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More or less repeating his sentiments from a TV interview yesterday, Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer - presenting at Jackson Hole - hints a rate hike was probably in the cards for September, but repercussions from the deflating China bubble have halted the momentum for tighter policy here.
"At this moment, we are following developments in the Chinese economy and their actual and potential effects on other economies even more closely than usual."
Fischer remains confident inflation - yesterday's core PCE price index rose just 1.2% Y/Y - will move back towards its 2% target.
The FOMC also wants to see further improvement in the labor market. Noting the economy averaged job gains of 235K over the three months ending in July, Fischer says the central bank awaits the August job figures due on Sept. 4.
http://www.federalreserve.gov/ne ... ischer20150829a.htm
不确定性很大,波动性还会维持一段时间。可能的剧本估计是先猪几天,然后buy on rumor, sell on news. |
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