05/25/2011 Market Outlook (Key Day Tomorrow)

Cobra · 发表于 2011-5-25 06:50 PM

SHORT-TERM: CLUELESS, LET’S SEE TOMORROW

今天还是没啥好说的，我在05/23 Market Outlook里提到的3 push down followed by 2 leg up的走法，可能正在上演。今天收盘最后一小时的棒棒虽然看着不好，是Shooting Star，明天早盘可能会软一软至少，问题是明天熊熊如果还是不能把大盘砸下去的话，那么接下来的反弹将会是很猛的，至少超过下图中高亮区域标出来的幅度，所以key day tomorrow，看明天吧。

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: SPX NOW IN 1352 TO 1381 WAVE 5 PRICE TARGET AREA, WATCH FOR POTENTIAL REVERSAL

Maintain what I said in 05/06 Market Outlook. Need pay attention to the possibility that wave 5 ends while primary wave 3 sharply down has started. Still just an attention, not even a warning though.

SEASONALITY: NO UPDATE

For May seasonality day by day please refer 04/29 Market Outlook.

ACTIVE BULLISH SIGNALS:

0.2.1 10Y T-Bill Yield: ROC(30) < –9, so bottomed?
0.1.1 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals: CPCE MA(10) too low, so a bottom is close.

ACTIVE BEARISH SIGNALS:

4.0.1 SPX Long-term Trading Signals: Weekly EMA(13) is too far above EMA(34).
4.0.7a Collection of Leading Indicators I: Negative divergences become too much and too big.
8.1.1 Normalized NATV/NYTV: Too high, so topped?

ACTIVE BULLISH OUTLOOKS:

09/27 Market Recap: 9 POMO within 20 trading days means 14%+ up in 3 months.
03/11 Market Recap: Bullish in 3 to 6 months.
04/21 Market Recap: QQQ weekly Bullish Engulfing is bullish for the next 6 weeks.

ACTIVE BEARISH OUTLOOKS:

~~04/21 Market Recap: SPX will close below 04/20 close soon.~~
~~05/06 Market Outlook: Bearish in 2 weeks.~~
05/20 Market Outlook: A little bearish next week, either close in red ~~or drops below SPX 1318~~.

HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST:

	TREND	COMMENT
SPY & Weekly	UP
QQQ & Weekly	UP
IWM & Weekly	UP	Could be a Double Top in the forming.
SSEC & Weekly	DOWN
EEM & Weekly	DOWN
XIU & Weekly	DOWN
TLT & Weekly	UP
UUP & Weekly	UP
GLD & Weekly	UP
GDX & Weekly	DOWN
USO & Weekly	DOWN	Could be a Symmetrical Triangle on $WTIC, more likely to continue down.
XLE & Weekly	DOWN
XLF & Weekly	DOWN
IYR & Weekly	UP
XLB & Weekly	DOWN

* = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered.
DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.

aimei · 发表于 2011-5-25 06:51 PM

aimei · 发表于 2011-5-25 06:52 PM

aimei · 发表于 2011-5-25 06:52 PM

fortune1212 · 发表于 2011-5-25 06:52 PM

aimei · 发表于 2011-5-25 06:52 PM

aimei · 发表于 2011-5-25 06:53 PM

本帖最后由 aimei 于 2011-5-25 18:53 编辑

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maldini · 发表于 2011-5-25 06:54 PM

xz214 · 发表于 2011-5-25 06:58 PM

Jinan90 · 发表于 2011-5-25 06:59 PM

jcw · 发表于 2011-5-25 07:02 PM

oldpigwang · 发表于 2011-5-25 07:04 PM

本帖最后由 oldpigwang 于 2011-5-25 21:44 编辑

回复 Cobra 的帖子

'A tradable bottom was in'!
By spx daily TA chart, tomorrow, if not decisive break down, then a gold cross will be surely forming, that is, BUY THE DIP for memorial day rally!

cc2265 · 发表于 2011-5-25 07:08 PM

lite1067 · 发表于 2011-5-25 07:08 PM

marquis · 发表于 2011-5-25 07:08 PM

哪就是说, 星星的新高很可能要实现鸟??

rosyrosy · 发表于 2011-5-25 07:12 PM

Fan8an · 发表于 2011-5-25 07:12 PM

第一页

ut1984 · 发表于 2011-5-25 07:13 PM

lilitulip · 发表于 2011-5-25 07:14 PM

thank you

sooners · 发表于 2011-5-25 07:14 PM

回复 Cobra 的帖子

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[技术分析] 05/25/2011 Market Outlook (Key Day Tomorrow)

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