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发表于 2010-7-30 01:30 PM
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Add water to gain some Hutong $
q A slowdown, not double dip. CS global and regional economists and strategists share the view that a slowdown in the global and regional economies in 2H appears imminent but a double-dip recession remains highly unlikely. Taking the view that 2010 is comparable to 2004, CS regional strategist, Sakthi Siva, is looking for a 14% rebound in the non-Japan markets in 2H10 to her MSCI target of 550. Accordingly, we are raising the beta for Credit Suisse’s Singapore model portfolio.
q Increasing property and capital goods weightings. We are increasing our OVERWEIGHT for property further. At the same time, we are reducing our UNDERWEIGHT for capital goods
q Funded by banks and telecom. To fund the increase above, we have downgraded telecom from Overweight to MARKET WEIGHT by cutting. We have also reduced our OVERWEIGHT in banks from 39.5% to 35.5%. Overall, we are OVERWEIGHT property, transport, banks and financials and UNDERWEIGHT capital goods, consumer discretionary and consumer staples. Telecom is MARKET WEIGHT. |
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