SHORT-TERM: THE REST OF THE WEEK MIGHT NOT BE PLEASANT
是不是low was in了?还需要看几天,我个人暂时认为这只是个反弹,因此是sell的机会。主要理由有二:
关于明天早盘,下面的图很有趣。今天收盘最后一小时整的Bearish Engulfing意味着明天大低开的可能性很大。牛牛要问的问题是,是否第三次会不一样?
关于本周剩下的3天,我目前搜集到的证据是,顶多再涨一天,明天或者后天。
为什么说明天或者后天顶多涨一天?两个理由:
- NYADV太高,见下图,明天跌的机率大,顶多小涨。如果明天涨的话,后天会跌。
- ISEE Indices & ETFs Only Index < ISEE Equities Only Index AND ISEE Indices & ETFs Only Index >= 100, 今天收盘short,hold until the very first down day, 自2006年ISEE Indices & ETFs Only Index诞生以来,你有74%的机会。注意到winner平均是1.8天,所以可以理解成最迟后天要跌。
那么为啥说周五会跌呢?理由是Stock Trader’s Almanac, June Triple Witching Day, Dow down 7 of last 12, average loss 0.5%. 另外,从下图看,好像最近几个周五都不怎么牛牛友好哈。
INTERMEDIATE-TERM: STATISTICALLY BEARISH FOR THE NEXT 2 WEEKS
See 06/03 Market Outlook for more details.
SEASONALITY: BEARISH MONDAY AND FRIDAY
According to Stock Trader’s Almanac:
- Monday of Triple Witching Week, Down down 8 of last 13.
- June Triple Witching Day, Dow down 7 of last 12, average loss 0.5%.
Also see 06/01 Market Outlook for June day to day seasonality.
ACTIVE BULLISH SIGNALS:
ACTIVE BEARISH SIGNALS:
ACTIVE BULLISH OUTLOOKS:
ACTIVE BEARISH OUTLOOKS:
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST:
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- * = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
- UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered.
- DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.
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