指数交易： 2014-10

bucks

2014-1007

RUT has broken down. Very cautiously watching SPY.

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2014-10-08

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14-1009

刚从OLDWOLF那儿学来的。看着非常熊。

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2014-10-09

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Down percentages

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2014-1010

如果是股票，这个形态怎么也算不上一个TRADABLE的底部吧？（超短线除外），还看不到底部在哪里，忘掉MA200吧，有时它啥都不是，参见RUT。

市场若能周一返回1926，就还有戏，那就需要一个1%的涨。万事皆有可能，这个SCENARIO的概率很低而已。等等吧！

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Down percentage update

为什么用%？William O'Neil喜欢用%，一般来说，20%获利，8%割肉。大股票30%有点极限的味道。指数跌10%，很多股票已跌20%-30%了。对不对，就算是个想法。

bigbadwolf

I share the similar view of these two charts. Hopefully a sizable rebound will come around the 200妈。But we have to wait the development of the right shoulder.



http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=173216#p173216

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bigbadwolf 发表于 2014-10-11 01:58 PM
I share the similar view of these two charts. Hopefully a sizable rebound will come around the 200妈 ...

好像很多人看在这（~1900）反弹向上做右肩

Elephant

bucks 发表于 2014-10-11 03:51 PM
好像很多人看在这（~1900）反弹向上做右肩

能这么理想么?我看能到1950就很好了.

Elephant

有人认为现在开始的才是(IV),也就是说(V)的地方换成(III),所以,这决定了还有没有新高.

goldbug

很多人看右肩，说不定就没有了，被凶残的MM砍掉了

面瓜

大多数人还是长钱看牛的思维。

bucks

Elephant 发表于 2014-10-11 04:11 PM
能这么理想么?我看能到1950就很好了.

to be honest, I think the support at 1900 may not be able to defend the downward momentum this time. So, we may see a double top instead of SHS pattern.

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goldbug 发表于 2014-10-11 04:27 PM
很多人看右肩，说不定就没有了，被凶残的MM砍掉了

that;s my concern. Indeed, my fun-only prediction is that we may see 1880 very soon, quite likely on Monday. Then, a minor rebound, and one more leg down.

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纯属娱乐

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2014-10-13

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bucks 发表于 2014-10-11 06:00 PM
that;s my concern. Indeed, my fun-only prediction is that we may see 1880 very soon, quite likel ...

呵呵, 1880 说到就到。后两天应该反弹，然后在下降，到不一定出新低了。若如此，就是一个不错的机会。

bucks

The last time we saw dropping more than 1% 3 days in a row was Jan 2010, and then the famous 2008 bear mkt

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2014-10-13

1min图时间不对