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楼主: Cobra

[灌水] 09/23/2009 白天灌水

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发表于 2009-9-23 11:46 AM | 显示全部楼层


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发表于 2009-9-23 11:48 AM | 显示全部楼层
25247
CoolMax 发表于 2009-9-23 12:46


nice
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发表于 2009-9-23 11:49 AM | 显示全部楼层
nice
trueself 发表于 2009-9-23 12:48 PM


你的头像换来换去,俺的头都晕了。
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发表于 2009-9-23 11:53 AM | 显示全部楼层
what is stop hunting
coolmax,thanks
dlaodou 发表于 2009-9-23 12:46


many traders place stop orders at previous high / low. Knowing this, big players will push market over previous high / low and catch those stop orders.
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发表于 2009-9-23 11:54 AM | 显示全部楼层
thanks coolmax NVDA pick. risk/reward looks good!
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发表于 2009-9-23 11:56 AM | 显示全部楼层
139# Diffusion

I guess both sides on fx. Equity, don't know.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-9-23 12:00 PM | 显示全部楼层

Interesting discussion: http://robertreich.blogspot.com/2009/09/why-dow-is-hitting-10000-even-when.html

 

Tuesday, September 22, 2009

Why the Dow is Hitting 10,000 Even When Consumers Can't Buy And Business Cries "Socialism"

So how can the Dow Jones Industrial Average be flirting with 10,000 when consumers, who make up 70 percent of the economy, have had to cut way back on buying because they have no money? Jobs continue to disappear. One out of six Americans is either unemployed or underemployed. Homes can no longer function as piggy banks because they’re worth almost a third less than they were two years ago. And for the first time in more than a decade, Americans are now having to pay down their debts and start to save.

Even more curious, how can the Dow be so far up when every business and Wall Street executive I come across tells me government is crushing the economy with its huge deficits, and its supposed “takeover” of health care, autos, housing, energy, and finance? Their anguished cries of “socialism” are almost drowning out all their cheering over the surging Dow.

The explanation is simple. The great consumer retreat from the market is being offset by government’s advance into the market. Consumer debt is way down from its peak in 2006; government debt is way up. Consumer spending is down, government spending is up. Why have new housing starts begun? Because the Fed is buying up Fannie and Freddie’s paper, and government-owned Fannie and Freddie are now just about the only mortgage games remaining in play.

Why are health care stocks booming? Because the government is about to expand coverage to tens of millions more Americans, and the White House has assured Big Pharma and health insurers that their profits will soar. Why are auto sales up? Because the cash-for-clunkers program has been subsidizing new car sales. Why is the financial sector surging? Because the Fed is keeping interest rates near zero, and the rest of the government is still guaranteeing any bank too big to fail will be bailed out. Why are federal contractors doing so well? Because the stimulus has kicked in.

In other words, the Dow is up despite the biggest consumer retreat from the market since the Great Depression because of the very thing so many executives are complaining about, which is government’s expansion. And regardless of what you call it – Keynesianism, socialism, or just pragmatism – it’s doing wonders for business, especially big business and Wall Street. Consumer spending is falling back to 60 to 65 percent of the economy, as government spending expands to fill the gap.

The problem is, our newly expanded government isn't doing much for average working Americans who continue to lose their jobs and whose belts continue to tighten, and who are getting almost nothing out of the rising Dow because they own few if any shares of stock. Despite the happy Dow and notwithstanding the upbeat corporate earnings, most corporations are still shedding workers and slashing payrolls. And the big banks still aren't lending to Main Street.

Trickle-down economics didn't work when the supply-siders were in charge. And it's not working now, at a time when -- despite all their cries of "socialism" -- big business and Wall Street are more politically potent than ever.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-9-23 12:02 PM | 显示全部楼层
在阻力下盘整,这架势,是要往上突破啊。
SPY15min.png
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发表于 2009-9-23 12:03 PM | 显示全部楼层
在阻力下盘整,这架势,是要往上突破啊。
Cobra 发表于 2009-9-23 13:02


这盘控的。。。


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 楼主| 发表于 2009-9-23 12:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
话音刚落。看看介个突破能不能hold吧。
SPY15min.png
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发表于 2009-9-23 12:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
147# Cobra


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发表于 2009-9-23 12:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
话音刚落。看看介个突破能不能hold吧。
Cobra 发表于 2009-9-23 13:04



顶住
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发表于 2009-9-23 12:07 PM | 显示全部楼层
Gold is already a sell; would get in if no Fed.
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发表于 2009-9-23 12:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
wild guess, if initial move is down, then it's gonna be down, up, down and up.
vice versa.
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发表于 2009-9-23 12:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
Gold is already a sell; would get in if no Fed.
ppteam 发表于 2009-9-23 13:07


could u pls share some reason?  because it cannot pass 1020, now is under 1015 resist?  I have GLD and GDX.
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发表于 2009-9-23 12:16 PM | 显示全部楼层
155# 90ufo

oh, that's just short term DT play.
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发表于 2009-9-23 12:16 PM | 显示全部楼层
各位老大,upstick rule 下大户建空仓有没有什么线索可循?
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发表于 2009-9-23 12:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
各位老大,upstick rule 下大户建空仓有没有什么线索可循?
Billyboy 发表于 2009-9-23 13:16

现在没有UPTICK RULE.即使有,也没有用. 以前TRADING慢,有点制约作用. 现在计算机TRADE,弄个DOWN TICK还不容易,根本没用.
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发表于 2009-9-23 12:20 PM | 显示全部楼层
150# Cobra

Don't know what the market is trying to do.  up down and shake?
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发表于 2009-9-23 12:20 PM | 显示全部楼层
金、银面临技术性调整压力;我猜今天的FOMC 公报有可能带有美金利多的言论,如果美金受刺激,大盘今天就涨不上去了。
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