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The week of stock market after Super Bowl

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发表于 2015-1-31 07:32 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


Over the entire sample period, the average return during the week before (after) the Super Bowl is 0.09% (+0.67%), with standard deviation 2.33% (2.06%).

Over the 1967-1990 subperiod, the average return during the week before (after) the Super Bowl is -0.16% (+0.84%), with standard deviation 2.32% (1.86%).

Over the 1991-2014 subperiod, the average return during the week before (after) the Super Bowl is 0.35% (+0.50%), with standard deviation 2.37% (2.27%).

http://www.cxoadvisory.com/4479/ ... and-the-super-bowl/

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 楼主| 发表于 2015-1-31 07:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
After Super Bowl, the weekly return is +0.67%.
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发表于 2015-1-31 07:36 PM | 显示全部楼层
至少就是, 超级碗之后一周比前一周要好一些。 上周周线很难看啊

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发表于 2015-1-31 08:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
跟这个还有关系啊?支持支持!

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 楼主| 发表于 2015-1-31 09:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
wreckbeach 发表于 2015-1-31 08:42 PM
跟这个还有关系啊?支持支持!

橄榄球是美国的国球,抵一个大节日。
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发表于 2015-1-31 10:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2015-1-31 10:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
The Super Bowl Indicator is a superstition that says that the stock market's performance in a given year can be predicted based on the outcome of the Super Bowl of that year. It was "discovered" by Leonard Koppett in the '70s when he realized that it had never been wrong, until that point. This pseudo-macroeconomic concept states that if a team from the American Football Conference (AFC) wins, then it will be a bear market (or down market), but if a team from the National Football Conference (NFC) wins, then it will be a bull market (up market).

The indicator has been correct 33 out of 41 times, as measured by the Dow Jones Industrial Average – a success rate of over 80%. However, since a particular football league winning a Super Bowl and the US Stock market have no real connection this is just a coincidence. Therefore there is no reason to expect it will work as a predictor of future bull markets.

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发表于 2015-1-31 11:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
Monday after Super Bowl usually goes down. Many people call in for sick leave, or take one day off before the weekend.

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 楼主| 发表于 2015-2-1 09:08 AM | 显示全部楼层
wnd4 发表于 2015-1-31 11:02 PM
Monday after Super Bowl usually goes down. Many people call in for sick leave, or take one day off b ...

Monday seems weak.
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发表于 2015-2-1 03:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2015-2-1 05:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2015-2-1 09:17 PM | 显示全部楼层
thank you very much

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发表于 2015-2-1 10:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
BOSTON WINS

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 楼主| 发表于 2015-2-1 11:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
summer123 发表于 2015-2-1 10:13 PM
BOSTON WINS

Yes. Patriots.
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发表于 2015-2-1 11:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
Patriots is AFC, bear market?
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-2-1 11:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
RespectRisk 发表于 2015-2-1 11:13 PM
Patriots is AFC, bear market?

The ending of the whole game means more, I think.
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发表于 2015-2-1 11:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
这场球跟最近的股市很像,大波大浪,现在的状态就像最后那个一码线,破还是不破马上就要见分晓了。
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-2-2 09:04 AM | 显示全部楼层
My XIV bought on Friday evening was sold this morning. Lower price is ahead.
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-2-7 09:48 AM | 显示全部楼层
Market in the post Super Bowl week surged more than 0.67%.
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发表于 2015-2-7 11:36 AM | 显示全部楼层
how about next week?
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