牛牛今天败下阵来

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2013-4-15 11:50 PM

落魄惊魂

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2013-4-15 11:52 PM

源济 · 发表于 2013-4-15 11:52 PM

Bencat · 发表于 2013-4-16 12:48 AM

too bearish!

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2013-4-16 12:52 AM

Bencat 发表于 2013-4-15 09:48 PM
too bearish!

VIX too panic. waiting for a bounce.

befriend · 发表于 2013-4-16 01:15 AM

Kami · 发表于 2013-4-16 01:18 AM

多半没跌完，短期反弹一下后估计还是会到50天上下探探。

但是这是不是就是长达几个月的调整的开始，还不一定。

九天 · 发表于 2013-4-16 01:21 AM

VIX 是最活跃的股市指数，历史上曾经日内波动60%以上，你查查看。

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2013-4-16 02:52 AM

Kami 发表于 2013-4-15 10:18 PM 多半没跌完，短期反弹一下后估计还是会到50天上下探探。但是这是不是就是长达几个月的调整的开始，还不 ...

If today VIX up over 40% (SPX down) and closed above VIX upper BB, what next days?

Answer: 100% sure tomorrow green. Be careful, the next next day 100% sure red again.

In history, it happened four times, including 04/15/2013.
So I would say, tomorrow would be green. Less than 10 pts up (about).

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2013-4-16 02:53 AM

Kami · 发表于 2013-4-16 04:36 AM

silicon_beaver 发表于 2013-4-16 02:53 AM

呵呵，不错。期指是绿的，今天超跌反弹是跑不了啦。

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2013-4-17 11:10 AM

After 04/15 crash.

Next day: green. done.
Next next day: red. done.

呵呵，Statistics works when it works.

higherhigh · 发表于 2013-4-17 11:14 AM

silicon_beaver 发表于 2013-4-17 11:10 AM
After 04/15 crash.

Next day: green. done.

明天怎样 ?

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2013-4-17 11:34 AM

higherhigh 发表于 2013-4-17 08:14 AM
明天怎样 ?

The table shows that the 3rd (day), 2/3 chance red.
But Year 2011 08/08 was an exceptional.

oldfox · 发表于 2013-4-17 11:53 AM

蓉儿168 · 发表于 2013-4-17 11:55 AM

jackie8443 · 发表于 2013-4-17 11:57 AM

如果今天不涨回去，明后天总有涨会去的。

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[灌水] 牛牛今天败下阵来

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