06/29/2010 白天灌水

xiaochong

问题在于短时间到不了865，865就一定会到。gs说话还是很牛的。估计要向上拉一拉再向下。我觉得明天 ...
xiaofengling 发表于 2010-6-29 12:57

    问题是不要老拿他的预测当回事，重要的是follow你自己的系统

Diffusion

那REGULATION又松动了一点,对银行是利好啊.
90ufo 发表于 2010-6-29 12:49

    是啊，民主党死了个参议员，共和党趁机抬价，不同意就别想通过fin reform bill，民主党中期选举的政绩又少了一项。

sfbayarea

遇到劈友, 咪响吓COBRA個'朵"咯
oda 发表于 2010-6-29 12:51

    三番市劈友，唔讲国语，只讲台山话。第一句就是"骑马过海＂

yingying

这条信息对金融股是大利好，

但现在市场被ECB吓得尿裤子，

没人敢买（或者有人在悄悄买）...
...
X!nG 发表于 2010-6-29 12:48

xing, could you give us a link about GS 865 target? If GS said 865, we must buy since 9xx.

csw2002

How do you know?
ypm968 发表于 2010-6-29 12:52

I listen to S&P pit audio

Diver

星老大，认真讨教一下：

OBAMA和盖特纳现在还有没有什么振兴经济的招数可以用的？

政治归政治，我想美国人这点智慧还是有的吧。美国的智囊团应该很清楚，靠人民币升值不可能解决全球经济危机，也不可能使美国经济复苏，何况现在中国不会象以前的日本那么听话。今年十一月就要进行国会中期选举了，以目前形势看，民主党处于不利地位。如果现在OBAMA无为而治，届时民主党肯定失去大多数席位，OBAMA的连任也将失去希望。由于刺激计划从提出计划，国会辩论到实施到见效，需要至少几个月的时间，要想在十一月前见到初步成效，现在就得马上提出计划。

打仗是一个选择。但是，打谁呢？打北朝鲜的话，中国肯定会出兵干预，因为那是保卫国门。打伊朗的话，中国也会反对，因为目前经济形势已经这么不妙了，不能再容忍失去石油生命线。现在如果美国与中国干一架，那肯定是两败俱伤，大家都没有好日子过，所以，这不是个振兴经济的办法。

那么，不打仗的话，还有没有什么刺激经济的手段可以用的呢？定量宽松政策？再次开动印钞机？

不知道AUD的背离这次能不能帮牛牛一把了...
X!nG 发表于 2010-6-29 12:32

abaqus

I listen to S&P pit audio
csw2002 发表于 2010-6-29 13:00

    how much you paid?

nctree

请问各位大牛，大盘今天能否形成positive divergence？

X!nG

xing, could you give us a link about GS 865 target? If GS said 865, we must buy since 9xx.:(109) ...
yingying 发表于 2010-6-29 13:00

-The S&P fails to sustain above the 200-dma with a clear risk of an H&S top forming…

-Early last week the market moved above the 200-dma which argued for some ST stabilisation and the chances of a deeper retrace of the drop from the April highs.

-The break however failed to yield any meaningful rally and the market has now moved back below the 200-dma on a close basis.
As discussed over recent weeks the underlying structure of the market has a negative setup and you can now also argue an H&S top is in the process of forming.

-The interim low from 8th June and the neckline of that pattern are now converged; 1,042-1,040. This region
also represents the first notable support below current levels.

-If a break below the neckline of the pattern can be achieved as looks the risk on a multi-week basis the target would be 865.

-Overall, the market structurally looks a sell on rallies with the MT-LT (multi-week/-month) risks on the downside.

google

请问各位大牛，大盘今天能否形成positive divergence？
nctree 发表于 2010-6-29 13:02

divergence到entry point还有好远一段路呢

sfbayarea

可以叫“三番黑老大”，这个比较响
google 发表于 2010-6-29 12:51

    三番哥，怎样？ 打马将次次吃三番。

abaqus

请问各位大牛，大盘今天能否形成positive divergence？
nctree 发表于 2010-6-29 13:02

    it is too early to tell..

yingying

-The S&P fails to sustain above the 200-dma with a clear risk of an H&S top forming…

-Earl ...
X!nG 发表于 2010-6-29 13:03

Is this from GS institution or just one analyst's report? thanks.
I'm a bear but I never thought market could drop below 900 this year.

mikeqc

请问各位大牛，大盘今天能否形成positive divergence？
nctree 发表于 2010-6-29 13:02

you must see a turn-around before any divergence?  Is there a turn-around today? NO.  The only thing  you can say is that it is PD IF it turns.

abaqus

三番哥，怎样？ 打马将次次吃三番。
sfbayarea 发表于 2010-6-29 13:03

    in such year
   
   三番MM is better than 三番哥

csw2002

Swiss and JP both sold another 25 cars a few secs ago. Other than GS, just about all papers are selling.

nctree

divergence到entry point还有好远一段路呢
google 发表于 2010-6-29 13:03

哦，那等明天了。

lite1067

WTF is going on

Citigroup Trading Is Halted After Shares Move More Than 10%

Citigroup Inc. shares fell 17 percent, triggering a circuit breaker that pauses trading for five minutes following a 10 percent move. The bank became the second stock paused by the two-week-old program that halts trading when a Standard & Poor's 500 Index stock rises or falls at least 10 percent in five minutes or less.

mikeqc

如果再横三个小时，我昨天悲惨的预先就成真了。

nctree

BB收紧，要坏事鸟。。。