09/02/2009 白天灌水

biaoji

118# CoolMax

谢谢老大！

Diffusion

当然如果老大想趁打折多弄几个箱子buy and hold for long term，还是有机会。。。

layschips 发表于 2009-9-2 13:54

sunnysunny

118# CoolMax

酷马：收十字星的话，明天可能的走法？ 跌？ 涨？ 谢谢！

layschips

fomc出消息了么？怎么好像吐了一地口水，别的啥也没瞧见呢

CoolMax

118# CoolMax

酷马：收十字星的话，明天可能的走法？ 跌？ 涨？ 谢谢！
sunnysunny 发表于 2009-9-2 01:56 PM

十字星可能是翻转形态，也可能是继续形态。

我猜续跌。当然等收盘后再看看其它的指标，比较可靠。

water_sm

十字星要看量


中继形态量不大，反转形态量大

wyemlyy

Large amount of index call opened, buy or sold?

CoolMax

十字星要看量


中继形态量不大，反转形态量大
water_sm 发表于 2009-9-2 02:02 PM

那得等收盘啊，尾盘的量一般比较大。

mikeqc

125# CoolMax

CM 应该向老蛇学习。整个 十字星继续跌的可能性 %， 翻转%， 继续涨可能性%， 翻转%

layschips

125# CoolMax

CM 应该向老蛇学习。整个 十字星继续跌的可能性 %， 翻转%， 继续涨可能性%， 翻转%
mikeqc 发表于 2009-9-2 13:06

可能性99.99%

可能性88.88%

可能性77.77%...

water_sm

我觉得明天反转可能性大，今天停在了主要是支撑线上，只要量也能放大，明天我觉得会牛一下

dara

AIG vol is really big.

Every day its vol is almost to its total floating shares.

water_sm

机构走人了，不会跌的如此软弱无力

sunnysunny

125# CoolMax

谢谢酷马！

CoolMax

我觉得明天反转可能性大，今天停在了主要是支撑线上，只要量也能放大，明天我觉得会牛一下
water_sm 发表于 2009-9-2 02:12 PM

画个图看看。

CoolMax

125# CoolMax

CM 应该向老蛇学习。整个 十字星继续跌的可能性 %， 翻转%， 继续涨可能性%， 翻转%
mikeqc 发表于 2009-9-2 02:06 PM

有这么简单就好了。

Cobra

Despite the almost universal expectation for a September correction, yesterday’s sell-off was
significant technically.
• Short-term uptrends were broken, turning daily momentum indicators negative.
• Downside vs. upside volume was over 9:1 on NYSE with US Global Volume spiking to a
2-year high at 25 billion shares (MVOL E Index on Bloomberg), suggesting that
“something” different is developing.
• Intermediate-term momentum indicators, measuring 1-2 quarter shifts, will also turn
negative should the S&P close below 1013 on Friday. Adding a weekly momentum
downturn for the S&P 500 to the list negative divergences in place for the Nasdaq, China,
Yield spreads, Baltic Freight index and Brokers sets the stage for further correction into
Q4.
• The VIX rallied through its downtrend that began in Q4 2008.
• Currencies are on the verge of reversing trends that have been in place since March with
key levels defined by 50-dma’s (DXY 79, Euro 1.416) and the highs/lows established in
August (DXY 79.51, Euro 1.40)

新低手

今天收spx 1000以上。。。。如果真的往下砸，俺是mm的话，明日拉高出货。。。

CoolMax

Deadly Silence！

Cobra

Outlook - Tuesday’s technical action was decisively negative, suggesting, at a minimum, a
short-term correction taking hold with the risk of an intermediate-term downturn increasing.
Markets are now poised to challenge intermediate-term trend line support in the coming week,
which, if broken, will reinforce the negative divergences highlighted above and confirm an
intermediate-term risk window opening well into Q4. The litmus test for the broader market
will likely develop in 5-7 days, at which point our short-term momentum indicators are likely
to be suitably oversold to support another trading rally. An inability to make new highs into
late September would be a significant negative for stocks well into Q4.
Key Support - Next support is at the August lows at 978 followed by the 50-dma at 965,
which coincides with a trendline joining the March and July. Those levels are just above the
June highs and 75-dma at 950. For reference, we note that a 33% retracement of the March –
August rally would take the S&P to 914 while a 50% retracement would be at 852.