Perfect Wave - 2012-1/2

menghu

对于sp的图，俺比较倾向于 较暗 的图线走法。

cat2011

Thank you for your update!

snowrider

從偶以前養的貓兒聊起

貓是很聰明的
也是恢常壞的
你知道為什麼?

雖然偶以前養的是血統極佳的波斯貓
但貓還是貓
貓還是有它獵殺的本性 不用教不用學
它自然會

有人問偶怎麼學做行情
你猜偶如何回答?

你不會相信的 ...
偶說 ... 禪是到處都有 到處可學到悟到
偶說 ... 多養養貓 多滑滑雪 都有幫助
偶說 ... 唯一沒幫助或是幫倒忙的 就是研究FA

snowrider

20120109 DJIA Worst Scenario

Quote from jas_in_hbca:

Long term EW count question.

Could 1987 be a end of wave 1, (approx) 2000 end of wave 3,
2008 end of wave 5 ?

If so, then could 2009 bottom be wave A , 2011 top end of a 'B' ?
and where would a projected wave C end ?  

Thanks !

jas_in_hbca - It could be.  As I believe and mention many times that anything is possible.
With that scenario, we are going to enter a long term bear market soon.
That bear market could have 2.5 more years to go, and it's final destination of the bear movement will be after falling below 2009's low.

328

snowrider 发表于 2012-1-8 01:04
01/08/2012

Comments are welcome!

Snow,

As for SP500, do you have an updated 划分for intraday chart, like 60min? Thanks a lot

snowrider

20120109 DJIA Worst Scenario
这和你上面的SP的图不大一样呢？

thirdwheel - 這當然不一樣 這張是道瓊指數幾十年的對數座標 有朋友問是否可以如何如何算波 偶回答他可以 並標示出那種算法的可能走法 當然短期日線走法仍然照偶們原來的算法在運行 所以一切是 under control

snowrider

328 发表于 2012-1-9 22:17
Snow,

As for SP500, do you have an updated 划分for intraday chart, like 60min? Thanks a lot

328 - 謝謝關注 偶一般會有時貼些盤中波圖 但現在必須等冬天過完吧 偶實在太忙了在冬天 忙著滑雪所以事情都擠到平日來弄 有時平日亦去滑 那更沒時間了

cat2011

Snow,

any update?

snowrider

cat2011 发表于 2012-1-10 21:03
Snow,

any update?

今天沒 update 明天不看盤 滑雪去 現在關電腦睡覺了

snowrider

玩不过傻钱，钱多，牛傻。。。

其實同學你還是不錯的 所謂識時務者為俊杰 到目前為止同學你口中的傻牛還是控盤控的很好 偶只一路見到傻熊在傻呼呼的空或是傻呼呼的站在火車月台上或是傻呼呼的不知自己在說甚麼的胡說一堆

結論: 沒有看到 distribution 之前不要傻呼呼的看空

snowrider

01/14/2012

Comments are welcome!

cat2011

buy dip at 1260 then.

snowrider

雖然行情已來到預估目標區
...
但沒有絲毫的衰竭現象
...
卻有越來越多人看空
...
好像只剩沒 2, 3 個人看多或看大漲
...
結論你想想就知道會如何

甚至更漂亮的是 emerging markets

snowrider

01/21/2012

Comments are welcome!

cat2011

大牛Steve

深深祝愿
雪骑版主
龙马精神
龙腾虎跃
龙年行大运！

snowrider

hunting, cat2011, 大牛Steve - 謝謝 也祝大家新年愉快 新春發大財!

snowrider

i agree with your projections on gold, but im not sure your wavecounts match mine. i like to keep it simple, so i only use waves 1-5 and then abc.
...

nim1984- Thanks for commenting and sharing your thought.  Yes, I like your idea of keeping it simple.  That is also one of the reasons that I don't agree RP's wave counts most of the time.

...
i think wave 5 of wave A was over at 1522, assuming 1920 was end of wave 3. right now we're in wave B which could go as high as 1760 area. then wave c will break to new lows...maybe mid 1300's?

then we'll have the last wave 5 which will take out the high of 1920, but dont have a projection for it.

note: i'm not an elliott wave junkie. i did this analysis in 10mins looking at monthly chart, just to get a feel for where we are right now in the cycle.

Your scenario is quite possible.  In that case, this big ABC correction is in the same degee as that of 2008 one.  For now, no matter whether we are in a big ABCDE or a big ABC, the medium long term's momentum is heading up.

snowrider

01/28/2012

Comments are welcome!

menghu

感觉做顶 还早了点。可能还有一到两个礼拜。