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楼主: Cobra

[灌水] 08/17/2009 白天灌水

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发表于 2009-8-17 07:56 AM | 显示全部楼层


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发表于 2009-8-17 07:57 AM | 显示全部楼层
Good morning
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发表于 2009-8-17 07:57 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-8-17 08:00 AM | 显示全部楼层
zao
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-8-17 08:03 AM | 显示全部楼层
The S&P was earlier indicated to gap lower by more than -2%, the first time we'd seen a gap down that large since March 30th.  When the S&P futures have opened -1.5% or lower on a Monday, then they managed to close higher than the open only 40% of the time (8 out of 20 occurrences), with an average return of -1.6%.  When Friday was also down, then Monday's win rate dropped to 36%, so obviously there weren't a lot of times we saw an immediate rebound.



However, buying the close on Monday and holding through Wednesday's close led to 75% winning trades anytime Monday gapped down -1.5% or more, and of those 11 times that Friday also closed negatively, then buying Monday's close and holding for two days led to 91% winners with an average return of +3.6%.
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发表于 2009-8-17 08:04 AM | 显示全部楼层
大家早
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发表于 2009-8-17 08:08 AM | 显示全部楼层
The S&P was earlier indicated to gap lower by more than -2%, the first time we'd seen a gap down that large since March 30th.  When the S&P futures have opened -1.5% or lower on a Monday, then they ma ...
Cobra 发表于 2009-8-17 09:03


thanks!

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发表于 2009-8-17 08:12 AM | 显示全部楼层
老熊把前排甲座全占了,打屁股!
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发表于 2009-8-17 08:12 AM | 显示全部楼层
Morning
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发表于 2009-8-17 08:13 AM | 显示全部楼层
Morning.
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发表于 2009-8-17 08:14 AM | 显示全部楼层
Morning!
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发表于 2009-8-17 08:16 AM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks, Cobra!
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发表于 2009-8-17 08:18 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-8-17 08:18 AM | 显示全部楼层
ding,laoda
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发表于 2009-8-17 08:20 AM | 显示全部楼层
morning.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-8-17 08:22 AM | 显示全部楼层
绿线为Support。

SPY30min.png
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发表于 2009-8-17 08:24 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-8-17 08:27 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-8-17 08:28 AM | 显示全部楼层
抄底at the close?

The S&P was earlier indicated to gap lower by more than -2%, the first time we'd seen a gap down that large since March 30th.  When the S&P futures have opened -1.5% or lower on a Monday, then they ma ...
Cobra 发表于 2009-8-17 09:03
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发表于 2009-8-17 08:30 AM | 显示全部楼层
haha, good morning
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