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Forex/Futures ST for Week 6/03-6/07

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-6 07:37 PM | 显示全部楼层


Currency traders are betting a weak NFP data point ...
Seems though the reaction on the labor data has been displayed today. Any leaks or high accuracy predictions?
AUDUSD(Daily)20130606173505.png
USDCAD(Daily)20130606173456.png
GBPUSD(Daily)20130606173433.png
EURUSD(Daily)20130606173418.png
USDJPY(Daily)20130606173359.png
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发表于 2013-6-6 07:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
谢谢好图!

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发表于 2013-6-6 08:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2013-6-6 08:55 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 hahaa 于 2013-6-6 09:05 PM 编辑

ES_2h
2013-06-06-ES2h.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-6 09:37 PM | 显示全部楼层
hahaa 发表于 2013-6-6 09:55 PM
ES_2h

Bought dip? I haven't opened any futures yet ...
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发表于 2013-6-6 09:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2013-6-6 09:37 PM
Bought dip? I haven't opened any futures yet ...

这段时间太忙,心不静, 没有买到dip. 现在走法和2011年3月份很像,这里可能在走日线图的左肩。就2小时图来看,这里也可能没有第二腿回测1596.5了,也许会来个头肩底后直接上冲。我今晚在1617(虚蓝线处)设了个买单,止损1593.5. 图形看,短期上测那根红线的可能非常大。
绿老大准备在哪里进?
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-7 09:05 AM | 显示全部楼层
hahaa 发表于 2013-6-6 10:48 PM
这段时间太忙,心不静, 没有买到dip. 现在走法和2011年3月份很像,这里可能在走日线图的左肩。就2小时图 ...

I bought some IYR fund for my 401K only. It is in a sense to double my "bond holding positions". I think I should dump my remaining pure bond holdings in the coming weeks.

I won't ST/DT by hand any more, too stressful both physically and mentally. I'm still testing my machine traders ... made some good progress. It's in real-time simulation stage.

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-7 11:24 AM | 显示全部楼层
NIKKEI may have finally bottomed ... higher low ahead of SPX.
Watching this S/R for the first trend-following entry.
Japan 225(Hourly)20130607092215.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-7 11:25 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 greenback 于 2013-6-7 12:26 PM 编辑

Of course watching JPY too ...
USDJPY(Hourly)20130607092352.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-7 11:26 AM | 显示全部楼层
SPX ...
SPX 500(Hourly)20130607092538.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-7 11:31 AM | 显示全部楼层
Crude has been a leading indicator this time ...
Crude Oil(Daily)20130607093011.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-7 11:32 AM | 显示全部楼层
SPY is testing ma20 on the daily chart, though SPX hasn't.
sc.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-7 11:53 AM | 显示全部楼层
US 10yr rate is increasing too fast, bad for stocks ...
Looks like the bond price is posted to go down more ahead.
US 10 YR T-Note(15 Minutes)20130607095104.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-7 02:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
Looks like my ST long position in YM was entered at 12pm on Jun 6, and my last ST short position in YM was closed at 12:40pm on Jun 4. The trailing stop is 100 pt for long and 80 pt for short.

Why do I use YM since it gives a better performance with the tested strategies.
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-7 04:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
Okay, a quick recap ... bulls' actions now make the breakdown a false one ... Good job!
US Small Cap 2000(Daily)20130607143905.png
Japan 225(Daily)20130607143835.png
DAX(Daily)20130607143749.png
SPX 500(Daily)20130607143731.png
NQ 100(Daily)20130607143701.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-7 04:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
Looks like bond traders decide to fold since the FED will taper its bond purchases, though maybe not a lot when it first starts it.
Euro Bund(Daily)20130607144209.png
Japan Govt. Bond(Daily)20130607144132.png
US 10 YR T-Note(Daily)20130607144101.png
US 30 YR T-Bond(Daily)20130607144526.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-7 04:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
Too bad GOLD tanked, since less QE, and stronger USD, and no excuse for safety.
Gold(Daily)20130607144623.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-7 04:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
CRUDE is leading well this leg. Good boy!
Crude Oil(Daily)20130607144555.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-6-7 04:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
Looks like EURO would go on its upswing;
JPY might have bottomed;
GBP would stop here;
CAD breakdown is a valid one by now;
AUD has failed the backtest and continue its down leg.
AUDUSD(Daily)20130607144938.png
USDCAD(Daily)20130607144908.png
GBPUSD(Daily)20130607144848.png
USDJPY(Daily)20130607144836.png
EURUSD(Daily)20130607144826.png
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