2012-06-W3

snowrider

Irene2011 发表于 2012-6-20 16:19
Thanks Snowrider, i'm happy to know we are still in III.4.

Glad that you are happy!  Yes, I guess that we are still in III.4 because III.2 took 1 day (06/13), so it makes sense for III.4 to take another 1 day (which is today).  Tomorrow I don't know if we would see a kiss-goodbye after it surges (if there is one).

Jeff

Thanks Snowrider! Just too busy  and I will go to China for three weeks. Stay on the sidelines currently!

君遥

回复 snowrider 的帖子

雪老大，你卖掉的TLT是不是短期的，长期的该升对不？
另外，TLT你是看周线图还是日线图？
我要好好跟你学波波了

thomast

snowrider 发表于 2012-6-20 00:34
thomast - You know that we are applying Elliott Wave analysis to our trading.  When a trade is bei ...

Thank you Snowrider Laoda.
I couldn't post during day time. Thanks for the response.

My TLT was stopped out today. After that, TLT went straight up. Sometimes, it kind of makes me feel like it's stop hunting by MM.

snowrider

君遥 发表于 2012-6-20 20:42
回复 snowrider 的帖子

雪老大，你卖掉的TLT是不是短期的，长期的该升对不？

偶只是中長線減倉而已 ... 並沒有因為賣掉而看跌 ... 這只是風險控制的一部分!  當對於走勢不確定時 50/50 是一個好方法 - 賣一半留一半
日線或週線都無所謂  因為偶們所看的是波型  所以日線顯示出的比週線更仔細  因為今天賣掉的另一個理由是 從偶們建倉以來直到今天之前尚未發生 倒N字向下的走法 上週是盤整區 本週一向上突破盤整區做出 lower high 今天早盤跌破上週盤整區而出現 lower low 所以賣出信號就出來了!  但是因為偶還長期看漲TLT  怎麼辦?  於是50/50 ... 賣一半!

snowrider

thomast 发表于 2012-6-20 21:01
Thank you Snowrider Laoda.
I couldn't post during day time. Thanks for the response.

thomast - The market always acts like that, and it is part of the trading life.  Big fish eats small fish.  Most of the time, the big fish pushes the price across some key resistance or support area and then take profit there while the small fish gets stopped out.  Shoud we exit our position when the market penetrates our stop (mental stop or hard stop)?  Yes!  The answer is yes, and it is a good practice to always place stop orders which will save you from devastating damage!

thomast

snowrider 发表于 2012-6-20 22:29
thomast - The market always acts like that, and it is part of the trading life.  Big fish eats sma ...

Oh, great.
Your comment makes me feel better as I was thinking that I shouldn't have made the exit so quick.

Thx.

lilitulip

Irene2011

snowrider 发表于 2012-6-20 15:57
Glad that you are happy!  Yes, I guess that we are still in III.4 because III.2 took 1 day (06/13) ...

谢谢，希望还有一冲。

君遥

snowrider 发表于 2012-6-20 22:29
thomast - The market always acts like that, and it is part of the trading life.  Big fish eats sma ...

appreciated

snowrider

做行情不管怎樣還是要 ... 小心駛得萬年船 ... 真的是 anything can happen!  沒有事情是絕對的!  隨手指一個新高之後說放假多久回來看都是P話

snowrider

snowrider 发表于 2012-6-21 10:45
做行情不管怎樣還是要 ... 小心駛得萬年船 ... 真的是 anything can happen!  沒有事情是絕對的!  隨手指一 ...

真正要能賺到市場錢的還是靠操作而不是靠預測

时时是好时

snowrider 发表于 2012-6-21 11:46
真正要能賺到市場錢的還是靠操作而不是靠預測

顶，雪大说得好。

能稳定获利就是暴利，不要想一口吃成个胖子，也不要想每一段行情都从头吃到尾。

snowrider

时时是好时 发表于 2012-6-21 10:59
顶，雪大说得好。

能稳定获利就是暴利，不要想一口吃成个胖子，也不要想每一段行情都从头吃到尾。

這段行情做上來  偶心中還是戒慎恐懼  因為心中的大熊一直躍躍欲試  但是又無法抗拒市場在走高的事實 ... 所以過去2個多星期來偶一直處於不安的戒慎恐懼心情當中

Irene2011

snowrider 发表于 2012-6-21 08:46
真正要能賺到市場錢的還是靠操作而不是靠預測

小心駛得萬年船， 顶！

snowrider

时时是好时 发表于 2012-6-20 13:21
是啊，现在比较关心III5什么时候结束。从点位上说可能到老大们说的1374附近。而从时间上看，III1只有一天 ...

如果市場今天收個大長黑 ... 就真的被你說中了 III.5 被 "truncated" ... 更加危險的是 ... 偶們從 06/04/2012 低點向上算來的這段 ... 可以是 I, II, III  也可以是 A, B, C.  如果今天收長黑 (希望不要!)  則 ABC 的可能性加大!  那你說說  如果上來是ABC  那麼接著是什麼?  大家看看大牛貼出來的圖就知道事情的嚴重性!

时时是好时

snowrider 发表于 2012-6-21 12:15
如果市場今天收個大長黑 ... 就真的被你說中了 III.5 被 "truncated" ... 更加危險的是 ... 偶們從 06/04 ...

是噢，照大牛的图，如果今天收大长黑，那[B]波的A-B-C结构已经完成，下面就是大[C]波的5浪下跌了。

snowrider

时时是好时 发表于 2012-6-21 11:22
是噢，照大牛的图，如果今天收大长黑，那波的A-B-C结构已经完成，下面就是大[C]波的5浪下跌了。
...

那也就表示 TLT 140  及 SPX 960 可能就會真的實現

snowrider

snowrider 发表于 2012-6-21 11:15
如果市場今天收個大長黑 ... 就真的被你說中了 III.5 被 "truncated" ... 更加危險的是 ... 偶們從 06/04 ...

希望今天不要收大長黑 ... 如果能夠收回昨天低點之內 ... 則上面還有戲 ... 否則戲可能就落幕了!

snowrider

現在從 0.5 fib 反彈  是否這個下跌只是個修正波?  偶們拭目以待!