07/26/2011 Market Outlook (INDU Leads Market?)

Cobra · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:09 PM

SHORT-TERM: THERE’RE SOME CHANCES THE HIGH WAS IN

今天没啥说的，大家都在等debt ceiling的消息，所以前途吉凶难测。单纯从TA的角度看，我觉得我已经搜集了足够多的证据说明至少短期要跌，至于target，只要SPX跌破07/20的low，就算我预测成功。下面的图， 1.2.0 INDU Leads Market也是说07/20的low will be broken。

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: BULLISH JULY

See 07/01 Market Outlook and 07/05 Market Outlook for more details.

SEASONALITY: BEARISH FRIDAY BUT BULLISH WHOLE WEEK

See 07/22 Market Outlook for more details.

Also see 07/01 Market Outlook for July seasonality chart.

ACTIVE BULLISH OUTLOOKS:

07/01 Market Outlook: Bullish July. Also one more evidence in 07/05 Market Outlook.
07/07 Market Outlook: New NYHGH high means SPX higher high ahead.

ACTIVE BEARISH OUTLOOKS:

07/20 Market Outlook: Multiple evidences arguing for more pullbacks ahead. Also 2 more evidences in 07/25 Market Outlook.
07/22 Market Outlook: Bearish on AAPL, therefore QQQ as well.

SUMMARY OF SIGNALS FOR MY PUBLIC CHART LIST:

	TREND	MOMENTUM	COMMENT
Long-term	2 of 2 BUY
Intermediate	4 of 5 BUY	5 of 5 NEUTRAL	Cobra Impulse in BUY mode; Non-Stop in BUY mode.
Short-term	UP	6 of 6 NEUTRAL

	TREND	COMMENT
QQQ & Weekly	UP
IWM & Weekly	UP
SSEC & Weekly	UP	Big red bar usually means a start of downtrend, so be careful here.
EEM & Weekly	UP	*Hollow red + Solid Black, 2 reversal bars in a row, so pullback?
XIU & Weekly	UP
DAX & Weekly	UP
TLT & Weekly	DOWN
UUP & Weekly	DOWN
GLD & Weekly	UP
USO & Weekly	UP
XLE & Weekly	UP
XLF & Weekly	DOWN
IYR & Weekly	UP	4.4.3 Real Estate iShares (IYR Weekly): XHB lags, be careful.
XLB & Weekly	UP

* = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered.
DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.

jcs · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:10 PM

jcs · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:10 PM

jcs · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:11 PM

jcs · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:12 PM

jcs · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:12 PM

jcs · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:13 PM

jcs · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:13 PM

where are those bulls?

leftright · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:14 PM

jcs · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:14 PM

skipjack · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:14 PM

spy2011 · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:15 PM

navybean · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:17 PM

Thanks

ysc · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:18 PM

cc2265 · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:23 PM

try_again · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:24 PM

Thanks

weigoodone01 · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:24 PM

ysc · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:26 PM

本帖最后由 ysc 于 2011-7-26 19:27 编辑

Can I say this way: SPX 7/20 low is around 1325, so there is not much downside risk for bulls?

美眉妹 · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:35 PM

Thank you

goldbug · 发表于 2011-7-26 07:37 PM

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[技术分析] 07/26/2011 Market Outlook (INDU Leads Market?)

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