我瞎侃，你乱看。。。

多吉

Headlines


      5:19
      Euro up 0.3% at $1.4701 vs dollar
      Euro Trades Above $1.47, First Time Since Mid-December 2008
      NZD Prints Fresh One Year High Above $0.7101
      AUD Trades Above $0.87, First Time In One Year
      USD Falls To Fresh 7 Month Low Under Y90.18 - EBS

      5:18
      Gold futures up $11.10 at $1,017.40
      Gold futures climb near $1,018 an ounce on Globex

      5:17
      Nasdaq 100 futures up 5.50 at 1,700.50
      DJIA futures up 34 at 9,637
      S&P 500 futures up 3.90 at 1,049.80

      5:07
      Euro-zone Aug. annual CPI sees unrevised 0.2% fall

      4:46
      U.K. jobless claims see August rise
      U.K. Aug. jobless claimants rise 24,400


                           

多吉

Art Cashin: Some 'Eerie' Things About This Market


Will the rally continue? Should investors start worrying about declines?

Art Cashin, director of floor operations at UBS Financial Services, offered CNBC his stock market insights.

“I’m still somewhat skeptical about this [market],” said Cashin. “I’ve been wrong—got out too early. I took some money off the table a few weeks ago—didn’t take it all off.”

The market skepticism started in late July and everybody was starting to worry because the stock prices had little correlation with the underlying fundamentals, said Cashin.

“There’s just some eerie things about this—it’s reminiscent of spring and summer of ‘87 when nobody believed the rally and it kept going up despite skepticism, people shorting into it,” he said. “It ate them alive until it suddenly turned.”

多吉

Art Cashin: Some 'Eerie' Things About This Market


Will the rally continue? Should investors start worrying about declines?

Art Cashin, director of floor operations at UBS Financial Services, offered CNBC his stock market insights.

“I’m still somewhat skeptical about this [market],” said Cashin. “I’ve been wrong—got out too early. I took some money off the table a few weeks ago—didn’t take it all off.”

The market skepticism started in late July and everybody was starting to worry because the stock prices had little correlation with the underlying fundamentals, said Cashin.

“There’s just some eerie things about this—it’s reminiscent of spring and summer of ‘87 when nobody believed the rally and it kept going up despite skepticism, people shorting into it,” he said. “It ate them alive until it suddenly turned.”
多吉 发表于 2009-9-16 06:42 AM

86年美股在历史高位250上下横盘10个月，87年新年SP开始发力，连涨8个月，从242低点一口气冲到338高点，涨幅 +39.7%。但是从9月到10月，2个月就崩盘到216，急跌-36%，wiped out all of 1 year gains。

比较目前的大盘，SP涨幅58%早已远超 any previous rallies，但是从TA上看，涨势远未到头，日线MACD uptrend is only half way through，所以说如果这一波Obama Rebound最后SP涨到2x666.79=1334（+100%），我也不以为奇，尽管这个几率有限。。。

今后5个月里，高位谨慎不做空，抄底放胆不止损，大概就是酱紫乐。。。

trueself

86年美股横盘10个月，87年新年SP开始发力，连涨8个月，从242低点一口气冲到338高点，涨幅+39.7%。但是从9月到10月，2个月就崩盘到216，急跌-36%，wiped out all of gains。比较目前的大盘，涨幅58%早已远超 an ...
多吉 发表于 2009-9-16 07:16

SP说，我要改写那段历史行不？

polopolo

63# 多吉


我的看法是，今后一到一个半月，股市不死不活但是也不下调地涨，SPX一直到1150-1175左右，这个就是顶点。

多吉

63# 多吉

我的看法是，今后一到一个半月，股市不死不活但是也不下调地涨，SPX一直到1150-1175左右，这个就是顶点。
polopolo 发表于 2009-9-16 11:08 AM

要是像你说的这么个走法，那个股还不一个个飞天了？小散们笑掉下颚，谁来买单呢？

polopolo

你看着吧，小散到时候钱怎么来的怎么交回去。1175他们就能跑啦？YYB上的几个从账户上取钱了？没取那钱就是华尔街的，放你户头上让你高兴几天就是了。

trueself

你看着吧，小散到时候钱怎么来的怎么交回去。1175他们就能跑啦？YYB上的几个从账户上取钱了？没取那钱就是华尔街的，放你户头上让你高兴几天就是了。
polopolo 发表于 2009-9-16 13:14

出来混的，迟早都是要还的。

trueself

要是像你说的这么个走法，那个股还不一个个飞天了？小散们笑掉下颚，谁来买单呢？
多吉 发表于 2009-9-16 12:07

你呗

jackyking

Art Cashin: Some 'Eerie' Things About This Market


Will the rally continue? Should investors start worrying about declines?

Art Cashin, director of floor operations at UBS Financial Services, ...
多吉 发表于 2009-9-16 06:42

Art Cashin has been wrong many times. He is a true contrarian to the real market move.

jackyking

XLF touched 14.9 the second time as a double top.
XLF rose above 14.85 the third time in the past month.

XLF daily chart BB top = 15
I'm expecting a BB squeeze upwards soon...

My guess,  ...
多吉 发表于 2009-9-15 16:45

DJ, that was a very bold call. XLF broke 15 today. Do you see it pullback anytime soon to test the breakout point which was 15? thanks!

多吉

DJ, that was a very bold call. XLF broke 15 today. Do you see it pullback anytime soon to test the breakout point which was 15? thanks!
jackyking 发表于 2009-9-17 03:11 AM

maserati

62# 多吉

This Art Cashin guy is a joke. He has been calling for a market downturn before summer. I think CNBC uses him as a contradictory indicator

jackyking

24871



多吉 发表于 2009-9-17 08:05

Thanks DJ!

tigtig8

Thanks

多吉

DJ, that was a very bold call. XLF broke 15 today. Do you see it pullback anytime soon to test the breakout point which was 15? thanks!
jackyking 发表于 2009-9-17 03:11 AM

back test 15 it a must. but not today, POMO cash is pouring in...

xuetu

DJ老大,有什么好股推荐?buydip?

多吉

DJ老大,有什么好股推荐?buydip?
xuetu 发表于 2009-9-17 01:56 PM

SP stands below a major resistance @ 1067, I suspect the market would take another dive from here at 1066. Not a good entry point for buy dip now. If you get guts to have something, then buy the dip tomorrow. JMHO.

kang_wang

DJ老大, you don't have to answer, but what do you think about DRYS and LGND? Is DRYS a good candidate for buy-dips?

icecream

ding