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本帖最后由 novice_trader 于 2017-7-21 11:54 PM 编辑
Purely from naked pattern wise, I think ES will follow one of the three patterns in next few days.
1.ES will stay in range or for two days. The range is 2460-2480. MM will patiently wait for FOMC on Wednesday. This view is based on repeat patterns and typical pattern before FOMC. Also, it is possible we will top out on FOMC day. After FOMC, the market will go down toward 2420.
2.ES will continue to move slowly to the downside(2448) and then will rally hard on FOMC. We will top out on FOMC day. It similar to the 1 (above) with downside tendency.
3.ES will pull back today and will rally hard on Monday (Tuesday)due to BOJ meeting minutes. It will stay in range again and FOMC will become no event. The Uptrend will remain in the summer time. The rumor of big selloff and crash will continue spread around.
Either way, based on my observation, ES will continue going up. But again, the sky is limited and as long as 2476 resistance hold, my trading plan will be selling high.
Update: VIX has 30 minutes bullish pattern. So we may have some pull back first on Monday. |
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