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ES 牛熊战报 2/8/2016

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发表于 2016-2-8 05:32 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


Today RUT broke below January low by 3 points. Nasdaq closed below January low. Those are more important than the impressive intraday reversal. Today ES left an unfilled gap 1855~1865.75. For tomorrow this gap will be the focus for upside reference.

Yesterday I listed 3 scenarios for rest of February. Today's price action validated the bearish case. So as long as ES below 1865, the risk is to the downside, and target is around 1775. To be clear, this is for swing target, not for tomorrow.

Tomorrow ES trading:
·         Today intraday reversal is very impressive. Need to see whether tomorrow want to build on the afternoon rally, or retest today's low.
·         1864~1865 is the bull/bear zone. Above is bullish. Below is bearish.
·        ES has good odds to go down to 1837.5~1839.5 .
·         Levels to watch: 1880, 1864/1865, 1855, 1837.5~1839.5, 1821.75, 1804.25, 1775.

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发表于 2016-2-8 05:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2016-2-8 06:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
  扎西德勒

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发表于 2016-2-8 08:16 PM | 显示全部楼层
新春快乐,吉祥如意!

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发表于 2016-2-8 08:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2016-2-9 04:06 AM | 显示全部楼层

新春快乐!

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 楼主| 发表于 2016-2-9 08:55 AM | 显示全部楼层
Have to watch USD/JPY, the funding currency. Last night low 114.21. If below 114, it will be very ugly for ES. Bulls want to see it back above 116 and stays.

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Good catch. ES will drop hard if USDJPY crash under 116 which is 15 month H&S neckline.  发表于 2016-2-9 09:02 AM

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