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[原创] ★ 瞎子摸象:美股微观与宏观 ★

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发表于 2009-7-20 03:37 AM | 显示全部楼层


Amazing. 多大军阀。
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发表于 2009-7-20 07:29 AM | 显示全部楼层
DING !!!!!!!!!!!!!
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-7-20 07:38 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 多吉 于 2009-7-20 08:50 编辑
根据俺的观测指标, 前半周回拉的可能性很高, 周五收盘进的空头应当有所获..
QuickHand 发表于 2009-7-19 12:15 PM



Indications

Jul 20, 2009, 5:40 a.m. EST
U.S. stock futures up as CIT said to get rescue

By Steve Goldstein

(LONDON) -- U.S. stock futures advanced Monday after the lender CIT Group was reported to have received a private sector bailout, removing one threat to the recovery at the onset of a heavy week for earnings.

S&P 500 futures rose 6.2 points to 943.10 and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 7.75 points to 1,535.70. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 57 points.

Upbeat results and outlooks from the likes of Goldman Sachs and Intel helped push the S&P 500 7% higher last week.

Through July 17, 71% of the 55 S&P 500 components that have reported results have beaten expectations, 9% have matched them and 20% have missed, according to data compiled by Thomson Reuters.

Monday sees earnings releases from companies including Eaton  (ETN 44.90, -0.05, -0.11%) , Halliburton  (HAL 21.38, -0.15, -0.70%) , Hasbro  (HAS 26.00, +0.62, +2.44%) , and after the close, Legg Mason  (LM 24.21, -0.32, -1.30%) and Texas Instruments  (TXN 23.01, +0.67, +3.00%) .

Markets took relief from an apparent rescue deal for the CIT Group (CIT 1.29, +0.59, +84.29%) that will see the lender to small- and medium-sized firms receive $3 billion in financing.

"As easier finance conditions continue to create their own positive momentum for financial valuations, the news that CIT has secured financing to prevent bankruptcy will consolidate investor perceptions that systemic risks in the global financial system are contained," said Lena Komileva, head of G7 market economics at Tullett Prebon.

The economics calendar is light on Monday, with leading economic indicators for June due at 10 a.m. Eastern.

Japanese markets were shut for the Marine Day holiday. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng rallied 3.7%.

Banks helped drive Europe stocks higher, with the pan-Europe Dow Jones Stoxx 600 rising 1.5% in morning action.

Other asset classes shared in the optimism. Oil futures rose $1.10 to $64.65 a barrel, and the euro rallied 1% to $1.4237.

Bonds fell, as yields on 10-year Treasury bonds rose 3 basis points to 3.68%. Yields move in the opposite direction to prices.


Steve Goldstein is MarketWatch's London bureau chief.

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-7-20 07:48 AM | 显示全部楼层
补一句,QQQQ, COMP已经回补了。382了
INDU/SPX虽然还差点,但是已经回到第五浪的起点了
purety 发表于 2009-7-19 12:26 PM


My take for today's market move is: Sell into the spike in the morning, and close down in red at the end.

DJI future was up +60 pts in the pre-market, it's good time to enter shorts at open high.

I'll add short up to 15% of total WC as I planned last Friday.

Be calm, not knee-jerking...


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发表于 2009-7-20 07:54 AM | 显示全部楼层
“2) 中期(未来三月):涨”

那就是说要涨到10月。
看看这2张图,我猜到8月份就没戏了。
a.PNG
burk010309g.gif
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发表于 2009-7-20 08:13 AM | 显示全部楼层
Ding!!
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-7-20 08:26 AM | 显示全部楼层
Two Momo Plays Today: CIT & HGSI

Both of them rose more than 100% before pre-market.

Someone thought CIT will be $4 today.( Last Friday ended @ $0.68)

And HGSI will hit $20 today. (Last Friday ended @ $3.32)

How crazy these things? It's totally understandable that why the financial crisis happened . ( IF YOU NEED A REASON FOR THIS financial crisis, TODAY WILL GIVE A PROOF)

Dow may break 9000 soon, or actually stay above 9000 with no doubt.

Institutions are the devil. Before pre-market had pumped HGSI to $8.5 just with 16k volume. CIT to 1.3 with 70k volume.


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 楼主| 发表于 2009-7-20 09:03 AM | 显示全部楼层
My take for today's market move is: Sell into the spike in the morning, and close down in red at the end.

DJI future was up +60 pts in the pre-market, it's good time to enter shorts at open high.

I'll add short up to 15% of total WC as I planned last Friday.

Be calm, not knee-jerking...

多吉 发表于 2009-7-20 08:48 AM


I'm in short above SP 948 and will wait & see now.

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发表于 2009-7-20 09:24 AM | 显示全部楼层
多大帅 (记得一般都称军阀叫大帅),如果今天还是收绿或只是小跌,如何计划?
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-7-20 09:32 AM | 显示全部楼层
多大帅 (记得一般都称军阀叫大帅),如果今天还是收绿或只是小跌,如何计划?
GoldenSky 发表于 2009-7-20 10:24 AM


收绿?no such a possibility for today。

DJI only up +0.4%, but VIX up +4% in response。

I keep my prediction that DJI will be closed down ~200 pts。

If 小跌,just keep shorts for tomorrow。


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发表于 2009-7-20 09:40 AM | 显示全部楼层
DJ, you will get burnt today
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发表于 2009-7-20 10:37 AM | 显示全部楼层
very possibly to me too.

DJ, you will get burnt today
soulvirus 发表于 2009-7-20 10:40
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发表于 2009-7-20 10:44 AM | 显示全部楼层
"I keep my prediction that DJI will be closed down ~200 pts。"

It is a very bold prediction. Hope it is not wishful thinking.....................


收绿?no such a possibility for today。

DJI only up +0.4%, but VIX up +4% in response。

I keep my prediction that DJI will be closed down ~200 pts。

If 小跌,just keep shorts for tomorrow ...
多吉 发表于 2009-7-20 10:32
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发表于 2009-7-20 10:48 AM | 显示全部楼层
just a prediction ba, no need to tag it up with "wishful", a lot of people especially HH are very sensitive to that.

"I keep my prediction that DJI will be closed down ~200 pts。"

It is a very bold prediction. Hope it is not wishful thinking.....................



buctusa 发表于 2009-7-20 11:44
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发表于 2009-7-20 10:49 AM | 显示全部楼层
收绿?no such a possibility for today。

DJI only up +0.4%, but VIX up +4% in response。

I keep my prediction that DJI will be closed down ~200 pts。

If 小跌,just keep shorts for tomorrow ...
多吉 发表于 2009-7-20 10:32




ding
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发表于 2009-7-20 10:52 AM | 显示全部楼层
lol
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发表于 2009-7-20 11:10 AM | 显示全部楼层
follow you.  short at 948
88# 多吉
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发表于 2009-7-20 11:13 AM | 显示全部楼层
You are right. Will not say that again.

just a prediction ba, no need to tag it up with "wishful", a lot of people especially HH are very sensitive to that.


maimait 发表于 2009-7-20 11:48
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发表于 2009-7-20 11:24 AM | 显示全部楼层
Science, WOW, good, NICE WORK!
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发表于 2009-7-20 11:31 AM | 显示全部楼层
lol
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