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楼主: waveplayer

[技术分析] This is what could happen today ( Real time ES chart) 图

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发表于 2009-5-20 03:42 PM | 显示全部楼层


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发表于 2009-5-20 03:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-5-20 03:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
Please do not bother me with your meaningless words.

OK, let's be honestly test it...   What's your own judgment for tomorrow ??      As fair exchange, I have few hundred shares of FAZ (entry $4.80)and still shorting FAS...  and Hold on PAAS (entr ...
hfdcai2000 发表于 2009-5-20 16:42
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发表于 2009-5-20 03:52 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-5-20 04:01 PM | 显示全部楼层
1# waveplayer


thanks WP laoda.

I am in QID/FXP call today.
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发表于 2009-5-20 04:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
OK, my question is what your imaginary entry and exit point are.     Your answer is too plain and not clear at all.   Again, my imaginary target of FAZ is $25, SRS around $100 around the end of  ...
hfdcai2000 发表于 2009-5-20 16:46



FAZ 25?

Which planet do you come from? Let's bet, if FAZ see 20 in one year, I give you $10K. If not, you give me 1K.
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发表于 2009-5-20 04:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
2# globe

No this is just for today.  It will at least test 880 again and this time it may not hold.

Then SPX could drop as low as 830.

If you have short then hold it and enjoy the ride.  If ...
waveplayer 发表于 2009-5-20 16:14

thanks a lot
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发表于 2009-5-20 04:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
can we hold for night
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发表于 2009-5-20 04:16 PM | 显示全部楼层
FAZ 25?

Which planet do you come from? Let's bet, if FAZ see 20 in one year, I give you $10K. If not, you give me 1K.
dara 发表于 2009-5-20 17:04


除非单向,如果反复上下,fas和faz都很难上去太多。
supposing current price=$10:
up 10%, becomes $11, down 10%, becomes $9.9,
up 10% again it becomes $10.89, down 10%, it reduces to $9.801
.....
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发表于 2009-5-20 04:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
thanks, waverplayer laoda.
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发表于 2009-5-20 04:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-5-20 04:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-5-20 04:25 PM | 显示全部楼层
Look, I don't think that anyone believed that FAS could shoot from $2.32 to $13.27 since Mar.9th (to May 7th??)       You answer has just approved my point, again.
hfdcai2000 发表于 2009-5-20 17:21

haha, yeah, your guess should be right if Bac would go to be nationalized , (well, Citi has been partially nationalized already now)
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-20 04:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
I shorted ES this morning when my system indicators turn to bearish.
Add some short position and don't wait until end of session. It could be too late.
SKF, SRS, BGZ, FAZ  also buy QQQQ puts. QID, T ...
waveplayer 发表于 2009-5-20 15:48


For 3X BEAR  ETFs,  you need to watch out by yourself.   Normally those are not for "Buy and hold".  It only matches - 300% daily performance of IYF  ( FAZ, SKF 2X etf)  IYR ( SRS  2x ETF)
IWM  ( BGZ 3X ETFs)     Those often be used as day trade vehicle.

Just beware of that.  

Take care,

- Waveplayer
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发表于 2009-5-20 04:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
34# waveplayer
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-20 04:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
22# hfdcai2000

I don't care FAZ.   I have target price for SKF and SRS a few days ago in my group.  But it is not convenient to disclose here.

I will post in my blog a week later.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-5-20 04:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
22# hfdcai2000

I don't care FAZ.   I have target price for SKF and SRS a few days ago in my group.  But it is not convenient to disclose here.

I will post in my blog a week later.
waveplayer 发表于 2009-5-20 17:30


From  projected XLF  price,  you can calculate SKF and SRS target price easily.
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发表于 2009-5-20 05:00 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-5-20 05:06 PM | 显示全部楼层
12# hfdcai2000

I started shorting around 3:00PM, twice as chart indicated, the prices are not the best, I'll take a look at the daily chart of IYF tonight:
spx_10.png
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发表于 2009-5-20 05:15 PM | 显示全部楼层
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