SPX Notes 2009

谷米

2/9, 2/10也是这样VIX black bar, then touch MA(50)，所以引起了俺的注意。
2/11,2/12,2/13发生的事，很可能重复。


bayliner1979 发表于 2009-7-7 18:00

越说越像哦

ubcece

bayliner1979

Today Doji.  
Well, no answer yet.   Waiting for Thursday and Friday's path to come out.

7.0.7果然tricky，今天VIX继续飚升，black reversal  bar没有起作用。

明天应该是1/13或者2/1那样的Doji或Small bar spinning top。
本周晚些时候的走法决定到底是哪种情况。
1. 1/13，本周晚些时候续跌，下周反弹目标就在今天收盘附近。July OE收MA(200)左右。
2. 2/1，猪市偏牛，维持前两天定下的反弹目标~920 (actually 919, 91x may not touch 920)。July OE收MA(20)左右。

http://www.hutong9.com/viewthrea ... &extra=page%3D1
多吉老大大概是看到VIX碰ENV(10,0,10)上沿和MA(50)阻力线，要pullback了，所以做多。不过看2/10/2009，情况基本类似，$VIX可以掉很多，$SPX却根本磨着没动，只能daytrade做多才能赚钱，而且还很危险。

现在还没看到market extremely oversold，而且860也还远着呢。俺就是像现在这样拿着大把cash放过大跌，只靠手上这点bear spread赚点小钱，也绝不冒着危险做多。860的时候开始做swing long，两个星期内必能出水，现在做swing long还太早，有可能被套两个月都不止。
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-7-7 17:51

sinnet

thanks,
but not so office-friendly yah.

新低手

Today Doji.  
Well, no answer yet.   Waiting for Thursday and Friday's path to come out.



bayliner1979 发表于 2009-7-8 18:19

buctusa

snowwolf229

maomi

thanks for the update, Bay!

soulvirus

谢谢根新

bolero

thanks for the update

torontonian

1763# bayliner1979


Thanks.

开小差

thx.ding

ubcece

ding ding

bayliner1979

Tomorrow very likely repeat 1/20/09: going to test the 3-week bottom 860, because yesterday and today's pattern and option variation are very much like 1/15 and 1/16.

But forming a shooting star or gravestone tomorrow is also possible.  It will be clear tomorrow morning.

Today Doji.  
Well, no answer yet.   Waiting for Thursday and Friday's path to come out.



bayliner1979 发表于 2009-7-8 18:19

snowwolf229

xiaoxiaozhang

Tomorrow very likely repeat 1/20/09: going to test the 3-week bottom 860, because yesterday and today's pattern and option variation are very much like 1/15 and 1/16.

But forming a shooting star or ...
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-7-9 18:29

谷米

没啥好说的，跟老大想的一样

开小差

thx, ding

ice_tea

ok

小咪

1774# bayliner1979 哦蛤哈

Get yours at SweetIM.com