2012-08-W3

snowrider

偶怕同學紅不紅造成迷惑 ... 只要從偶嘴裡說出來的紅就是:  偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠 ... 偶不管它美國都怎麼說紅

snowrider

哈!  MM 控盤控得很好!  雖然沒拉回中間 但也嚴守昨低之上!

Diffusion

oldfox

snowrider 发表于 2012-8-21 02:43 PM
雖然現在還沒拉上來到平盤 ... 偶會猜等下會!  偶會猜明天開始又大漲了

ethanlinear

喜欢雪大的O定,{:8_442:}

snowrider

We bought NUGT today.  The following explains my portfolio as of today's close:

Big Troop:
- IWM 20% (20%-08/08)
- SPY 45% (10%-07/05, 15%-07/06, 10%-07/11, 10%-07/24)
- Cash 35%

SAC Troop:
- EWS 15% (10%-07/30, 5%-07/31)
- XLF 22% (10%-07/30, 12%-07/31)
- QQQ 24% (24%-08/02)
- FAS 8% (8%-08/13)
- NUGT 3% (3%-08/21)
- Cash 28%

The market gapped up, surged to 1427, failed to hold the opening gap,  and then slid down and broke yesterday's low.  In the end, the market closed as an outside bar.  Its candlestick formation looks bearish, but not the wave count.  Today's morning surge was the result of yesterday's bullish candlestick formation, and the market did set another new 4-year high in the morning session.  The afternoon sliding down was to wash out small fish.  The market would resume marching north again tomorrow.  Observation key:  the low of 08/16/2012 must not break in order to maintain this bullish scenarion.

Wave count (based on the purple line scenario):
07/03's high = [A]
07/24's low = [B]
07/30's high = [C].I
08/02's low = [C].II
08/07's high = [C].III.1
08/13's low = [C].III.2
08/14's high = [C].III.3._1
08/14's low = [C].III.3._2
Today's high = [C].III.3._3
Today's low = [C].III.3._4
The first target 1447 could be seen on Thursday to complete [C].III.3._5
The big wave-[C] will bring the market to at least 1447 (and 1524 in medium long term).

TNA

http://www.barchart.com/charts/stocks/$MMTW
From the above chart, I am expecting more corrections.
I have sold out my QQQ positions (major account)  this morning, but I am keeping TQQQ (entered at 47.33, small account).
For next three weeks, I will be in China and no time to follow the market,
If the market go higher, my TQQQ positions will make more money.
If the market go down, I will add more positions after I come back.

snowrider

TNA 发表于 2012-8-21 08:36 PM
http://www.barchart.com/charts/stocks/$MMTW
From the above chart, I am expecting more corrections.
...

TNA - Thanks a lot!  Yes, I remember that - your magic chart!  According to the chart, the market has gone to an overbought zone now.  I will pay attention on the possible correction to see if I want to add up or reduce position.  May you have a nice trip, and we will talk about the market after you come back!

snowrider

夜盤期指破昨低點 ... [C].III.3._4 回調繼續進行中 ... 如果跌破 08/16/2012 低點 ... 則短期不再看多頭!

snowrider

因為這次調整幅度較大了 ... 所以小波重標:
07/30's high = [C].I
08/02's low = [C].II
08/07's high = [C].III.1  or  [C].III
08/13's low = [C].III.2  or  [C].IV
08/21's high = [C].III.3  or  [C].V
2 種劇情:
08/21's high = [C].III.3  ...  偶們還可以向上繼續看
08/21's high = [C].V  ...  向下看 [D] 約 1390 (0.382) 或 1377 (0.5)

snowrider

I bot EDZ with 8% fund in my SAC Troop just now.

snowrider

I liquidated my EWS just now.

lilitulip

snowrider 发表于 2012-8-22 08:20 AM
因為這次調整幅度較大了 ... 所以小波重標:
07/30's high = [C].I
08/02's low = [C].II

向下看 [D] 約 1390 (0.382) 或 1377 (0.5)  --- between which day to high? thanks

snowrider

lilitulip 发表于 2012-8-22 08:04 AM
向下看 [D] 約 1390 (0.382) 或 1377 (0.5)  --- between which day to high? thanks

時間偶還沒詳細計算 ... 先參照波圖灰線前半部的可能走法

snowrider

snowrider 发表于 2012-8-22 07:43 AM
I liquidated my EWS just now.

It's same as the entry price, so there is no loss for this trade.

snowrider

snowrider 发表于 2012-8-22 08:56 AM
It's same as the entry price, so there is no loss for this trade.

Since all those 1X ETFs are too slow, I am getting rid of them one by one.

snowrider

美元大跌!

snowrider

打烊了嗎?  剩偶一個人自言自語!  偶去別處逛逛先 ...

ethanlinear

0.618处得到支撑。

snowrider

ethanlinear 发表于 2012-8-22 01:28 PM
0.618处得到支撑。

沒錯沒錯!  今天收的很漂亮!