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楼主: bayliner1979

[原创] SPX Notes 2009

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-3-16 04:27 PM | 显示全部楼层


Today Feb.26's phantom bar is finally fulfilled (in 12 trading days, still within swing trade timing interval).

15-min chart shows an obvious rising wedge, with 3rd touch on the upper line and break out off the lower line during today's trading hours.
A phantom bar at the closing today indicates a possible retest of the rising wedge's lower line tomorrow, then the break of the rising wedge will speak out for itself.



BayBay, any updates?


buctusa 发表于 2009-3-16 16:47
112738853967997.jpg
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发表于 2009-3-16 04:35 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks bay laoda, this bull pic is interesting...
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发表于 2009-3-16 04:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
珠玑 珠玑 all over Smith Laoda's post
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发表于 2009-3-16 04:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
Today Feb.26's phantom bar is finally fulfilled (in 12 trading days, still within swing trade timing interval).

15-min chart shows an obvious rising wedge, with 3rd touch on the upper line and brea ...
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-3-16 17:27


Thank you for the analysis.

May we say, if SPY goes down and gets to about $72, cover short and go long.  If SPY goes high tomorrow to $77, go short?
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发表于 2009-3-16 04:51 PM | 显示全部楼层
LOL.

Baybay, how you always get so many funny pictures?

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发表于 2009-3-16 05:41 PM | 显示全部楼层
681# bayliner1979


BAY老大:您是说明天还会在去77.50附近走一圈?然后 在向下?谢谢
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发表于 2009-3-16 06:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks for the update. The picture is funny, the bull is stuck.
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发表于 2009-3-16 07:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
686# hyf
same question, thanks
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发表于 2009-3-16 07:25 PM | 显示全部楼层
681# bayliner1979



谢谢BAYBAY
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-3-16 09:07 PM | 显示全部楼层
http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:chart_patterns:rising_wedge_reversa

5. Support Break: ........ Once support is broken, there can sometimes be a reaction rally to test the newfound resistance level.

The 1st chart shows a 4-month-later retest of the wedge's lower line (the resistance line).

Today's closing phantom bar will either be fulfilled tomorrow, or in swing trade period (<18 trading days).



681# bayliner1979


BAY老大:您是说明天还会在去77.50附近走一圈?然后 在向下?谢谢
hyf 发表于 2009-3-16 18:41
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-3-16 09:25 PM | 显示全部楼层
Some random notes:
Cobra's 2.8.1's "Topped" places exactly match the Elliot wave's 3 tops at points 0, 2 and 4, respectively.   Today is very much like Jan.6 in candle pattern and option variation.   In Elliot's wave,  wave 1 also matches wave 5.  Wave 5 could have started 2:00pm today.  If so, the SPX target is 63x at the bottom.
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发表于 2009-3-16 09:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks bay laoda
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发表于 2009-3-16 09:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks agent smith
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发表于 2009-3-16 09:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
Some random notes:
Cobra's 2.8.1's "Topped" places exactly match the Elliot wave's 3 tops at points 0, 2 and 4, respectively.   Today is very much like Jan.6 in candle pattern and option variation.   ...
bayliner1979 发表于 2009-3-16 22:25

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发表于 2009-3-16 09:35 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks, what's phantom's bar?
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发表于 2009-3-16 09:35 PM | 显示全部楼层
Ding, thanks!!!
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发表于 2009-3-16 09:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
thank you
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发表于 2009-3-16 09:45 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thank you !
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发表于 2009-3-16 09:53 PM | 显示全部楼层
691# bayliner1979

Bay,请问这个wave 4为什么你不认为会是像wave 2那样的zig zag ABC调整。如果今天就结束了那这个调整只有6天,从时间上来说短了点吧?
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发表于 2009-3-16 10:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
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