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11/5 实时解盘 - upside 20 downside 40

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发表于 2008-11-5 01:10 PM | 显示全部楼层


原帖由 QQQ 于 2008-11-5 08:10 AM 发表   you did exact the same as mine, congrats! you are graduated from this class.

hello QQQ,

 

Why do you enter short at 998?  Do you enter on the retracement after price broke the low of 10:35AM bar using your BB trading system on 5 minute?  Thanks!

 

Taurus168

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-5 01:10 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 sss111222 于 2008-11-5 13:06 发表 谢谢大家关心,我想应该纸交两天了,intraday数wave好像是有些太细节化了,我得想办法变一变,另外一点,老大,昨天晚上我又仔细看了图,好像NL是对的,840应该是今年的低点了,如果下面一,两个星期市场还能往上窜一 ...

 

 

840 will not break down in 2008, but will in 2009.

 

I still think we will see 1100 by Xmas. the pull back should stop above 920 area for any case,

 

I entered ES long 973 use 970 as stop. quick and risky trade, no need to follow.

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-5 01:12 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 Taurus168 于 2008-11-5 13:10 发表 hello QQQ,   Why do you enter short at 998?  Do you enter on the retracement after price broke the low of 10:35AM bar using your BB trading system on 5 minute?  Thanks!   Tau ...

 

I said, that was because the second try to 1000 failed at 999, that was why I shorted at 998.

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发表于 2008-11-5 01:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
我觉得纸交不好,更容易over trade
你不如限制一天只做1-2个dt ,找最好的entry, 有充分的理由。 and you make your reason for entry consistent for a wk or longer, see how it works.

haha, I don't know
原帖由 sss111222 于 2008-11-5 13:06 发表 谢谢大家关心,我想应该纸交两天了,intraday数wave好像是有些太细节化了,我得想办法变一变,另外一点,老大,昨天晚上我又仔细看了图,好像NL是对的,840应该是今年的低点了,如果下面一,两个星期市场还能往上窜一 ...
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发表于 2008-11-5 01:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 QQQ 于 2008-11-5 13:10 发表     840 will not break down in 2008, but will in 2009.   I still think we will see 1100 by Xmas. the pull back should stop above 920 area for any case,   I entered ES long ...


970是不是太紧了?982是个强阻力,可能这几个月是箱型整理了
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发表于 2008-11-5 01:22 PM | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 qiqiapr 于 2008-11-5 13:12 发表 我觉得纸交不好,更容易over trade你不如限制一天只做1-2个dt ,找最好的entry, 有充分的理由。 and you make your reason for entry consistent for a wk or longer, see how it works. haha, I don't know


我平常最多一天也只做三次,可能心理有些乱,我还是会做的,只是把仓位放到最轻
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发表于 2008-11-5 01:23 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 QQQ 于 2008-11-5 10:12 AM 发表   I said, that was because the second try to 1000 failed at 999, that was why I shorted at 998.

Thanks, QQQ.  Would you elaborate why you think that the second attemp to break 1000 failed at 999?  I can tell there is a double top around 1000 only AFTER IN FACT.  Thank you very much.


Taurus168

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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-5 01:24 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 sss111222 于 2008-11-5 13:18 发表 970是不是太紧了?982是个强阻力,可能这几个月是箱型整理了

 

I think if it sees 96's again, definitly not a good sign

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发表于 2008-11-5 01:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
原帖由 QQQ 于 2008-11-5 13:24 发表 I think if it sees 96's again, definitly not a good sign


这一小波应该已经走完了,我是想设到968之下会好些...下午可能还有一波DOWN,982或BB上沿可能比较好
[ 本帖最后由 sss111222 于 2008-11-5 13:28 编辑 ]
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发表于 2008-11-5 01:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
in fslr 159.6
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-5 01:56 PM | 显示全部楼层
I stopped out for 3 points loss, mkt is very confusing now, risk for both longs and shorts are equal. so hold cash is not a bad idea. It has risk to re-test 960, and it still have chance to try 980.
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发表于 2008-11-5 01:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
QQQ, If it does go to 960, do you think it's a good entry for long? Thanks.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-5 01:59 PM | 显示全部楼层

原帖由 igloo 于 2008-11-5 13:57 发表 QQQ, If it does go to 960, do you think it's a good entry for long? Thanks.

 

Yes, I think so, especially if 960 holds.

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发表于 2008-11-5 02:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
Laoda, 2:30pm you mentioned is close. I will stop and see what happened.
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发表于 2008-11-5 02:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
BB range is more narrow. Market seems to determine the direction.
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发表于 2008-11-5 02:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
While we watch the battle, I have to say I really appreciate what you have been doing. I think so every time I read your posts. And that doesn't expire until otherwise announced.
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 楼主| 发表于 2008-11-5 02:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
mkt so far as you can see is doing orderly stair case pull back, 990, 980, 970, now 96's. I do expect 960 holds today. otherwise, too risky for mkt MM. after 960, the next major stair case is 940, they know that
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发表于 2008-11-5 02:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
这几个小时量太小啦
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发表于 2008-11-5 02:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
Hugh ES trade vol several minutes ago. long@968, stop@965
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发表于 2008-11-5 02:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
Today this trend holds very well. Green line for long, red line for short.

sso

sso
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