2012-09-W3

snowrider

Bencat 发表于 2012-9-20 10:05 AM
the big gap is going to be filled likely, lots of buy dip money in?

I am thinking about buying dips for my short term futures position.

snowrider

snowrider 发表于 2012-9-20 10:07 AM
I am thinking about buying dips for my short term futures position.

From today's low to the high just now has formed a pretty 5-wave (impulsive wave) up.  Therefore, I'll buy some dips at fib ratio pullback area with STP below today's low.

snowrider

snowrider 发表于 2012-9-20 10:10 AM
From today's low to the high just now has formed a pretty 5-wave (impulsive wave) up.  Therefore,  ...

I bot futures at 1449.00 now with a STP below today's low.  I am shutting down my monitor now. 不看了!

Druid

真不看啦？

Bencat

snowrider 发表于 2012-9-20 10:07 AM
I am thinking about buying dips for my short term futures position.

good, I'll buy some today.

snowrider

Druid 发表于 2012-9-20 10:30 AM
真不看啦？

逛一圈回來看看 ...

snowrider

snowrider 发表于 2012-9-20 10:17 AM
I bot futures at 1449.00 now with a STP below today's low.  I am shutting down my monitor now. 不看 ...

如果今天能夠收高 - 偶這個短線多倉就留倉過夜!

snowrider

snowrider 发表于 2012-9-20 01:33 PM
如果今天能夠收高 - 偶這個短線多倉就留倉過夜!

偶將倒限單移上來到進場價 - 如果打掉就算了 ... 沒打掉就過夜

snowrider

snowrider 发表于 2012-9-20 02:29 PM
偶將倒限單移上來到進場價 - 如果打掉就算了 ... 沒打掉就過夜

收高!  這隻收的很好!  短線期指多頭留倉過夜 ...

blessed

对不起雪老大，昨天没交作业，认真读了后，根据那个思路，今天应该buydip, 可是就是没有勇气在这么高位买。

Diffusion

niwajiang803

雪大，对于从未接触过波浪理论的我来说，
想要看懂你的那些 wave count ，应该先读些什么哪？


我读了你blog 里的 convention, trade with EW,
还有其它的吗？


先谢了！

茜茜

雪大好！

茜茜

又来骗钱了。

snowrider

No trade for today.  The following explains my portfolio as of today's close:

Big Troop:
- EFA 20% (15%-09/06, 5%-09/13)
- EEM 30% (20%-08/31, 10-09/13)
- IWM 20% (20%-08/08)
- SPY 30% (10%-07/05, 10%-07/11, 10%-07/24)
- Cash 0%

SAC Troop:
- TBT 14% (14%-09/14)
- ERX 10% (10%-09/07)
- QLD 23% (23%-09/06)
- SSO 24% (24%-09/06)
- FAS 12% (8%-08/13, 4%-08/27)
- NUGT 8% (3%-08/21, 5%-08/27)
- Cash 9%

The market dipped and closed with a lower shadow.  Today's low 1450 is only about 50% pullback between 09/10 and 09/14.  The market will resume its uptrend with a surge tomorrow.  Our upside targets will be 1485 (Friday), 1493, and 1530.

Wave count (based on the purple line scenario):
07/03's high = [A]
07/24's low = [B]
08/21's high = [C]
09/04's low = [D]
09/04's high = 1
09/05's low = 2
09/10's high = 3
09/10's low = 4
09/14's high = 5
09/20's low = 6
09/24's high = 7
09/26's low = 8
09/28's high = 9

The market will continue going up in a fast pace to our upside targets to end the medium term bull run.

stocktoaster

Druid

A large-scale trader opened a bear put spread on IWM today.

(1) 24,000 contracts 2012-Dec $82/$74 credit put spread  
(2) 24,000 contracts 2012-Dec $85/$78 debit put spread

He expects IWM at least drop 2.9%.

Pay了14万刀premium，最多赚580万。

snowrider

blessed 发表于 2012-9-20 03:13 PM
对不起雪老大，昨天没交作业，认真读了后，根据那个思路，今天应该buydip, 可是就是没有勇气在这么高位买。

那麼看完了可否告訴偶們 ... 那篇的5隻股到底是哪5隻?  

snowrider

niwajiang803 发表于 2012-9-20 04:29 PM
雪大，对于从未接触过波浪理论的我来说，
想要看懂你的那些 wave count ，应该先读些什么哪？

I would recommend that you start from reading all Ralph Nelson Elliott's books (especially The Wave Principle).  Remember that Ralph Nelson Elliott is the creator of the wave theory, so you need to read many times until you remember everything.  Note that the wave principle was the natual law that Elliott found.  There were a lot more natural phenomena that he did not discover, so I would say that he, as a human being, was still learning the wave.  I call Elliott's stuff as the old school in wave analysis, and that is what we should base on!

After that, I would recommend reading Robert Prechter's The Elliott Wave Principle - with curiosity and caution.  About Prechter, he embraced Elliott's stuff and also added a lot of his own.  However, I do not agree with some of his wave interpretations and notations.  I call Prechter's stuff as the new school in wave analysis!

Since the old school is not perfect enough and the new school has some problems, I am here to introduce you a perfect school - Perfect Wave, and that is what I am showing you my own approaches.

snowrider

blessed 发表于 2012-9-20 03:13 PM
对不起雪老大，昨天没交作业，认真读了后，根据那个思路，今天应该buydip, 可是就是没有勇气在这么高位买。

練功練到最後的障礙就是自己的心了!