Fed研究报告：20年熊市在望

Whigs · 发表于 2011-8-23 06:55 PM

本帖最后由 Whigs 于 2011-8-23 19:57 编辑

Historical data indicate a strong relationship between the age distribution of the U.S. population and stock market performance. A key demographic trend is the aging of the baby boom generation. As they reach retirement age, they are likely to shift from buying stocks to selling their equity holdings to finance retirement. Statistical models suggest that this shift could be a factor holding down equity valuations over the next two decades.

el2011-26.pdf (56.25 KB, 下载次数: 89)

Jinan90 · 发表于 2011-8-23 07:00 PM

支持，宏观预测

goldbug · 发表于 2011-8-23 07:13 PM

More immigrants please

Whigs · 发表于 2011-8-23 07:19 PM

goldbug 发表于 2011-8-23 20:13
More immigrants please

要看是哪儿来的移民。
如果是TG转移资产的，当然好；如果是打南边上来抢福利的，更惨！

liblib123 · 发表于 2011-8-23 08:15 PM

nanosensor · 发表于 2011-8-23 08:30 PM

sandera · 发表于 2011-8-23 08:34 PM

wyjhyd · 发表于 2011-8-23 08:54 PM

n748 · 发表于 2011-8-23 09:03 PM

good to know the big picture, but the timeframe is too big to apply to our short term trading.

Also, it implies that people in late 40s, or 50s could not accumulate big assets with compound profits. Too bad.

coexist · 发表于 2011-8-23 09:03 PM

NZX · 发表于 2011-8-23 09:33 PM

befriend · 发表于 2011-8-23 11:46 PM

May be true.

weigoodone01 · 发表于 2011-8-23 11:48 PM

煮雪 · 发表于 2011-8-24 12:11 AM

多移点民进来呗，只准移进来年轻的。。

永恒罗马 · 发表于 2011-8-24 12:25 AM

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[基础分析] Fed研究报告：20年熊市在望

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