SPX Notes 2009

bayliner1979

hehe, tonite Cobra will say tomorrow has % chance to be a down day because CPCE is only 0.52.  

buctusa

YMYD: you move you die.............

hehe, tonite Cobra will say tomorrow has % chance to be a down day because CPCE is only 0.52.  
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-8-13 16:13

ychen222

我还是有点怀疑一天的CPCE/CPC读数的指标意义，多天的CPCE/CPC趋势应该更重要。

bayliner1979

hehe,

http://cobrasmarketview.blogspot ... -quick-summary.html
Posted by Cobra at 6:11 PM

hehe, tonite Cobra will say tomorrow has % chance to be a down day because CPCE is only 0.52.  
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-8-13 16:13

soulvirus

谢谢agent smith

开小差

thx,ding

谷米

老大终于回来了

QQQ

Bay, do you see SPY 100 for OE?

bayliner1979

In short time I see it between 98 and 101, most likely 99.xx at OE.
Today aftermarket there was a phantom bar to 101.

$CPCE breaks out a little today, need to observe the sign in the near future to see if it is a fake breakout.
An actual $CPCE breakout is typically associated with a major pullback in the bull market, or with the bear trend itself.

Bay, do you see SPY 100 for OE?
QQQ 发表于 2009-8-15 12:35

penguin

newyorker

开小差

thx, ding

QQQ

1869# bayliner1979

Bay, I see 100 or even 101 SPY for OE now
The confirmation I need will be set tomorrow 10:45AM and 2:45PM. key points is SPX 995, 992/990.

Diver

1869# bayliner1979

Bay, I see 100 or even 101 SPY for OE now
The confirmation I need will be set tomorrow 10:45AM and 2:45PM. key points is SPX 995, 992/990.
QQQ 发表于 2009-8-18 18:46

bayliner1979

SPY closed at almost 103 today.
All shorts of PUTs under 98 made money, but all ATM bear spreads also got killed.    No profit this OE.

$CPCE's low value is historical,  0.39 today.   The downtrend of $CPCE goes on.
$CPC's low value is historical, 0.59 today.
Seems that everything is calling for a bull's run.
The only warning sign is the enlarged gap between $NYADV and $NYUPV, the former one goes up quickly, and the latter one stays flat, very similar to last december.

In short time I see it between 98 and 101, most likely 99.xx at OE.
Today aftermarket there was a phantom bar to 101.

$CPCE breaks out a little today, need to observe the sign in the near future to see if it is a fake breakout.
An actual $CPCE breakout is typically associated with a major pullback in the bull market, or with the bear trend itself.
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-8-17 19:04

开小差

thx, ding

bayliner1979

Expect SPY closes at around 102 on 9/18/2009, very likely between 101.5 and 102.0.
Will adjust the range according to market updates.

dara

Expect SPY closes at around 102 on 9/18/2009, very likely between 101.5 and 102.0.
Will adjust the range according to market updates.


bayliner1979 发表于 2009-9-4 18:42

hmm, so the next two weeks Market will stay here. That would be really boring.

I got used to the big movement. It is very boring now.

bayliner1979

I'm looking forward to seeing a head-and-shoulder top on the daily chart, then drop to the head-and-shoulder top's target around 950, which is the backtest of neckline of the head-and-shoulder bottom on the monthly chart.

hmm, so the next two weeks Market will stay here. That would be really boring.

I got used to the big movement. It is very boring now.
dara 发表于 2009-9-4 19:12

newyorker

ding, nice to see you back