726	minority	12.9	12.3	1	0.726	38	1
188	Mon Feb 6 2017	10	19	-0.212	majority	13.6	12.5	1	-0.212	37.8
189	Tue Feb 7 2017	17	11	0.0227	majority	13.4	12.5	1	0.0227	37.8
190	Wed Feb 8 2017	10	20	0.0693	minority	13.4	12.4	1	0.0693	37.9	1
191	Thu Feb 9 2017	12	18	0.575	minority	13.5	11.9	1	0.575	38.4	1
192	Fri Feb 10 2017	10	22	0.357	minority	14	11.5	1	0.357	38.8	1
193	Mon Feb 13 2017	18	17	0.525	majority	14.4	12	1	0.525	39.3
194	Tue Feb 14 2017	11	17	0.401	minority	14.9	11.6	1	0.401	39.7	1
195	Wed Feb 15 2017	17	14	0.499	majority	15.3	12.1	1	0.499	40.2
196	Thu Feb 16 2017	15	16	-0.0864	majority	15.8	12.2	1	-0.0864	40.1
197	Fri Feb 17 2017	18	13	0.168	majority	15.7	12.4	1	0.168	40.3
198	Tue Feb 21 2017	17	9	0.605	majority	15.9	13	1	0.605	40.9
199	Wed Feb 22 2017	14	11	-0.108	minority	16.5	12.9	1	-0.108	40.8
200	Thu Feb 23 2017	16	9	0.0419	majority	16.4	12.9	1	0.0419	40.8
201	Fri Feb 24 2017	15	16	0.149	minority	16.4	12.8	1	0.149	41	1
202	Mon Feb 27 2017	10	18	0.102	minority	16.6	12.7	1	0.102	41.1	1
203	Tue Feb 28 2017	11	14	-0.258	majority	16.7	12.9	-1	0.258	41.3
204	Wed Mar 1 2017	25	6	1.37	majority	16.4	14.3	1	1.37	42.7
205	Thu Mar 2 2017	9	18	-0.586	majority	17.8	14.9	-1	0.586	43.3
206	Fri Mar 3 2017	14	15	0.0504	minority	17.2	14.8	1	0.0504	43.4	1
207	Mon Mar 6 2017	13	15	-0.328	majority	17.3	15.2	1	-0.328	43
208	Tue Mar 7 2017	20	7	-0.291	minority	16.9	14.9	1	-0.291	42.7
209	Wed Mar 8 2017	17	14	-0.228	minority	16.6	14.6	1	-0.228	42.5
210	Thu Mar 9 2017	22	8	0.08	majority	16.4	14.7	1	0.08	42.6
211	Fri Mar 10 2017	24	7	0.327	majority	16.5	15	1	0.327	42.9
212	Mon Mar 13 2017	16	14	0.0367	majority	16.8	15.1	1	0.0367	42.9
213	Tue Mar 14 2017	21	10	-0.338	minority	16.9	14.7	1	-0.338	42.6
214	Wed Mar 15 2017	23	7	0.837	majority	16.5	15.6	1	0.837	43.4
215	Thu Mar 16 2017	20	10	-0.163	minority	17.4	15.4	1	-0.163	43.3
216	Fri Mar 17 2017	16	11	-0.131	minority	17.2	15.3	1	-0.131	43.2
217	Mon Mar 20 2017	11	18	-0.201	majority	17.1	15.5	1	-0.201	43
218	Tue Mar 21 2017	24	6	-1.24	minority	16.9	14.3	1	-1.24	41.7
219	Wed Mar 22 2017	19	14	0.189	majority	15.6	14.4	1	0.189	41.9
220	Thu Mar 23 2017	17	14	-0.106	minority	15.8	14.3	1	-0.106	41.8
221	Fri Mar 24 2017	18	13	-0.0844	minority	15.7	14.2	1	-0.0844	41.7
222	Mon Mar 27 2017	14	16	-0.102	majority	15.6	14.4	-1	0.102	41.8
223	Tue Mar 28 2017	23	9	0.725	majority	15.5	15.1	1	0.725	42.5
224	Wed Mar 29 2017	18	13	0.109	majority	16.2	15.2	1	0.109	42.6
225	Thu Mar 30 2017	14	19	0.294	minority	16.4	14.9	1	0.294	42.9	1
226	Fri Mar 31 2017	13	21	-0.226	majority	16.6	15.1	-1	0.226	43.2
227	Mon Apr 3 2017	9	15	-0.164	majority	16.4	15.3	1	-0.164	43
228	Tue Apr 4 2017	18	7	0.056	majority	16.3	15.3	1	0.056	43.1
229	Wed Apr 5 2017	21	11	-0.305	minority	16.3	15	1	-0.305	42.8
230	Thu Apr 6 2017	21	8	0.193	majority	16	15.2	1	0.193	42.9
231	Fri Apr 7 2017	19	12	-0.0827	minority	16.2	15.1	1	-0.0827	42.9
232	Mon Apr 10 2017	18	11	0.0688	majority	16.1	15.2	1	0.0688	42.9
233	Tue Apr 11 2017	10	17	-0.143	majority	16.2	15.4	1	-0.143	42.8
234	Wed Apr 12 2017	20	10	-0.376	minority	16	15	1	-0.376	42.4
235	Thu Apr 13 2017	23	10	-0.681	minority	15.7	14.3	1	-0.681	41.7
236	Mon Apr 17 2017	22	9	0.861	majority	15	15.2	1	0.861	42.6
237	Tue Apr 18 2017	19	12	-0.29	minority	15.8	14.9	1	-0.29	42.3
238	Wed Apr 19 2017	23	9	-0.172	minority	15.6	14.7	1	-0.172	42.1
239	Thu Apr 20 2017	21	10	0.756	majority	15.4	15.5	1	0.756	42.9
240	Fri Apr 21 2017	16	14	-0.304	minority	16.1	15.1	1	-0.304	42.6
241	Mon Apr 24 2017	22	11	1.08	majority	15.8	16.2	1	1.08	43.7
242	Tue Apr 25 2017	14	12	0.609	majority	16.9	16.8	1	0.609	44.3
243	Wed Apr 26 2017	15	19	-0.0486	majority	17.5	16.9	1	-0.0486	44.2
244	Thu Apr 27 2017	16	14	0.0553	majority	17.5	16.9	1	0.0553	44.3
245	Fri Apr 28 2017	14	14	-0.191	?	17.5	16.9	1	-0.191	44.1
246	Mon May 1 2017	19	6	0.173	majority	17.3	17.1	1	0.173	44.3
247	Tue May 2 2017	13	16	0.119	minority	17.5	17	1	0.119	44.4	1
248	Wed May 3 2017	16	10	-0.127	minority	17.6	16.9	1	-0.127	44.3
249	Thu May 4 2017	17	7	0.0582	majority	17.5	16.9	1	0.0582	44.3
250	Fri May 5 2017	21	10	0.409	majority	17.6	17.3	1	0.409	44.7
251	Mon May 8 2017	17	10	0.00374	majority	18	17.3	1	0.00374	44.7
252	Tue May 9 2017	17	12	-0.103	minority	18	17.2	1	-0.103	44.6
253	Wed May 10 2017	11	16	0.113	minority	17.9	17.1	1	0.113	44.7	1
254	Thu May 11 2017	10	17	-0.216	majority	18	17.3	1	-0.216	44.5
255	Fri May 12 2017	13	16	-0.148	majority	17.8	17.5	1	-0.148	44.4
256	Mon May 15 2017	21	6	0.478	majority	17.6	18	1	0.478	44.8
257	Tue May 16 2017	12	14	-0.0687	majority	18.1	18	1	-0.0687	44.8
258	Wed May 17 2017	13	11	-1.82	minority	18	16.2	-1	1.82	46.6	1
259	Thu May 18 2017	16	9	0.369	majority	16.2	16.6	1	0.369	47
260	Fri May 19 2017	10	19	0.677	minority	16.6	15.9	1	0.677	47.6	1
261	Mon May 22 2017	15	11	0.516	majority	17.3	16.4	1	0.516	48.2
262	Tue May 23 2017	10	18	0.184	minority	17.8	16.2	-1	-0.184	48
263	Wed May 24 2017	11	16	0.249	minority	18	16	-1	-0.249	47.7
264	Thu May 25 2017	16	8	0.444	majority	18.2	16.4	1	0.444	48.2
265	Fri May 26 2017	13	11	0.0311	majority	18.7	16.5	1	0.0311	48.2
266	Tue May 30 2017	12	14	-0.12	majority	18.7	16.6	-1	0.12	48.3
267	Wed May 31 2017	14	13	-0.046	minority	18.6	16.5	1	-0.046	48.3
268	Thu Jun 1 2017	17	8	0.757	majority	18.5	17.3	1	0.757	49
269	Fri Jun 2 2017	18	11	0.371	majority	19.3	17.7	1	0.371	49.4
270	Mon Jun 5 2017	11	13	-0.122	majority	19.7	17.8	1	-0.122	49.3
271	Tue Jun 6 2017	12	17	-0.278	majority	19.5	18.1	-1	0.278	49.6
272	Wed Jun 7 2017	17	12	0.157	majority	19.3	18.2	1	0.157	49.7
273	Thu Jun 8 2017	11	17	0.0267	minority	19.4	18.2	1	0.0267	49.7	1
274	Fri Jun 9 2017	19	10	-0.083	minority	19.4	18.1	1	-0.083	49.7
275	Mon Jun 12 2017	18	12	-0.0979	minority	19.4	18	1	-0.0979	49.6
276	Tue Jun 13 2017	18	8	0.451	majority	19.3	18.5	1	0.451	50
277	Wed Jun 14 2017	18	14	-0.0996	minority	19.7	18.4	1	-0.0996	49.9
278	Thu Jun 15 2017	7	20	-0.224	majority	19.6	18.6	-1	0.224	50.1
279	Fri Jun 16 2017	21	8	0.0284	majority	19.4	18.6	1	0.0284	50.2
280	Mon Jun 19 2017	19	10	0.835	majority	19.4	19.5	1	0.835	51
281	Tue Jun 20 2017	17	8	-0.67	minority	20.2	18.8	1	-0.67	50.3
282	Wed Jun 21 2017	10	16	-0.0583	majority	19.6	18.8	-1	0.0583	50.4
283	Thu Jun 22 2017	18	7	-0.0456	minority	19.5	18.8	1	-0.0456	50.3
284	Fri Jun 23 2017	18	8	0.156	majority	19.5	19	1	0.156	50.5
285	Mon Jun 26 2017	20	6	0.0316	majority	19.6	19	1	0.0316	50.5
286	Tue Jun 27 2017	15	15	-0.807	?	19.7	19	1	-0.807	49.7
287	Wed Jun 28 2017	16	14	0.881	majority	18.9	19.9	1	0.881	50.6
288	Thu Jun 29 2017	15	11	-0.86	minority	19.7	19	1	-0.86	49.7
289	Fri Jun 30 2017	17	8	0.153	majority	18.9	19.2	1	0.153	49.9
290	Mon Jul 3 2017	22	2	0.231	majority	19	19.4	1	0.231	50.1
291	Wed Jul 5 2017	16	12	0.145	majority	19.3	19.5	1	0.145	50.3
292	Thu Jul 6 2017	11	16	-0.937	majority	19.4	20.5	-1	0.937	51.2
293	Fri Jul 7 2017	20	9	0.64	majority	18.5	21.1	1	0.64	51.9
294	Mon Jul 10 2017	20	13	0.0928	majority	19.1	21.2	1	0.0928	51.9
295	Tue Jul 11 2017	17	12	-0.0783	minority	19.2	21.1	1	-0.0783	51.9
296	Wed Jul 12 2017	20	10	0.731	majority	19.1	21.9	1	0.731	52.6
297	Thu Jul 13 2017	12	16	0.187	minority	19.9	21.7	1	0.187	52.8	1
298	Fri Jul 14 2017	13	16	0.467	minority	20	21.2	1	0.467	53.3	1
299	Mon Jul 17 2017	15	9	-0.00529	minority	20.5	21.2	1	-0.00529	53.2
300	Tue Jul 18 2017	14	10	0.0598	majority	20.5	21.3	1	0.0598	53.3
301	Wed Jul 19 2017	16	9	0.537	majority	20.6	21.8	1	0.537	53.8
302	Thu Jul 20 2017	17	10	-0.0154	minority	21.1	21.8	1	-0.0154	53.8
303	Fri Jul 21 2017	10	15	-0.0368	majority	21.1	21.8	-1	0.0368	53.9
304	Mon Jul 24 2017	11	13	-0.106	majority	21	21.9	1	-0.106	53.8
305	Tue Jul 25 2017	17	5	0.292	majority	20.9	22.2	1	0.292	54.1
306	Wed Jul 26 2017	11	12	0.0283	minority	21.2	22.2	-1	-0.0283	54
307	Thu Jul 27 2017	14	11	-0.0973	minority	21.3	22.1	-1	0.0973	54.1	1
308	Fri Jul 28 2017	12	13	-0.134	majority	21.2	22.2	-1	0.134	54.3
309	Mon Jul 31 2017	15	11	-0.0728	minority	21	22.2	1	-0.0728	54.2
310	Tue Aug 1 2017	17	7	0.245	majority	21	22.4	1	0.245	54.4
311	Wed Aug 2 2017	17	12	0.0493	majority	21.2	22.5	1	0.0493	54.5
312	Thu Aug 3 2017	13	13	-0.218	?	21.3	22.5	1	-0.218	54.3
313	Fri Aug 4 2017	16	9	0.189	majority	21	22.6	1	0.189	54.4
314	Mon Aug 7 2017	14	9	0.165	majority	21.2	22.8	1	0.165	54.6
315	Tue Aug 8 2017	13	10	-0.241	minority	21.4	22.6	-1	0.241	54.9	1
316	Wed Aug 9 2017	12	10	-0.0364	minority	21.1	22.5	1	-0.0364	54.8
317	Thu Aug 10 2017	11	11	-1.45	?	21.1	22.5	-1	1.45	56.3
318	Fri Aug 11 2017	17	9	0.128	majority	19.7	22.7	1	0.128	56.4
319	Mon Aug 14 2017	23	3	1	majority	19.8	23.7	1	1	57.4
320	Tue Aug 15 2017	19	8	-0.0499	minority	20.8	23.6	1	-0.0499	57.3
321	Wed Aug 16 2017	14	15	0.142	minority	20.7	23.5	1	0.142	57.5	1
322	Thu Aug 17 2017	14	16	-1.54	majority	20.9	25	-1	1.54	59
323	Fri Aug 18 2017	19	7	-0.184	minority	19.3	24.8	1	-0.184	58.8
324	Mon Aug 21 2017	18	11	0.116	majority	19.2	24.9	1	0.116	59
325	Tue Aug 22 2017	22	9	0.994	majority	19.3	25.9	1	0.994	60
326	Wed Aug 23 2017	19	12	-0.345	minority	20.3	25.6	1	-0.345	59.6
327	Thu Aug 24 2017	20	14	-0.207	minority	19.9	25.4	1	-0.207	59.4
328	Fri Aug 25 2017	21	8	0.167	majority	19.7	25.6	1	0.167	59.6
329	Mon Aug 28 2017	13	16	0.0487	minority	19.9	25.5	1	0.0487	59.6	1
330	Tue Aug 29 2017	15	17	0.0822	minority	19.9	25.4	1	0.0822	59.7	1
331	Wed Aug 30 2017	14	12	0.464	majority	20	25.9	1	0.464	60.2
332	Thu Aug 31 2017	11	17	0.572	minority	20.5	25.3	1	0.572	60.7	1
333	Fri Sep 1 2017	19	8	0.198	majority	21	25.5	1	0.198	60.9
334	Tue Sep 5 2017	13	18	-0.755	majority	21.2	26.3	-1	0.755	61.7
335	Wed Sep 6 2017	18	12	0.313	majority	20.5	26.6	1	0.313	62
336	Thu Sep 7 2017	13	16	-0.0178	majority	20.8	26.6	-1	0.0178	62
337	Fri Sep 8 2017	18	12	-0.149	minority	20.8	26.4	-1	0.149	62.2	1
338	Mon Sep 11 2017	24	5	1.08	majority	20.6	27.5	1	1.08	63.3
339	Tue Sep 12 2017	18	12	0.336	majority	21.7	27.9	1	0.336	63.6
340	Wed Sep 13 2017	16	19	0.0757	minority	22.1	27.8	-1	-0.0757	63.5
341	Thu Sep 14 2017	10	19	-0.11	majority	22.1	27.9	-1	0.11	63.6
342	Fri Sep 15 2017	10	18	0.185	minority	22	27.7	-1	-0.185	63.4
343	Mon Sep 18 2017	18	9	0.146	majority	22.2	27.9	1	0.146	63.6
344	Tue Sep 19 2017	15	14	0.111	majority	22.4	28	1	0.111	63.7
345	Wed Sep 20 2017	13	13	0.0634	?	22.5	28	1	0.0634	63.8
346	Thu Sep 21 2017	12	19	-0.305	majority	22.5	28.3	-1	0.305	64.1
347	Fri Sep 22 2017	14	17	0.0648	minority	22.2	28.2	-1	-0.0648	64
348	Mon Sep 25 2017	14	13	-0.222	minority	22.3	28	1	-0.222	63.8
349	Tue Sep 26 2017	17	11	0.00721	majority	22.1	28	1	0.00721	63.8
350	Wed Sep 27 2017	15	12	0.409	majority	22.1	28.4	1	0.409	64.2
351	Thu Sep 28 2017	16	15	0.12	majority	22.5	28.5	1	0.12	64.3
352	Fri Sep 29 2017	12	17	0.371	minority	22.6	28.2	1	0.371	64.7	1
353	Mon Oct 2 2017	18	6	0	?	23	28.2	1	0	64.7

盈透阿狗 · 发表于 2017-10-2 02:52 AM

"源济" voted 涨 at Fri Sep 29 15:58:49 2017
"风行过" voted 跌 at Fri Sep 29 15:58:49 2017
"ranchgirl" voted 涨 at Fri Sep 29 16:03:50 2017
"rightonmoney" voted 涨 at Fri Sep 29 16:05:50 2017
"ysc" voted 涨 at Fri Sep 29 17:00:50 2017
"coexist" voted 跌 at Fri Sep 29 17:09:50 2017
"pll" voted 涨 at Fri Sep 29 18:24:50 2017
"bokchoy888" voted 涨 at Fri Sep 29 21:02:49 2017
"littletiger" voted 跌 at Sun Oct 1 12:20:42 2017
"RespectRisk" voted 跌 at Sun Oct 1 17:48:42 2017
"Elephant" voted 跌 at Sun Oct 1 17:55:42 2017
"bucks" voted 涨 at Sun Oct 1 18:26:42 2017
"tcm328pan" voted 涨 at Sun Oct 1 18:53:41 2017
"oldwolf" voted 涨 at Sun Oct 1 19:30:41 2017
"QQQ?" voted 涨 at Sun Oct 1 20:14:41 2017
"Scaling" voted 跌 at Sun Oct 1 21:28:41 2017
"秋雨" voted 涨 at Sun Oct 1 21:41:41 2017
"我是谁" voted 涨 at Sun Oct 1 22:01:41 2017
"sunset6" voted 涨 at Sun Oct 1 22:01:41 2017
"acoust" voted 涨 at Sun Oct 1 22:24:41 2017
"Bencat" voted 涨 at Sun Oct 1 23:27:41 2017
"bank9" voted 涨 at Mon Oct 2 00:10:40 2017
"georgeyn" voted 涨 at Mon Oct 2 00:55:40 2017
"itsme" voted 涨 at Mon Oct 2 02:39:40 2017

===============================
There are 24 votes, in total, on Mon Oct 2 2017.
18涨: Bencat, QQQ?, acoust, bank9, bokchoy888, bucks, georgeyn, itsme, oldwolf, pll, ranchgirl, rightonmoney, sunset6, tcm328pan, ysc, 我是谁, 源济, 秋雨
6跌: Elephant, RespectRisk, Scaling, coexist, littletiger, 风行过
0平:
HI-MODEL supports 涨 (majority)

盈透阿狗 · 发表于 2017-10-2 06:14 AM

源济发表于 2017-10-1 07:13 PM
更进一步，HI-Model能否在每天收盘之前给出第二天的预测？如果可以的话，更有实际指导意义。

请问“源济”，您的投票站是几点钟开始呀？每天收盘时，您的投票站甚至都没有打开，可是您想知道投票结果，说明您根本不懂HI-MODEL. 让“蛋炒饭”给您补补课吧。

源济 · 发表于 2017-10-2 06:27 AM

盈透阿狗发表于 2017-10-2 06:14 AM
请问“源济”，您的投票站是几点钟开始呀？每天收盘时，您的投票站甚至都没有打开，可是您想知道投票结果 ...

可以根据“每周投票”的结果给出第二天的预测。不过，我猜测这时HI-Model的结果很不理想，就像前期的统计结果。

源济 · 发表于 2017-10-2 06:30 AM

盈透阿狗发表于 2017-10-2 06:14 AM
请问“源济”，您的投票站是几点钟开始呀？每天收盘时，您的投票站甚至都没有打开，可是您想知道投票结果 ...

“每日投票”可以随时开启，在我这里不是问题，关键是有多少人投票，大家愿意在什么时候投票。

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