12/14/2010 大盘回顾 （Hindenburg Omen）

ahdou

顶顶顶！！！

胡同儿串子

Cobra

Hindenburg Omen is not as useful as one might think. I pointed out in the daily watering thread that ...
csw2002 发表于 2010-12-14 21:14

    那你有没有统计过以前Hindenburg Omen工作的时候是不是不是因为bond ETF创新低的多呢？我觉得哈，既然是TA，信号触发了，就是触发了，别想着，这次是因为啥原因，所以可能不工作，如果你总那么想，那么TA信号基本就没什么用。

lanz

妞妞

"Hindenburg Omen"这次要是真的触发的话, 那可不得了哇, 会跌得"血流成河"的, 5555, 我还有一些UAL和LCC还没来得及出来, 班长帮看看它们大概会跌到哪里才能止跌呀, 谢谢!

colderdown

回复 43# Cobra

Back in Aug., I said super bear's problem was the bonds' low yield. Now, at least this one is gone with wind. Can't wait SPX shoot to 14XX without any >5% pull back. Go, bulls.

chuanhua

littlevivi

回复  Cobra

Back in Aug., I said super bear's problem was the bonds' low yield. Now, at least th ...
colderdown 发表于 2010-12-14 21:45

冷兄你真打算一直做空到14xx吗？

wai-po

navybean

Thanks

summer123

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hindenburg_Omen

Recent occurrences

    * August 12, 2010: The Omen's creator, Jim Miekka, considered the Omen officially triggered on this date with 92 and 81 new 52-week highs and lows, respectively. The McClellan Oscillator was a negative -120.03 and the 10-week NYSE moving average was rising; the market closed above its open of 50 days prior (May 27). [5]. In the ensuing week, the Omen narrowly missed confirmation twice (August 13 and 19).

    * August 20, 2010: According to the Wall Street Journal, the omen was confirmed on Friday, with 83 new 52-week highs and 95 new 52-week lows on the NYSE. The McClellan Oscillator was a negative -106.46 and the 10-week NYSE moving average was rising; the market closed above its open of 50 days prior (June 11). [6]

    * August 24, 2010: 166 New Lows, 87 new Highs, McClellan Oscillator was negative, but the 10 week average began to fall. (Non-Confirmation.) (Although the 12 week average is still positive.)

    * August 25, 2010: 150 New Lows, 90 new Highs, McClellan Oscillator was negative, but again the 10 week average was falling (Non-Confirmation.) (Although the 12 week average is still positive.)

    * August 31, 2010: 86 New Lows, 164 new Highs, McClellan Oscillator was negative, and the 10 week moving average was up slightly 8.86 (0.13%) but falling (non-confirmation)

    * December 14, 2010: 113 New Lows, 179 New Highs, 3063 Advancers+Decliners, McClellan Oscillator was negative (-5.36), NYSE Composite Index closed at 7855.22 vs 7272.53 50 trading days prior (October 4, 2010), and the 10 week moving average was rising.

jcw

Ed02

3x

tenteddies

sooners

回复 1# Cobra


   

vicvic

everest001

colderdown

回复 48# littlevivi

Come on, this like what I siad back in Aug, "I wish TLT go to 120". the odds is low. But from trader's mentality point of view, I do prepared to be squeezed to 14XX without filling the "tax cut" gap 1st.

acoust

风信子