Forex/Futures ST for Week 08/05 - 08/10

greenback · 发表于 2012-8-6 04:40 PM

本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-8-7 05:43 PM 编辑

Okay, we had a two-bar reversal ... ES has come back to the previous range ... NQ still okay, consolidating above the breakout point. Bulls need to be careful now.

greenback · 发表于 2012-8-6 04:44 PM

Bonds remain bearish ... but they consolidate in the current price range. It's not a good sign for stocks.

greenback · 发表于 2012-8-6 04:53 PM

GOLD finished its double-top target and has reversed back to test the neckline again ... time to see which way it wants to go ... I think it's quite bullish now.

CRUDE broke out of a small double bottom and a large double bottom pattern ... bullish. But the last bar's momentum has reduced. I expect a longer consolidation phase before any potential break out ... but if there is any breakout after this might be the last one or two left.

greenback · 发表于 2012-8-6 05:02 PM

Finally AUD is again the most bullish of all risky assets ...

EURO is fighting the key S/R level of 1.24 ...

GBP is still in the triangle, effectively in a trading range.

USD/JPY is still bearish ... but potentially a opening wedge is forming ... stay away.

greenback · 发表于 2012-8-6 05:04 PM

In summary, cheap money is still not there for us yet. Do you want to bet it will come for sure? Even if you want to bet, you may want to buy dip at least. Trading breakout is dangerous in a potentially a range-bound market.

西安 · 发表于 2012-8-6 05:29 PM

befriend · 发表于 2012-8-6 07:21 PM

kdkboy · 发表于 2012-8-6 07:29 PM

Don't understand why AUD so bullish, US dollar index also weak, lower low again, hoho, I know. US dollar is under consolidation, then all of those bullshxt AUD will crash like a diving.

greenback · 发表于 2012-8-6 09:28 PM

kdkboy 发表于 2012-8-6 08:29 PM
Don't understand why AUD so bullish, US dollar index also weak, lower low again, hoho, I know. US do ...

My wildest guess. These traders still strongly believe China will ease a lot ...

kdkboy · 发表于 2012-8-6 09:36 PM

回复 greenback 的帖子

I never underestimate the evilness of MM, if so, the best way should be a plunge then soar as they do in TLT, but still need to be cautious.

LLN · 发表于 2012-8-6 09:58 PM

MFTHT · 发表于 2012-8-6 10:02 PM

greenback · 发表于 2012-8-7 05:25 PM

The bond pushdown may be over very soon. It's time to watch them on your radar screen ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-8-7 05:36 PM

Stocks are still good ... NQ still got a bit more catch up to do ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-8-7 05:38 PM

本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-8-7 06:42 PM 编辑

CRUDE is ready for buying dip now ... consolidation here would argue for a good entry.

GOLD doesn't change much.

greenback · 发表于 2012-8-7 05:50 PM

本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-8-7 06:59 PM 编辑

Breakout watch #1: Cocoa

greenback · 发表于 2012-8-7 05:59 PM

Breakout watch #2: Cotton No. 2

greenback · 发表于 2012-8-7 06:01 PM

Breakout watch #3: CRUDE

MFTHT · 发表于 2012-8-7 08:30 PM

多谢绿老大，先上杯茶，我们慢慢聊。

MFTHT · 发表于 2012-8-7 08:54 PM

本帖最后由 MFTHT 于 2012-8-7 10:42 PM 编辑

ZB回调基本到位，但这里上去看起来不会太有力量，觉得很有可能会形成一个熊旗（4 小时图），这样在日线图看来会是个右肩，所以准备下周开始观察，希望能逮到那个可能的熊旗下破。
由于干旱，农作物前一段时间大涨，这也歇了将近两周了，看图近期可能会继续上冲，密切观察中：ZC最强； ZW, ZO, ZS居中；ZL稍弱。

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Forex/Futures ST for Week 08/05 - 08/10

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