我认为油价快到顶的几个理由

发表于 2008-5-31 12:43 PM | 显示全部楼层

这一条没什么可笑的啊，没听说过储备这个词吗？中国这次救灾所用的帐篷数量应该就是大于今年帐篷的产量呢，因为把以前的存货也拿来用了嘛。

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楼主| 发表于 2008-5-31 01:03 PM | 显示全部楼层

1. 生产, 加工, 储运和销售的管道, 炼塔及储罐大约有一周的周转用油,

2. 各大国储备油一般说4-6周. 综合起来全球有约4周的储备量, 所以一年理论上可超过近8%.

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发表于 2008-5-31 01:11 PM | 显示全部楼层

8%其实不多啊。。。。我还以为会有更多呢。三个月的储备什么的。

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楼主| 发表于 2008-5-31 01:15 PM | 显示全部楼层

美国, 日本有这么多, 平均没有, 8% 是保守数字, 加上投机的超级油轮, 要多一些.

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楼主| 发表于 2008-6-1 06:52 AM | 显示全部楼层

The weak U.S. dollar, market speculation and the subprime crisis are the causes

OPEC president says oil prices not tied to market

Sunday June 1, 7:00 am ET

Algerian OPEC president blames weak US dollar, other factors for oil prices

ALGIERS, Algeria (AP) -- The weak U.S. dollar, market speculation and the subprime crisis are the causes for the spiraling price of oil, OPEC's current president said Saturday.

Algerian Energy Minister Chakib Khelil told reporters the cartel will make no new decision on production levels until its Sept. 9 meeting in Vienna.

He notes that OPEC controls only 40 percent of world oil production, and says the high prices do not reflect market conditions but rather other factors linked to the weakening dollar, market speculation and the U.S. subprime mortgage market turmoil.

Oil prices recently reached $135 a barrel before falling to less than $130 Friday. [ 本帖最后由 QuickHand 于 2008-6-1 07:57 编辑 ]

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发表于 2008-6-1 08:15 AM | 显示全部楼层

US Treasury chief: no 'quick fix' on oil
Sunday June 1, 8:13 am ET

US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson says he sees 'no quick fix' to high oil prices

DOHA, Qatar (AP) -- U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson says there is "no quick fix" to high oil prices because it is an issue of supply and demand.

"I don't see a lot of short-term answers" on high oil prices, he told reporters Sunday during a visit to the tiny Gulf nation of Qatar. There is "no quick fix."

On other issues, Paulson said it was up to Gulf countries currently struggling with high inflation whether they wanted to de-peg their currencies from the dollar. He called it a "sovereign decision."

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发表于 2008-6-1 08:15 AM | 显示全部楼层

发信人: jianadaca (活着~婚姻是爱情的坟墓啊。), 信区: Investment
标题: 布什后台石油公司在最后的疯狂赚油钱?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri May 23 22:38:54 2008)

物价上涨，通货膨胀明显。现在的油价上涨已经非常惊人了。
前几天国会要几个石油公司头头去问话，结果几个头头都说和自己无关，是市场供求关
系决定的油价。为什么供应紧张? 还不是小布什打iraq打的。binladen又不是iraq的，
小布什不去追binladen,跑到iraq打仗死美国大兵，这都是什么原因? I guess it's
the you-know-what reason.

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发表于 2008-6-1 08:16 AM | 显示全部楼层

发信人: everspring (evergreen), 信区: Investment
标题: Re: 布什后台石油公司在最后的疯狂赚油钱?
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat May 24 15:32:51 2008), 转信

布什政府和石油公司们的如意算盘，好像是用高油价逼迫民主党让步，开放在阿拉斯加
采石油。如果不是这样的话，美国政府有太多的手段来停止油价疯涨了，比如大幅度增
加时候炒家的margin request, 比如大幅度增加石油炒作的税收，比如大幅度提高伊拉
克的石油产量，再比如私下的加重威胁沙特国王。（现在的公开跟沙特国王公关要求增
产其实是在演双簧戏，演给容易上当的美国人看的。）

另外，还有一个重要原因，就是逼迫中印两国花天价买到大量的石油期货，等到买
的差不多了，美国一下控制石油暴跌，让中印两国的发展付出沉重代价。就象炒作铜价
，大豆价格一样。

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发表于 2008-6-1 08:16 AM | 显示全部楼层

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发表于 2008-6-1 08:17 AM | 显示全部楼层

呵呵，OPEC说石油涨价不是供需原因导致的，Paulson说石油价格就是供需原因导致的。

网民们说，石油价格是小布什故意导致而且故意维持的。

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