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[灌水] 4/9 FA

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发表于 2014-4-9 03:32 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


一般来说,炒股看图形就可以了,因为指导市场走势的消息,MM都比我们预先知道,他们的意图都反映到图形里了,所以看图形就可以了。

不过今天可能出现了连MM都不知道的消息。

The Fed apparently held a previously unreported videoconference meeting to strategize about how to change its forward guidance on short-term rates, which was one of the key outcomes of the last meeting. An excerpt:

The Committee met by videoconference on March 4, 2014。。。

如果查FOMC meeting schedule,3/4的meeting是unscheduled。

但是究竟是不是MM原来不知道这个消息,或者这消息对市场真的有方向性的影响,未来1,2,3天的走法很关键。大家还是静观其变。

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发表于 2014-4-9 03:39 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2014-4-9 03:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2014-4-9 03:53 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2014-4-9 05:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
也就是说, 今天这一出可能打破了原来计划好的走法?
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发表于 2014-4-9 06:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2014-4-9 06:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2014-4-9 06:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2014-4-9 09:56 PM | 显示全部楼层
据CNBC 说这个video conf 中提到 政策对股市的影响,(还是股市对政策的影响),anyway, it shows FED care about stock market response.
所以CNBC 总的结论,就是 super dovish

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发表于 2014-4-9 10:22 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2014-4-9 11:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 90ufo 于 2014-4-10 12:17 AM 编辑

Doug Cote, chief investment strategist at ING U.S. Investment Management, says two things stood out in the Fed minutes, and both indicate a dovish stand that markets are liking.

“Most participants revised down their GDP projections, which means they will want to stay accommodating. There were concerns about low inflation among Fed officials. Current PCE at about 1.5% is below the Fed’s target 2% rate. This would mean rates will stay low for longer. And even when the rates are raised it will be done in a slow and measured way, without any shocks,” Cote said.  

Federal Reserve officials had a secret video conference call in early March and reached a general consensus that the 6.5% unemployment rate threshold for the first rate hike was outdated, the central bank said Wednesday. A summary of the video conference was included in the minutes of the Fed’s March 18-19 meeting. On the conference call, the central bankers were clearly worried that changing the forward guidance would impact markets. 怕spook market

Fed officials have publicly encouraged a view that the first interest-rate increase won’t happen until the second half of 2015 at the earliest, and most economists hadn’t expected the minutes to sway from that.

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发表于 2014-4-9 11:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2014-4-9 11:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2014-4-10 12:27 AM | 显示全部楼层
thank you very much
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发表于 2014-4-10 02:13 AM | 显示全部楼层
支持炒股主要看图形,

因为好的信息得花钱买,比如Bloomberg - Business, Financial & Economic News, Stock ...
一个终端每月1500美元,看了Bloomberg就有不得外传的义务,人家也不告许。

这个每月1500美元的Bloomberg终端,还没有包括关键信息,
就是所以市场参与者的仓位,仓量,StopLess, Take Profit,。。。假如小散也知道这些信息,可能容易赚钱。

小散没法子,力所能及的就是看图形。
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