|
楼主 |
发表于 2009-5-6 04:22 PM
|
显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 bayliner1979 于 2009-5-6 17:39 编辑
Guess that something big is going to happen (0.0.3 BB subchart also says that).
按chuxue3月底的N波图,中期顶在960左右,5月底6月初左右。
本来以为N会在86x-76x一带猪一个月振动做腰,然后76x+(86x-666) = 960到顶。
但根据目前的图看一看,SPY 66.6->83.3一腿,83.3->82.5腰,82.5->99.2下一腿这是一种最牛的N波。
SPY 66.6->83.3一腿,83.3->78.0腰,78.0->94.7下一腿这是一种不太牛的N波。
94.7和99.2在中期尺度上都在960附近。
今天开盘按计划减了长仓,加了短仓,break even point 910@OE。 Still expect OE close at around 900 (901 maybe).
Even with the mad bull running pace, whenever the wedge upperline is touched several times in a few days, a needed pullback to the wedge lowerline with at least 30 degree down is implemented.
Waiting for a pullback no lower than 875, the shorts will be closed at 890, and all shorts closed at 885.
Alert: Today the option condition is nearly identical to 12/17/2008 & 2/9/2009. Be prepared for a significant pullback (though I still think 908 is unlikely a mid-term top, 918 looks more like one, s ...
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-5-5 16:48  |
|