灌水贴

还在发呆

原帖由 jsl 于 2008-5-10 12:03 发表 骄阳烈 绿地黄花夏风惬夏风惬 灵童戏耍 鸟鸣雀跃   细砂滩滩湾如月碧浪叠叠白如雪白如雪 银鱼出水 轻舟游曳

 

啊？这个真的是原创吗？赞！

xiaobailong

原帖由 jsl 于 2008-5-10 12:03 发表 骄阳烈 绿地黄花夏风惬 夏风惬 灵童戏耍 鸟鸣雀跃 细砂滩滩湾如月 碧浪叠叠白如雪 白如雪 银鱼出水 轻舟游曳

赞！

oldfrog

some traders are artists, some traders are scientists.

xiaobailong

原帖由 oldfrog 于 2008-5-10 14:55 发表 some traders are artists, some traders are scientists.

也赞oldfrog这句话。

oldfrog

some bulls are frogs, some bears are dragons, no snakes.

xiaobailong

原帖由 oldfrog 于 2008-5-10 15:07 发表 some bulls are frogs, some bears are dragons, no snakes.

jsl

又见逆流阻险

迷雾苍茫再现

轻仓好回舟

舵稳心平机断

应变，应变， 将起波澜一片

[ 本帖最后由 jsl 于 2008-5-11 10:49 编辑 ]

jsl

周末灌水填词

 

青玉案 - 伤市

不知夜深图几幅，价盘索，量如瀑，纵横彩线几何出，上观星相，数理占卜，更有数红烛

但觉次贷仍如故，望联储，金已注，油涨米贵闹市疏，回想往事，投资辛苦，无非又反复

 

如梦令 - 赠金牛银熊

昨日欢乐几度

长枪不出仅入

做短需耐心

细观风起云覆

挺住，挺住， 应有几番轮注

 

江城子 - 答清风 (coolwind)

 

廿载辛苦笑中藏

辩物理，阅九章

好胜争强

不晓少年狂

自明征程当勇上

伴青梅，会同窗

 

淡中无意闯重洋

无细软，只轻装

图经坎坷

男儿必自强

更知前途待彷徨

故国情，最难忘

 

考牛熊归来

炭火烧，轻烟缭绕肉香飘

肉香飘，孩儿喧霄，轻足嬉闹

 

花儿娇，小息青草蜂儿扰

蜂儿扰，细枝微撩，但觉趣饶

 

最后一帖，周末灌水完毕

stops’ pulled away

price dropped free

cry ‘n pray

 

margins go stray

asked for stay

answered, no way

 

like a little tree

can’t stand straight

in the wind, sway

 

watch money fade

had to put on brake

tomorrow is another day

[ 本帖最后由 jsl 于 2008-5-11 23:17 编辑 ]

jsl

原帖由 jsl 于 2008-5-9 14:27 发表 bulls will fight back soon, let's see it is going to be for real.

 

bulls indeed struggled to stay where they were. Given the light volume, they only defended by passive holding, again give-up bears contributed a bit of buying. The significant sized white bar might shine some light for those trapped a week ago, but I can hardly believe who will try to help them out. Now as earnings season comes to its end, FOMC was over, the market tends to go back to its fundamentals. 1320 I believe. If there are going to be some negative catalyst, an overshoot to 1250 is possible. BTW, even I am bearish, I won't go net short, especially in this inflation enviroment, time is not on shorts side.

 

[ 本帖最后由 jsl 于 2008-5-12 23:55 编辑 ]

jsl

想一想生命那么脆弱，股市里输赢有什么太大不了的，只要不输掉裤衩，再给祖国人民增加负担就行了。

CoolMax

原帖由 jsl 于 2008-5-9 18:56 发表 替酷哥FA一下ETH   From google finance: “Ethan Allen Interiors Inc., through its wholly owned subsidiary, Ethan Allen Global, Inc., and Ethan Allen Global, Inc.’s subsidiaries is a manufacture ...

 

谢啦!

去年倒闭了几家竞争对手，像Bombay,Leviz，Pier1。可见在房市冲击下，这块市场的生存竞争之残酷。

幸存者相应得到了更多的生存空间，当然，在变得更好之前，还有一段苦日子要熬。

 

 

[ 本帖最后由 CoolMax 于 2008-5-12 20:46 编辑 ]

jsl

励

 

其实也做不了什么，说的好听，站着说话不腰痛，鄙视自己

jsl

A few things I observed today, can you make a guess what happened?

 

1. TLT opened high and followed by a severe sell off. The the market dropped, TLT recovered some.

2. people were buying the vix futures while it was dropping

3. correlation of vix and TLT recently

 

Do these have anything to do with the CPI number?

jsl

Also Down Volume is on a low level recently.

oldfrog

给解释解释，好吗？
问号太多，青蛙都糊涂了。唉真的是老了。

原帖由 jsl 于 2008-5-14 22:57 发表 A few things I observed today, can you make a guess what happened?   1. TLT opened high and followed by a severe sell off. The the market dropped, TLT recovered some. 2. people were buying the ...

jsl

原帖由 oldfrog 于 2008-5-14 23:03 发表 给解释解释，好吗？问号太多，青蛙都糊涂了。唉真的是老了。

Ok, I will say something definitely biased.

 

The CPI number was out and immediately two things happened. S&P futures jumped. People complained that the number was manipulated. In the morning, some bears reluctantly covered their shorts while cursing.

 

If people truly believed the CPI number, they would not aggressively dump TLT, so it seemed that the consensus was that inflation concern went higher.

 

VIX, to me, dropped to an unsustainable level, possibly driven by the option players dumping their current month puts. But those trade on VIX take this as a buy-on-dip opportunity, indicating a strong negative sentiment on risk.

 

Very low down volume is not a good sign at this time, since it will eventually be released to send the market down.

 

oldfrog

hmmm, you are really biased and your comments are not suitable for bull viewers under 18.

原帖由 jsl 于 2008-5-14 23:47 发表 Ok, I will say something definitely biased.   The CPI number was out and immediately two things happened. S&P futures jumped. People complained that the number was manipulated. In the ...

jsl

原帖由 oldfrog 于 2008-5-14 23:54 发表 hmmm, you are really biased and your comments are not suitable for bull viewers under 18.

 

What had concerned me such that I did not add shorts is that there was no volatility in the market. From TA point of view, it makes any short term pattern less powerful. If I took the last two month daily chart as an intraday chart, I would probably  wait. So I did.

oldfrog

I was just kidding.  Actually my bullish level is not very high for near term.  As you mentioned volatilities are low.  I did picked up some straddles this week.

原帖由 jsl 于 2008-5-15 00:03 发表   What had concerned me such that I did not add shorts is that there was no volatility in the market. From TA point of view, it makes any short term pattern less powerful. If I took ...

jsl

 

对NaturalLaw的time frame是比较同意的

大市走势预测(5月11日)

 

但是中短长期的指标不一致，不敢冒进，看情况，明天试试,