Here is when I think a very big pull-back might take place

luckystar2006

While I believe that SPX might have at least one higher high ahead during next week, but a big pull-back will take place when upper bollinger band crosses below blue line (i.e. blue circle).  I noticed several of such actions in the past with market rallying from the bottom.  

Speaking of which, I'll sell my SPXL immediately when SPX touches upper BB.

HAVE A GOOD WEEKEND EVERYONE

Wenyue

2028？

Cobra

Wow, touch upper BB, you're so bullish!

源济

谢谢分享，周末愉快！

yanzi

The upper bb is dropping fast. It will not be 2028.

hais

你最后一句可能写错l了。和你前面说的不一样。不过意思挺明确，多谢分享。

luckystar2006

Cobra 发表于 2016-1-29 05:34 PM
Wow, touch upper BB, you're so bullish!

I'm only bullish for another 30 to 60pts (for SPX).  However, I'll pack up & run IMMEDIATE from bulls' camp to bears' camp as soon as short-term signals kicking in.

lite1067

Cobra 发表于 2016-1-29 05:34 PM
Wow, touch upper BB, you're so bullish!

He dies not mean spy touch upper BB.

luckystar2006

hais 发表于 2016-1-29 06:25 PM
你最后一句可能写错l了。和你前面说的不一样。不过意思挺明确，多谢分享。

Not really.  When SPX hits upper BB, it's very likely my special signal would get triggered (I mentioned this signal a couple of times before and then market dropped big over next few days) to suggest SPX dropping at least +30pts.  So, I'll sell either this special kicking in or short-term sell signals kicking in.

hais

luckystar2006 发表于 2016-1-29 06:38 PM
Not really.  When SPX hits upper BB, it's very likely my special signal would get triggered (I men ...

感觉upper bb band will touch blue line earlier. Spx touch BB upper band 可能需要更长的时间。

tcm328pan

Thanks

Rosie22

jukifox

这次的走法很奇怪，就是在底下横了一周，你看1小时的均线都被反复揉搓，周五就算没有日本负利率，一样会大涨，但是由于这样所以高度可能会比马上反弹回去做W底要高。

jukifox

所以我觉得这次有可能单边，pull-back的机率有点小。但是在碰到30线，60线的时候，有可能会回调一点。周一，1小时已经到高位了，可能是RANGE或者小阳吧。

HappyMoney

georgeyn

Read0nly

蓝线是MA20均线，和BB上沿线下周都会继续下行，交叉会在2000附近，这个点位就是俺上周喊抄底时依据周线看的高点。中间还要看1950附近熊军的抵抗情形，或许下下周才能到。从本周的情况看，这个底做的比较结实，2000还是有希望的。终归这是熊市中的技术反弹，反弹高度需要打折扣，折扣大小同经济基本面的恶劣程度相关，做多需要小心。

Ed02

luckystar2006

After going thru many charts over the w'end, I'm >90% sure that there is at least a higher high ahead.  Besides, I'm ~70% sure that this won't be a V shape recovering.  Hence, I guess we might see a W shape before a big rally until April-May???