一叶知秋，长趋势都是从短的发展来的 （组图）

老船

Ding!

Simpletrader

always a fan of yours.

somebody

thank you very much

soulvirus

seafood

waveplayer

太天真的，我倒觉得是还坚决看 胸 的。第一张图意义不大，因这次人们就是在争论这次是不是个转折点。如是转折点，这些图还有啥意义？
long10 发表于 2009-5-24 21:05

NYSI  可以看做波段趋势图，不会轻易改变。现在已经有两个红棒棒下来了，正是趋势改变的佐证，还有很多其它参数也同时表达了同样的信息。 如果趋势被确认，这些图就更有意义了。它可用来推断趋势的长短。

rightonmoney

long10

NYSI  可以看做波段趋势图，不会轻易改变。现在已经有两个红棒棒下来了，正是趋势改变的佐证，还有很多其它参数也同时表达了同样的信息。 如果趋势被确认，这些图就更有意义了。它可用来推断趋势的长短。

:(2 ...
waveplayer 发表于 2009-5-24 22:32

也许我没说清楚。现在争论的焦点是，这次是不是牛市的开始。如是，你的那些图不久都没用了吗？

jane

ding!

jack3400

thnxs

waveplayer

11# davidino

Actually, this is one of the most important long term signals. A large divergence between NYSI and SPX forecasts a change in major trend.  In this case, it's a change from bull marke ...
Lynxx 发表于 2009-5-24 05:34

very good point.

outer

newnewhand

momozaza

好帖，明白易懂，谢谢！

baibai

13# waveplayer

Support

baibai

16# Lynxx


True.

BBP1127

If NYSI stop pulling back and continue to rise, that may signal a new bull market according to the Stockchart's Charting school explanation:

The McClellan Summation index generally oscillates between 0 and 2000 although it can move outside of this range during extreme or unusual market conditions. Historically, major market bottoms occur after the index falls below -1000. Readings above +1600 often indicate a major top is near. Top and bottom signals carry more significance if the index is also diverging from the associated market average. According to the McClellans, the beginning of a new bull market is signaled if the NYSE-based Summation index first moves below the -1200 level and then quickly rises above +2500.

XingXingZiHuo

Thanks!

quix

顶

waveplayer

美元的快速贬值，和 T-Bond yield 的快速上扬是 FED 的噩梦。