SPX Notes 2009

肥皂泡

辛苦，这么晚了还不睡

lionking819

1059# bayliner1979

thanks for the number, bay Lao Da, you are so nice! :)

buctusa

Baybay, OE SPX close at 820~830 or 860~880?

BB midline = Bollinger Band midline = daily MA(20)
dEMA(13) = daily EMA(13)

currently BB midline ~ 820.
dEMA(13) ~ 830.



bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-16 02:05

bayliner1979

预测错误。今天delta hedge short position loss 4%, long position gain 2%.

1.0.2 60-min chart Rising wedge upperline is tested again.
Price higher high, TA indicators lower high--------negative divergence everywhere.  (1.0.x, 2.4.2 etc.)
875 could be the 3-week high.  Expect a pull back to dMA(50) ~ 800 in the incoming month.

The most similar day to today is 4/18/2008.  See tomorrow's result to verify.

  

今天更像12/10/2008。
预测明天去test dEMA(13)，本次OE收于BB midline和dEMA(13)之间。




bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-15 17:49

bayliner1979

Don't call me baybay.  I don't like the sound.

I think SPX will close at either 870 or 850 tomorrow.

Baybay, OE SPX close at 820~830 or 860~880?


buctusa 发表于 2009-4-16 17:45

OrangeTea

thanks...

benmao

bayliner1979

从943到666，bearish rally回测的上限是838，突破了就不再是回调，去943基本没有悬念。
838上面第一站875，毫无pull back地就到了，pull back应该来了，就像一月943->803还来个大反弹到878。
Pull back 1st target 79x, 2nd target 770, then look ahead to see next move.

buctusa

不好意思，还望老大见谅！

   

Don't call me baybay.  I don't like the sound.

qiangge

yang9753

SPX 从 1500 到666, bearish rally回测还可能是 1000.

从943到666，bearish rally回测的上限是838，突破了就不再是回调，去943基本没有悬念。
838上面第一站875，毫无pull back地就到了，pull back应该来了，就像一月943->803还来个大反弹到878。
Pull back 1st target ...
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-16 14:56

Diver

从943到666，bearish rally回测的上限是838，突破了就不再是回调，去943基本没有悬念。
838上面第一站875，毫无pull back地就到了，pull back应该来了，就像一月943->803还来个大反弹到878。
Pull back 1st target ...
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-4-16 18:56

Diver

870-666=204
796+204=1000

666>>870>>796>>1000?

SPX 从 1500 到666, bearish rally回测还可能是 1000.



yang9753 发表于 2009-4-16 19:18

小咪

1068# bayliner1979


谢谢

Ave

Thanks for the update!

Amy999

Wolf

yang9753

Primary wave B can retreat 38.2% or more. 38.2% will be around 1000.

870-666=204
796+204=1000

666>>870>>796>>1000?


Diver 发表于 2009-4-16 17:15

Bigmouth

asap

thanks for sharing!