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发表于 2009-12-24 10:30 AM
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过完圣诞节还是新年?
sds 发表于 2009-12-24 10:22 
理论上应该是新年以后。
但是最近的数据统计,好像过完圣诞就不是那么bullish了。
From 1950-1986, the S&P rallied between now and the last day of the year 94% of the time. Since then, though, it rallied only 52% of the time, and was negative 3 of the past 4 years (close to being 5 of the last 7 years). While the next two days (immediately before Christmas) have still been up 70% of the time, positive seasonality is not a lock for bulls into the end of the year. |
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