06/10/2009 白天灌水

buctusa

what happened? Suddely a big drop???

buctusa

TLT is good to buy? Today its volume is heavy...............

dara

hahahhhaaa.

DOW -200, otherwise no fun

ByStander

10yr auction terrible
6/10/2009 1:08 PM EDT
That was an awful 10yr auction. Based on pre-auction trading it should have come at 3.96 or so. 3.99 is a huge miss.

The secondary stats are alright: bid/cover of 2.62 is healthy and and 34.2% indirect is the second highest this year.

What this tells you is that the bid for Treasuries is a back bid!

layschips

High Yield 3.990%
Median Yield 3.915%
Low Yield 3.850%

ideall

ding guan shui

dara

High Yield 3.990%
Median Yield 3.915%
Low Yield 3.850%
layschips 发表于 2009-6-10 13:08

keke, 30year mortgage may rise to 6% soon.

weigoodone01

This should come as expected, who will buy those toilet paper for long term! more drop is coming!

layschips

i might hold my FAZ  a little bit longer  

sniffer

what happened? Suddely a big drop???
buctusa 发表于 2009-6-10 13:06

牛套？ 俺可不想制造panic.

trueself

1# Cobra

thanks!

tomorrow

据说趋势要变的时候就是很乱的，因为资金从一个地方流到另一个地方，所以该长得涨了，该跌的还没来得及跌。
Cobra 发表于 2009-6-10 11:28

班长, 恕我愚钝. 这么长时间才悟出您的禅机: 是不是说石油涨了, bond补跌.

小小的鱼

蛇老大给上个XLF图？谢！

superxy

Any bond ETF? since yield is high

Cobra

蛇老大给上个XLF图？谢！
小小的鱼 发表于 2009-6-10 13:24

Bounce right from the support

小小的鱼

Nice!

Too much sell pressure, may not hold ...?

biaoji

175# Cobra
好象有下去测试那个support了.

weigoodone01

looks may not hold though!

elme

FAZ卖早了

Cobra

班长, 恕我愚钝. 这么长时间才悟出您的禅机: 是不是说石油涨了, bond补跌.
tomorrow 发表于 2009-6-10 13:24

简单的例子哈，通常股票长，bond跌，那，现在有部分资金，说，俺觉得差不多到顶了，所以他就开始卖股票买bond了，但是其他资金还没有意识到啊，所以还在买股票，这样你看到的是股票涨了，可能bond也在涨。这只是个简单例子。

现在的问题很复杂，股票涨了，bond跌了是不错，大家都开心啊，当然熊熊除外。问题是这意味着利息要高了，不利于复苏，所以不能让bond跌，可是问题又来了，你yield不涨，人家外国佬儿，除了中国那个傻差，谁来买你的bond？同理，石油涨了，好啊，石油公司要大赚特赚了，可是，那个啥，经济还没复苏呢，你石油这么长，对经济不好啊，经济不好，谁要你那么多油啊？这不，就到了一定的极限的时候，就开始拉锯了。一片混乱。

俺得饭饭去了，这么复杂的问题，一时半会儿难讲清楚。