狂喊一句，熊市反弹结束，rising wedge下破...

X!nG

139# X!nG

ok, wait and see
Diffusion 发表于 2009-10-30 13:34

消息出了，周一会涨。

我会swing这段多到1060.

X!nG

谁说我做空就不能抢一波反弹呢...

Diffusion

消息出了，周一会涨。

我会swing这段多到1060.
X!nG 发表于 2009-11-1 18:06

什么消息？

tenteddies

什么消息？
Diffusion 发表于 2009-11-1 20:33

cit

Diffusion

cit
tenteddies 发表于 2009-11-1 20:59

I see. I thought it was about USD/JPY.

X!nG

I see. I thought it was about USD/JPY.
Diffusion 发表于 2009-11-1 21:37

我说的就是消息后外汇，商品，债券的反应。

这里特别指咱们周五讨论的USDJPY。

Diffusion

我说的就是消息后外汇，商品，债券的反应。

这里特别指咱们周五讨论的USDJPY。
X!nG 发表于 2009-11-2 02:03

出了消息以后，USDJPY就开始反弹。可是你说这个和美股是负相关的？

X!nG

出了消息以后，USDJPY就开始反弹。可是你说这个和美股是负相关的？
Diffusion 发表于 2009-11-2 02:25

If you have a look USDJPY reactions when the news was announced... It plunged...

Market knew it on Friday, USDJPY showed it too...

That's why I covered my swing shorts after USDJPY breaking down.

X!nG

148# X!nG


Let us wait and see how this potential SHS plays out...

I have longed ES at 1032, and expected to cover these swing longs at 1060ish...

trueself

149# X!nG

Diffusion

If you have a look USDJPY reactions when the news was announced... It plunged...

Market knew it on Friday, USDJPY showed it too...

That's why I covered my swing shorts after USDJPY breaking  ...
X!nG 发表于 2009-11-2 05:35

I see...

X!nG

今天盘面走的惊心动魄，只说明一个问题，VIX25以下风平浪静的日子过去了...

股市，汇市，债市，商品看了一圈，决定把今天的swing long即刻获利了结...

相信明天还是一颗星，继续等待周三的FOMC...

提一个汇市里的线索：EURUSD，AUDUSD两个近期最重要的pairs都在６个多月的趋势线徘徊，原因只有一个，traders都不敢在FOMC消息公布前做大的动作，对应的美元突破的可能也不大，所以接下来的一天半多空的油水都不会太大，DT的话比较适合。

Diffusion

No technical or fundamental proof, just some speculation:

If the fundamental is deteriorated, then the upcoming FOMC is bull's last hope, and bulls will fully utilize it to make a fierce dead cat bounce.

If the fundamental is not changed, then bears may want to take some money off the table as FOMC is coming.

Today's price action suggests that bulls are decisive to defend the bottom.

X!nG

No technical or fundamental proof, just some speculation:

If the fundamental is deteriorated, then the upcoming FOMC is bull's last hope, and bulls will fully utilize it to make a fierce dead cat  ...
Diffusion 发表于 2009-11-2 20:23

First of all, it is very nice discussing with you recently, thanks for all your valuable responses.

As expected, dollar still fluctuates within the range awaiting for FOMC decision on Wed. despite RBA raised rate by 0.25%.

Although I expected 1065-1075 area to be retested and form a SHS before we are headed lower. But given the volatility we have recently especially for the past 3 trading sessions, I decided to close my swing longs and fully hedge my position trading shorts after yesterday's close.

I totally agree with you, FOMC is the last hope for bulls, but I have to say that no matter what Fed says on Wed., market has decided to ‘take a break’ from both TA and FA point of view.

X!nG

154# X!nG

Bulls Beware!!!

Surprisingly, EURUSD 6month rising trendline has been broken, indicating dollar could go a lot higher from here...

I am glad I got rid of my swing longs after yesterday's close...

Let's rock, bears!!

Downside target: 930-950 before year end.

Diffusion

It's always a pleasure discussing with you!

X!nG

2nd round of job cutting just started...

J&J      7000
Nokia  5760
RBS     4000

It's a fashion, more will follow...

X!nG

It's always a pleasure discussing with you!
Diffusion 发表于 2009-11-3 09:57

I will continue posting all my thoughts in this post.

Hopefully, we could see new low one day...

trueself

154# X!nG

Bulls Beware!!!

Surprisingly, EURUSD 6month rising trendline has been broken, indicating dollar could go a lot higher from here...

I am glad I got rid of my swing longs after yes ...
X!nG 发表于 2009-11-3 06:26

well done!

Diffusion

I will continue posting all my thoughts in this post.

Hopefully, we could see new low one day...
X!nG 发表于 2009-11-3 10:20