08/18/2009 白天灌水

Cobra

Gap resistance. 今天早上那么小的gap不补，对牛牛不好，俺觉着，白白增加一gap，还没有前进多少。

Cobra

第一次测试红线，应该能hold，几率上讲。

iamwym

呵呵，谢谢老沈捧场！
Cobra 发表于 2009-8-18 10:18

蛇老大太客气了～

我是三天打鱼两天晒网，每次看到蛇老大天天更新都是觉得非常佩服啊。

invest4long

如果今天小幅波动，收十字新星。是不是明天MDD可能很大呢？
pili 发表于 2009-8-18 09:53

To get a MDD tomorrow, SPX have to have a lower low today, otherwise you won't see MDD tomorrow.

JM2C

trueself

1# Cobra


thanks!

iamwym

To get a MDD tomorrow, SPX have to have a lower low today, otherwise you won't see MDD tomorrow.

JM2C
invest4long 发表于 2009-8-18 10:28

I feel it's not a certain pattern to have a lower low today so that we can have mdd tomorrow.

mdd is triggered by various factors, like foreign markets, commodity price and sentiment, as well as data. TA cannot really predict a day rather than a trend.

ppteam

41# Cobra

the gap is already filled, right?

ppteam

Today looks like GBPUSD is leading the USD pair direction. Now it's turned to sell from buy.
I guess EUR will follow.

invest4long

I feel it's not a certain pattern to have a lower low today so that we can have mdd tomorrow.

mdd is triggered by various factors, like foreign markets, commodity price and sentiment, as well ...
iamwym 发表于 2009-8-18 10:34

Yes, I agree with you.
What I mean if we can't get a lower low today, the chance of MDD occur tomorrow is very slim.

Thanks for sharing your idea, appreciate it.

Bencat

90ufo

the gap on SPY is only 4 cents from filled. (close@98.31, LOD@98.35)
the gap on SPX is only 0.9 from filled, close@979.7, LOD@980.8.
Maserati has stated a pattern of "gap-almost-fill, then bounce, then drop to completely fill gap".
but nothing is 100% sure. Mar30 MDD, Mar31 gap up, not filled.

jannychai

thanks

iamwym

Yes, I agree with you.
What I mean if we can't get a lower low today, the chance of MDD occur tomorrow is very slim.

Thanks for sharing your idea, appreciate it.
invest4long 发表于 2009-8-18 10:39

Sure. :)

Actually, now the intra-day pattern is turning piggy - shrinking triangle at NAZ.

nomattewhen

Gap resistance. 今天早上那么小的gap不补，对牛牛不好，俺觉着，白白增加一gap，还没有前进多少。

23027
Cobra 发表于 2009-8-18 10:23

谢谢蛇大分析
能说说为什么白白增加一个gap对牛不利吗？
难道如果大盘跌下去的时候 倾向于一连补几个gap吗？

Cobra

41# Cobra

the gap is already filled, right?
ppteam 发表于 2009-8-18 10:36

没有。

BTBT

昨天的反弹高点似乎是阻力。正常情况，今天应该没啥看头，小幅波动。

23026
Cobra 发表于 2009-8-18 09:27

同意, 明天才是要看的吧

Cobra

蛇老大太客气了～

我是三天打鱼两天晒网，每次看到蛇老大天天更新都是觉得非常佩服啊。
iamwym 发表于 2009-8-18 10:24

怎么说，老沈，现在HT枪多了，不像当初请你的时候，就几条枪，你常驻HT行不？

另外，你每次转帖些你blog的东东，顺便宣传你的blog，可以很快增加你人气啊。你在这里发帖，对HT也有好处，双赢，咋样？

Cobra

谢谢蛇大分析
能说说为什么白白增加一个gap对牛不利吗？
难道如果大盘跌下去的时候 倾向于一连补几个gap吗？
nomattewhen 发表于 2009-8-18 10:49

统计上讲，每个gap都是要被fill的，所以多一个gap就多一个缺陷啊。

xyin

57# Cobra

支持支持

nomattewhen

统计上讲，每个gap都是要被fill的，所以多一个gap就多一个缺陷啊。
Cobra 发表于 2009-8-18 10:53

thank you