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12-09-2011 ST 更新

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发表于 2011-12-9 12:22 PM | 显示全部楼层


I believe SPY will break 126.08 and make intraday HH because IWM is leading today's rally and it has already made intraday HH.
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-12-9 12:23 PM | 显示全部楼层
silkway 发表于 2011-12-9 10:06
Time for TVIX

再等一等

点评

on weekly chart, there is more downside movement for VIX, targeting BB bottom. Therefore more upside for SPY.  发表于 2011-12-9 12:27 PM
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发表于 2011-12-9 12:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
Diver 发表于 2011-12-9 12:22
I believe SPY will break 126.08 and make intraday HH because IWM is leading today's rally and it has ...

waiting for iwm 74.6x
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发表于 2011-12-9 12:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
I placed my buying order of SPY JAN Put waiting @127. I do not believe it can close above 126 today.
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发表于 2011-12-9 12:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
It does not look like today may reverse down now.
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发表于 2011-12-9 12:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
intraday pattern is 5-wave up (not completed yet) and NYUPV/NYDNV is getting close to an MAD now.
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发表于 2011-12-9 12:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
abaqus 发表于 2011-12-9 12:23
再等一等

Thanks, laoda
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发表于 2011-12-9 01:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
I changed my mind. I cancelled my buying order of SPY Puts.
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发表于 2011-12-9 01:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
NYUPV/NYDNV=9.46 now, it is already an MAD so far today.

I guess today will close @HOD; before market closing bell, DT bears will suicide or flee, that will push up the market.

Next Monday may gap up open.

There is not much beef below here now. It is not worthy to take risk on. I am still on bulls side and insisting on year-end rally.
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发表于 2011-12-9 01:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 Diver 的帖子

Thanks for sharing.
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发表于 2011-12-9 01:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
i will short at end of day if spy can't take yesterday high
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发表于 2011-12-9 01:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2011-12-9 01:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 90ufo 于 2011-12-9 13:56 编辑

a MAD follow MDD, statistics is not bullish?  cobra chart book 6.3.0.b
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发表于 2011-12-9 01:53 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 NYQ 于 2011-12-9 14:29 编辑
usamonkey 发表于 2011-12-9 13:50
i will short at end of day if spy can't take yesterday high


Great to know. I dare not.
But I already in the market again with TZA/TNA pair(just to avoid day trading rules, in case I get a chance to get in/out the market.)
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发表于 2011-12-9 01:55 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 Diver 于 2011-12-9 09:56 编辑
90ufo 发表于 2011-12-9 09:50
a MAD follow MDD, statistics is not bullish?


The statistics said an MAD following an MDD immediately will eventually fade the gain after a few days rally.

But can you afford a two-week year-end rally first and then drop back down after New Year? I believe this year-end rally will go at least above SPY 129. It is not likely to drop back down right away next Monday.
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发表于 2011-12-9 02:01 PM | 显示全部楼层
1:25 $SPX新高没有trigger short squeeze,今天牛牛可能已经走到头了。点位不算高,估计熊熊不会出来砸场子。剩下的两小时可能比较平淡。

如果周末不出消息,下周市场可能会依靠惯性继续向上

点评

there is more upside movement to come later today.  发表于 2011-12-9 02:06 PM
NYQ
This should be the guideline if you are not sure what you are doing. Thanks, D.  发表于 2011-12-9 02:06 PM
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发表于 2011-12-9 02:10 PM | 显示全部楼层
there is more upside movement to come later today


那也不错虽然我喜欢慢牛
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发表于 2011-12-9 02:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
Diver  there is more upside movement to come later today.  发表于 2011-12-9 10:06

----------------
Here are my evidences:
PICK-SYSTEM INDICATOR READING: TODAY'S OPENING; 10:30AM EST; 1:30PM EST.
RSP-5; 5; 6.
IVV-5; 5; 6.
SPY-6; 5; 6.
DIA-6; 6; 5.
IWM-5; 5; 6.
QQQ-4; 6; 6.
XLF-5; 6; 6.
OIH-6; 5; 6.
ERX-8; 5; 6.
...

点评

开盘都是负值?  发表于 2011-12-9 03:13 PM
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发表于 2011-12-9 02:16 PM | 显示全部楼层
Diver 发表于 2011-12-9 10:14
Diver  there is more upside movement to come later today.  发表于 2011-12-9 10:06

-------------- ...

EXPLANATION:

intraday indicator is getting stronger while picks are rallying or consolidating.
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发表于 2011-12-9 02:17 PM | 显示全部楼层
for me today more like squeeze out the little bear  who  chase yesterday
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