SPX Notes 2009

NumberRules

thx. bay..

buctusa

colderdown

1416# bayliner1979


I think May 8th high will be broken.

sinnet

if you check this in bull market, it might be a different story
for example, in late May 2003, BB contracts and ChiOsc local top
SPX had a run-up right after it.

of course,
Bull market or bear market now, that's the question.

bayliner1979

I think even in the bull market there is 50--100 pts pullback or pig market when BB contracts and ChiOsc locally peaks.  such as 2003/10, 2004/2, 2004/10, 2005/3, 2005/6, etc.

if you check this in bull market, it might be a different story
for example, in late May 2003, BB contracts and ChiOsc local top
SPX had a run-up right after it.

of course,
Bull market or bear m ...
sinnet 发表于 2009-5-29 19:07

maomi

1416# bayliner1979

Thanks Lao Da! Looking forward to building long positions at better price.
Have a great weekend,

buctusa

KAI2002

firephenix

Elephant

还在descending triangle里。
注意0.0.2，SPX如果不去测MA(200)，SPY也得去。SPY如果去测MA(200)，现在已经是可以不破descending triangle就能做到了。
所以看来chuxue的图要去59x这次又对了，但做熊得抗得住开跌之前的向上假突破，口袋深的现在就可以做熊，没那么深的还得等等。
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-5-28 21:22

请问是chuxue什么时候的图,因为计划没有变化快,我前两天看见他帖的一副图是调整开始了,只是到800的样子,胡同博客里很快图就删除了.

bayliner1979

Midterm top should be between 960 and 1052.

请问是chuxue什么时候的图,因为计划没有变化快,我前两天看见他帖的一副图是调整开始了,只是到800的样子,胡同博客里很快图就删除了.
Elephant 发表于 2009-5-30 11:42

swimminginstock

1431# bayliner1979


Thanks. keep in mind

coexist

谢谢

bayliner1979

今天轮到SPX刺穿MA(200)，很像1/2/2009的climax run了，中期顶仍然要高于今天的HOD，估计在966左右。不到960俺忍住不做空。(1/2/2009和今天另一个相似点：涨了不少，但不是MAD，NYUPV量没有)

中长期，
最牛的走法是头肩底，回调到760一线上冲head-shoulder target (966+(966-666)) = 1266。
中不溜的是chuxue的图，59x后上冲1200。
最熊的那就是重复193x年的超级大反弹后再大崩盘了。

SPY今天果然刺穿MA(200)，下面看SPX的了。
短期仍然较牛。
但中长期不太妙，BB收缩，ChiOsc局部山顶的时候，大多是midterm top时climax run的时候。




bayliner1979 发表于 2009-5-29 16:46

新低手

1434# bayliner1979

不过溃盘得有严重危机出现。。。。

ajs

上面那照片哪儿搞来的? 害得我饭都喷出来了~

bayliner1979

MMs can use any quibble to lift up or hammer down the market as they planned (according to the market situation upon their level-3 data).

The GM bankruptcy is the state-of-art example.  If you want the price up, it will be up even if it looks like a bad news----according to dichotomy, you can always find good merits in bad things, and the good merits are the reasons if you want the market up, or the bad things are the reasons if you want to hammer the market down.
So the news doesn't matter, the WS interpretation matters.

As to crisis, with US$ going to hell, US bonds sale slowing down, commodity has just finished its pullback.
Either hyperflation or stagflation is coming.
Even if you don't believe anyflation, surely MM can use this as the quibble to hammer down the market if they want to-----where there is a will, there is a way.

1434# bayliner1979

不过溃盘得有严重危机出现。。。。
新低手 发表于 2009-6-1 17:59

bayliner1979

你没看出来那女的是Obama，那男的是花街的？

上面那照片哪儿搞来的? 害得我饭都喷出来了~
ajs 发表于 2009-6-1 18:02

uddi

你没看出来那女的是Obama，那男的是花街的？


bayliner1979 发表于 2009-6-1 02:12 PM

colderdown

1434# bayliner1979

中长期，
最牛的走法是头肩底，回调到760一线上冲head-shoulder target (966+(966-666)) = 1266。
Most likely
中不溜的是chuxue的图，59x后上冲1200。
It's hard, market psychology wise.

最熊的那就是重复193x年的超级大反弹后再大崩盘了。
If so, $USD crash may trigger it but I don't think it will happen NOW.