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楼主: bayliner1979

[原创] SPX Notes 2009

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发表于 2009-4-21 05:52 PM | 显示全部楼层


Thank you so much, Bay Laoda!!!
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发表于 2009-4-21 07:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
1120# xxtrader
到了pivot point有人想空有人想买,不走出来怎么知道intraday trend是怎么样的,
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发表于 2009-4-21 08:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
1115# bayliner1979

谢谢

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发表于 2009-4-21 08:51 PM | 显示全部楼层
Today got up late, login after 40 minutes of opening, immediately cleared all remaining short positions at 830.  And rebuilt these positions in the afternoon at average 845.

Tomorrow likely like 11 ...
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-21 17:40



Did you mean it will be a "V" tomorrow?
Btw, the bears in the the car are so cute, yours?
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发表于 2009-4-21 09:36 PM | 显示全部楼层
PFPF
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发表于 2009-4-21 10:08 PM | 显示全部楼层
Ding!!!
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发表于 2009-4-21 10:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-4-21 10:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
PFPF
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发表于 2009-4-21 10:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-4-22 07:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-22 08:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
Today if SPX gapped up at opening, then it would exactly match 11/10/2008.

Tomorrow hard to say.
Today's empty red bar of SPY usually means changing the previous direction---what is previous direction? 1 day down then 1 day up, with the down day much larger than up day?

Short-term it is clear that a close below 830 is coming, so the bottom line of the channel in 1.0.2 will be tested.  SPY target price 82.75.



Today got up late, login after 40 minutes of opening, immediately cleared all remaining short positions at 830.  And rebuilt these positions in the afternoon at average 845.

Tomorrow likely like 11/10/2008 (if yesterday is the combined version of 11/5 and 11/6).
A long leg Doji with open and close price near today's close.
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-21 17:40
51287080a37980.jpg
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发表于 2009-4-22 08:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks!
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发表于 2009-4-22 08:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-4-22 08:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
Today if SPX gapped up at opening, then it would exactly match 11/10/2008.

Tomorrow hard to say.
Today's empty red bar of SPY usually means changing the previous direction---what is previ ...
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-22 20:30



thanks !!

对蛇老大的图最熟悉的估计除了蛇老大自己,就是bay老大了。。。
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发表于 2009-4-22 09:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks!
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发表于 2009-4-22 09:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks!
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发表于 2009-4-22 10:15 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks!
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发表于 2009-4-22 11:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-23 04:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
Today is really a hard-to-predict day.  Did a delta neutral hedge and resulted in no change in account value today.
It turned out to be a seemingly-bullish white hammer, while yesterday was a seemingly-bearish red shooting star.  I guess both are fake in regards to its bullish/bearish appearance.
Post-mortem analysis shows that it looks like 04/03's pattern.
So maybe tomorrow it would like 04/06.


Today if SPX gapped up at opening, then it would exactly match 11/10/2008.

Tomorrow hard to say.
Today's empty red bar of SPY usually means changing the previous direction---what is previous direction? 1 day down then 1 day up, with the down day much larger than up day?

Short-term it is clear that a close below 830 is coming, so the bottom line of the channel in 1.0.2 will be tested.  SPY target price 82.75.
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-22 21:30
l_045bcaebe9ad3cdefb5434938c5efda6.jpg
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发表于 2009-4-23 04:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
Today is really a hard-to-predict day.  Did a delta neutral hedge and resulted in no change in account value today.
It turned out to be a seemingly-bullish white hammer, while yesterday was a seeming ...
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-23 16:30



thanks, bay laoda.

04/06 or 04/07?
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